That is crazy that sports bet has such a high vig and offers such poor value odds.
Moved Thread When Betting Agencies Get It Wrong…
- Thread starter ourgameplandoesntwork
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Sick of sports betting infecting every part of the AFL coverage
I got $3.20 straight after the Sydney v Freo win. I should be paying off my house later today.
No actually this is when Betting Agencies get it wrong.
N. Daicos didn't kick 3 goals. Both of them kicked 2, the betting company apparently can't tell the difference.
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Hawthorn 1.25 tomorrow is wrong too. Should be 1.90.
Hawks won't be able to contain Allen
Hawks won't be able to contain Allen
ourgameplandoesntwork
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Tell me after the Fremantle v Geelong game if I’m right…
ourgameplandoesntwork
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46-29.
I don’t care what any other idiot (not talking about you) thinks. Easy easy money!
Sports betting agencies don't predict the likelihood of a team winning.
They aim to offer odds so that they get an even spread of bets on either side. If they anticipate more bets on one team than another then they will drop the odds far further than expected.
Hawthorn vs West Coast is a good example. The game might not be that far from 50/50 on paper, but would anyone in their right mind put real money on West Coast travelling at the moment? The odds on West Coast are big to try and get half the bets on their side of the ledger.
My observation is that generally the big Victorian teams (Carlton in particular, but also Essendon and Collingwood) have slightly worse odds than form would predict most weeks, simply because they have the most supporters and therefore pick up a few extra bets that way. Most years across the last 20, if you just bet against Carlton every week you would have done extremely well, because the odds were favourable and Carlton have further underperformed (even relative to ladder position).
They aim to offer odds so that they get an even spread of bets on either side. If they anticipate more bets on one team than another then they will drop the odds far further than expected.
Hawthorn vs West Coast is a good example. The game might not be that far from 50/50 on paper, but would anyone in their right mind put real money on West Coast travelling at the moment? The odds on West Coast are big to try and get half the bets on their side of the ledger.
My observation is that generally the big Victorian teams (Carlton in particular, but also Essendon and Collingwood) have slightly worse odds than form would predict most weeks, simply because they have the most supporters and therefore pick up a few extra bets that way. Most years across the last 20, if you just bet against Carlton every week you would have done extremely well, because the odds were favourable and Carlton have further underperformed (even relative to ladder position).
Did the Sportsbet social media person create this thread over company-wide panic of the amount of money they're going to lose from people betting on Freo?
Other way round, they want you to bet on Freo so they are worried about bets on Geelong.
Freo on the improve is easy money as sportsbet does not rate us and the media is always 2-4 weeks behind. It just hasn’t come around that often.
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Punting board.
When you see games decided like Sydney/North how can you ever put your hard earned on a sporting event?
Also, I fear for the youth of this country since it seems like people actually must think those Sportsbet ads are humorous since they keep producing them.
Also, I fear for the youth of this country since it seems like people actually must think those Sportsbet ads are humorous since they keep producing them.
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Kapow!!!
Brownlow Medallist
I'm sure there are more intelligent ways of saying this and far more poetic but I feel like simplicity is best: EAD and learn to footy
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I haven't checked the punting thread for this round, but I'm wiulling to bet the truth is nobody cares about the result because there's no value in H2H bets. Go look, people will be winning $51 goalscorer and disposal bets. That's where the value is.
ourgameplandoesntwork
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Fremantle were certainties against a depleted Cats missing their entire midfield. Plenty of opportunity, with much more certainty than Hail Mary bets.
I'm up 50 times my original investment this year. I sure as hell didn't win that by betting on H2H results.
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Seems like you’ve left some on the table then.
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The punting board don’t care about it either.
Thread closed.
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