AFL 2019 Brownlow Medal (after the result bets will get a ban)

[jack 23]

I like 3 way tie @ $34.

danger, fyfe, neale, bont. includes ineligible so Martin too.

worth a 5er

 

[Jcpdragonx]

SB bets on tap are dreadful. The player vs GC ones are traps.

Any Gold Coast player to poll 5+ Votes $3 is alright

Sloane most votes Crows $12 is way overs.

 

[McWells]

Wines is only 1 vote behind Gray on the TJM votes and the market without Boak has some value.

Beteasy - $5.50
Sportsbet - $21

Worth a bite

 

[Sausage Legs]

Wines is only 1 vote behind Gray on the TJM votes and the market without Boak has some value.

Beteasy - $5.50
Sportsbet - $21

Worth a bite

I don't mind rocky there, prob a no bet tho

 

[Womboksgalore]

Any Gold coast player to poll 5 Or more votes $3 on SB. Thoughts, opinions? Surely they have a 5 vote poller!

 

[Leeroy Brown 15]

Matt Crouch and Brad Crouch combined for 25+ $3.50

Based on a few counts here as well the averages on brownlowtracker (not the AFL one) looks to be decent value

 

[NonPhixion]

Any Gold coast player to poll 5 Or more votes $3 on SB. Thoughts, opinions? Surely they have a 5 vote poller!

its value. Swallow should get there comfortably

 

[Leeroy Brown 15]

Gaff/Yeo/Sheed/Shuey 10+ votes $2.50 looks good as well

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

Any Gold coast player to poll 5 Or more votes $3 on SB. Thoughts, opinions? Surely they have a 5 vote poller!

I have Fiorini on 6, Witts on 5 at GC

 

[Leeroy Brown 15]

I have Fiorini on 6, Witts on 5 at GC

Smashed into 1.70 now haha

 

[jack 23]

What happens to trifectas if there's a draw for 2nd place etc

 

[Gift]

What happens to trifectas if there's a draw for 2nd place etc

Half payout for the two combos that have both players that draw for 2nd

 

[jack 23]

Im on Geelong most team votes @ $1.80 seems low already but i dont see anyone else beating them.

 

[HTPunter]

Im on Geelong most team votes @ $1.80 seems low already but i dont see anyone else beating them.

Best percentage by a mile, should help, less likely to have oppo teams steal votes

 

[NonPhixion]

Dunkley most votes last 8 rounds? Has to have atleast 10, Danger is the main danger, but surely value @17

 

[HTPunter]

Bet365
Prestia $1.90 most team votes without Martin
Gray $2 most team votes without Boak

Sportsbet
Higgins $2 most team votes
Merrett top 10 (excludes ineligible) @ $4

Beteasy
Swallow $1.95 most team votes
Geelong $1.80 most total votes
Prestia top 10 (excludes ineligible) @ $15
Shuey top 10 (excludes ineligible) @ $2.65

I'm seeing Prestia as a Brayshaw type. Taranto to Underpoll

Fyfe, Cripps, Neale, Dangerfield, Kelly, Bont locks in my top 10 with some fairly clearcut votes.

Shuey 6th but less confident with Yeo, Gaff, Sheed
Merrett 9th
Prestia =10th and at $15 so worth a shot

 

[Jack Gun Cyril Stun]

i think grundy is in his overcompensation year - last year he underpolled/ was underwhelming now this year umps will vote for him more.

still a good value bet though.

He got 17 last year and seemed to do better this year IMO....

Swan in 2011 heavily compensated for 2010. Deserved a Brownlow but he better in 2010 than 2011 when he set a new polling record I think

 

[Womboksgalore]

Smashed into 1.70 now haha

Jeepers into $1.50 now, might be onto one there! Well done and thank you all for your input.

Still trying to understand how I got Zorko top 20 (inc. inel.) at $11 on SB, now into $1.67..must have seen it as soon as was released?

 

[jack 23]

Jeepers into $1.50 now, might be onto one there! Well done and thank you all for your input.

Still trying to understand how I got Zorko top 20 (inc. inel.) at $11 on SB, now into $1.67..must have seen it as soon as was released?

wow thats a great get.....

i like Macrae and Treloar for most matches with votes $13 each. both a chance.

