Moved Thread When Betting Agencies Get It Wrong…

[ourgameplandoesntwork]

I was astounded last week when I heard that Richmond were out to $4 against Geelong. Dangerfield going out in an already thin midfield along with the following outs: Rohan, Stanley, C.Guthrie, Stengle, Close, SDK, J.Henry.
To have the opposition at $4 at their home ground is insane.

This week, with Mitch Duncan, going out, Geelong’s midfield is paper thin.
Sports bet currently has Geelong @ $1.66 and Fremantle @ $2.18 in Perth.
Not as crazy money as last week, but I cannot possibly see how these odds resemble reality.

At the moment, people could make some good money betting against Geelong. Clearly it’s the name that has the odds so short. The lineup itself, particular with the midfield, does not warrant that.

 

[GROTTO]

I was astounded last week when I heard that Richmond were out to $4 against Geelong. Dangerfield going out in an already thin midfield along with the following outs: Rohan, Stanley, C.Guthrie, Stengle, Close, SDK, J.Henry.
To have the opposition at $4 at their home ground is insane.

This week, with Mitch Duncan, going out, Geelong’s midfield is paper thin.
Sports bet currently has Geelong @ $1.66 and Fremantle @ $2.18 in Perth.
Not as crazy money as last week, but I cannot possibly see how these odds resemble reality.

At the moment, people could make some good money betting against Geelong. Clearly it’s the name that has the odds so short. The lineup itself, particular with the midfield, does not warrant that.

 

[estibador]

We didn't even look close to a win until we played an abysmal Hawthorn followed by an undermanned Sydney. An undermanned Sydney that Geelong absolutely massacred not long ago, who we only beat by a few goals.

I'm hopeful we've started to turn the corner but certainly not confident. I've tipped Geelong.

 

[Ginnieboy]

Carlton have 2 Coleman medalists and the reigning Brownlow winner, I can’t understand how we are favourites to win.

 

[ourgameplandoesntwork]

Carlton have 2 Coleman medalists and the reigning Brownlow winner, I can’t understand how we are favourites to win.

Do you have 7-8 injuries (including your 3 best midfielders) to first 22, like Geelong?

I’m not sure how them having those three players is analogous to the OP?

 

[Rich01]

Raises a good question, who are Geelongs five midfielders?

Danger is right in there. Guthrie i spose should be as well.

Not sure who else is there?

Mengelola wouldn’t be in there would he? Duncan seems second tier these days.

Surely I’m missing a couple as they seem quite thin.

 

[Danw0w]

They don't get it wrong lol otherwise they would go broke overnight

 

[Magpie Since 1986]

Geelong have a very good system, Freo have a very bad system, they dont care who is out there.

 

[ourgameplandoesntwork]

Raises a good question, who are Geelongs five midfielders?

Danger is right in there. Guthrie i spose should be as well.

Not sure who else is there?

Mengelola wouldn’t be in there would he? Duncan seems second tier these days.

Surely I’m missing a couple as they seem quite thin.

Exactly! Midfield is incredibly thin.
Selwood retirement has hurt.
Danger, Guthrie, Duncan… who else?

 

[ourgameplandoesntwork]

They don't get it wrong lol otherwise they would go broke overnight

Not often…

 

[big_e]

I was astounded last week when I heard that Richmond were out to $4 against Geelong. Dangerfield going out in an already thin midfield along with the following outs: Rohan, Stanley, C.Guthrie, Stengle, Close, SDK, J.Henry.
To have the opposition at $4 at their home ground is insane.

This week, with Mitch Duncan, going out, Geelong’s midfield is paper thin.
Sports bet currently has Geelong @ $1.66 and Fremantle @ $2.18 in Perth.
Not as crazy money as last week, but I cannot possibly see how these odds resemble reality.

At the moment, people could make some good money betting against Geelong. Clearly it’s the name that has the odds so short. The lineup itself, particular with the midfield, does not warrant that.

They set a starting price early in the week and everything after that is reacting to the bets placed by gamblers.

If Richmond were $4, it's because nobody was betting on them.

 

[Ginnieboy]

Do you have 7-8 injuries (including your 3 best midfielders) to first 22, like Geelong?

I’m not sure how them having those three players is analogous to the OP?

You don’t understand much do you?

 

[ourgameplandoesntwork]

You don’t understand much do you?

Still salty about last years QF?

 

[Ginnieboy]

Still salty about last years QF?

Umm, nah, WTF are you on about?

 

[Danw0w]

Not often…

Not at all

 

[Meteoric Rise]

Thinly veiled Cats keep getting beaten as short priced favourites because they are chokers thread.

 

[#23 Hill]

Think I'd prefer to win. Than make excuses for why we lost.

 

[Fadge]

Agree with the OP. Not sure how Geelong are faves.

My big multi for the weekend:
Port
Freo
Pies

Thought $8 was overs.

 

[HTPunter]

Do you have 7-8 injuries (including your 3 best midfielders) to first 22, like Geelong?

I’m not sure how them having those three players is analogous to the OP?

They’ve had some of the most depleted tall stocks in the comp (bar WCE and Sydney).

Cameron, Cox, McStay, Krueger, Howe all missed significant time, plus their depth ruck option in Begg, and Frampton missed a week.

 

[Ginnieboy]

I honestly don’t see them making the 8, even at full strength they aren’t causing us or a few others many concerns.

 

[BEEG]

Doing the old reverse mozz to get his team the win.

 

[Dazb86]

OP is 100% a betting agency owner.

I can see through your web of lies you wretched life leech.

 

[maskmcgee]

$1.66 and Fremantle @ $2.18 in Perth.

View attachment 1691298

The real money was the huge $$$ I won betting on North in this game. Why are you jumping up and down about some piddily $2 odds?

 

[MC Extra Dollop]

I thought last week was 50/50 at best: at least Lynch and Nankervis - two crucial players for Richmond - mitigated our outs to some extent. I'd give us like a 25% chance of winning today.

 

[The 747]

I was astounded last week when I heard that Richmond were out to $4 against Geelong. Dangerfield going out in an already thin midfield along with the following outs: Rohan, Stanley, C.Guthrie, Stengle, Close, SDK, J.Henry.
To have the opposition at $4 at their home ground is insane.

This week, with Mitch Duncan, going out, Geelong’s midfield is paper thin.
Sports bet currently has Geelong @ $1.66 and Fremantle @ $2.18 in Perth.
Not as crazy money as last week, but I cannot possibly see how these odds resemble reality.

At the moment, people could make some good money betting against Geelong. Clearly it’s the name that has the odds so short. The lineup itself, particular with the midfield, does not warrant that.

Nice shill. Hope they pay you for the free advertising.