That is crazy that sports bet has such a high vig and offers such poor value odds.Sports bet currently has Geelong @ $1.66 and Fremantle @ $2.18 in Perth.
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That is crazy that sports bet has such a high vig and offers such poor value odds.Sports bet currently has Geelong @ $1.66 and Fremantle @ $2.18 in Perth.
I got $3.20 straight after the Sydney v Freo win. I should be paying off my house later today.I was astounded last week when I heard that Richmond were out to $4 against Geelong. Dangerfield going out in an already thin midfield along with the following outs: Rohan, Stanley, C.Guthrie, Stengle, Close, SDK, J.Henry.
To have the opposition at $4 at their home ground is insane.
This week, with Mitch Duncan, going out, Geelong’s midfield is paper thin.
Sports bet currently has Geelong @ $1.66 and Fremantle @ $2.18 in Perth.
Not as crazy money as last week, but I cannot possibly see how these odds resemble reality.
At the moment, people could make some good money betting against Geelong. Clearly it’s the name that has the odds so short. The lineup itself, particular with the midfield, does not warrant that.
When Betting Agencies Get It Wrong…
Hawthorn 1.25 tomorrow is wrong too. Should be 1.90.
Hawks won't be able to contain Allen
Tell me after the Fremantle v Geelong game if I’m right…
46-29.Go stare at your betting app instead.
This old Chestnut again...Sports betting agencies don't predict the likelihood of a team winning.
They aim to offer odds so that they get an even spread of bets on either side. If they anticipate more bets on one team than another then they will drop the odds far further than expected.
Hawthorn vs West Coast is a good example. The game might not be that far from 50/50 on paper, but would anyone in their right mind put real money on West Coast travelling at the moment? The odds on West Coast are big to try and get half the bets on their side of the ledger.
My observation is that generally the big Victorian teams (Carlton in particular, but also Essendon and Collingwood) have slightly worse odds than form would predict most weeks, simply because they have the most supporters and therefore pick up a few extra bets that way. Most years across the last 20, if you just bet against Carlton every week you would have done extremely well, because the odds were favourable and Carlton have further underperformed (even relative to ladder position).
Other way round, they want you to bet on Freo so they are worried about bets on Geelong.Did the Sportsbet social media person create this thread over company-wide panic of the amount of money they're going to lose from people betting on Freo?
I'm sure there are more intelligent ways of saying this and far more poetic but I feel like simplicity is best: EAD and learn to footyGeelong have a very good system, Freo have a very bad system, they dont care who is out there.
PUNTING BOARD FFS.
Nobody GAF about your betting.
I haven't checked the punting thread for this round, but I'm wiulling to bet the truth is nobody cares about the result because there's no value in H2H bets. Go look, people will be winning $51 goalscorer and disposal bets. That's where the value is.
Fremantle were certainties against a depleted Cats missing their entire midfield. Plenty of opportunity, with much more certainty than Hail Mary bets.I haven't checked the punting thread for this round, but I'm wiulling to bet the truth is nobody cares about the result because there's no value in H2H bets. Go look, people will be winning $51 goalscorer and disposal bets. That's where the value is.
Fremantle were certainties against a depleted Cats missing their entire midfield. Plenty of opportunity, with much more certainty than Hail Mary bets.
Seems like you’ve left some on the table then.I'm up 50 times my original investment this year. I sure as hell didn't win that by betting on H2H results.
The punting board don’t care about it either.PUNTING BOARD FFS.
Nobody GAF about your betting.