 

[Womboksgalore]

Bet Easy H2H:

Thoughts and opinions prior to these odds coming in/flip (no multis available)?

Billings 1.75 v B Crouch 2.02
M Crouch 1.92 v Worpel 1.84
Ed Curnow 1.80 v Shiels 1.96
Duncan 1.80 v Lyons 1.96
Fyfe 1.85 v Bont 1.90
Higgins 2.10 v Zorko 1.70
B Hill 1.75 v Heeney 2.02
T Kelly 2.15 v D Martin 1.65
J Kennedy (Syd) 2.25 v Sidebottom 1.60
T Lynch (Rich_ 1.65 v Darling 2.15
Merret 2.05 v Pendles 1.73
Mihocek 2.15 v Naughton 1.65m
Robinson 1.80 v Heppell 1.96
Sheed 1.84 V Parker 1.92 - Sheed is good here?
Shiel V Omeara 1.88 each
Shuey 2.10 v Boak 1.70
Sloane 1.80 v Mundy 1.96
Walters 1.77 v J Cameron 2.00
Whitfield v Cunnington 1.88 each
Ziebell 1.82 v Ross 1.94

 

[hunteyes]

Bet Easy H2H:

Thoughts and opinions prior to these odds coming in/flip (no multis available)?

Billings 1.75 v B Crouch 2.02
M Crouch 1.92 v Worpel 1.84
Ed Curnow 1.80 v Shiels 1.96
Duncan 1.80 v Lyons 1.96
Fyfe 1.85 v Bont 1.90
Higgins 2.10 v Zorko 1.70
B Hill 1.75 v Heeney 2.02
T Kelly 2.15 v D Martin 1.65
J Kennedy (Syd) 2.25 v Sidebottom 1.60
T Lynch (Rich_ 1.65 v Darling 2.15
Merret 2.05 v Pendles 1.73
Mihocek 2.15 v Naughton 1.65m
Robinson 1.80 v Heppell 1.96
Sheed 1.84 V Parker 1.92 - Sheed is good here?
Shiel V Omeara 1.88 each
Shuey 2.10 v Boak 1.70
Sloane 1.80 v Mundy 1.96
Walters 1.77 v J Cameron 2.00
Whitfield v Cunnington 1.88 each
Ziebell 1.82 v Ross 1.94

Bolded are the ones I'd be most confident about

 

[Womboksgalore]

Bet Easy H2H:

Thoughts and opinions prior to these odds coming in/flip (no multis available)?

Billings 1.75 v B Crouch 2.02
M Crouch 1.92 v Worpel 1.84
Ed Curnow 1.80 v Shiels 1.96
Duncan 1.80 v Lyons 1.96
Fyfe 1.85 v Bont 1.90
Higgins 2.10 v Zorko 1.70
B Hill 1.75 v Heeney 2.02
T Kelly 2.15 v D Martin 1.65
J Kennedy (Syd) 2.25 v Sidebottom 1.60
T Lynch (Rich_ 1.65 v Darling 2.15
Merret 2.05 v Pendles 1.73
Mihocek 2.15 v Naughton 1.65m
Robinson 1.80 v Heppell 1.96
Sheed 1.84 V Parker 1.92 - Sheed is good here?
Shiel V Omeara 1.88 each
Shuey 2.10 v Boak 1.70
Sloane 1.80 v Mundy 1.96
Walters 1.77 v J Cameron 2.00
Whitfield v Cunnington 1.88 each
Ziebell 1.82 v Ross 1.94

Im thinking you go Sheed H2H Sheed V Parker and then take Parker at $7 on SB for top 20 (inc. inel.) if Parker gets 14+ and beats Sheed, 14 is usually enough for top 20

 

[Womboksgalore]

Bolded are the ones I'd be most confident about

Thank you, all the very best if you take any of these!
Bit of Value on Mihocek, what a pick up he was for the pies!

 

[jack 23]

Bolded are the ones I'd be most confident about

funny i disagree with most of your bold ones. think ill just stay away from these altogether.

 

[Benjo_]

I rate Danger $3.25 for most votes last eight rounds. Pretty much all counts I've seen has him leading by one or two. Idk why Macrae is favourite.

Also is anyone else not being allowed to multi the 2019 futures multi on SB?