catempire
Premium Platinum
Just did the ladder predictor and got:I said elsewhere on the site 4 months ago the end to their season could see them tumble out. And they're now teetering.
IF: We go 3 losses for Carlton 12 wins won't likely be enough. They have BL (Gabba), Melbourne (G), Collingwood (G). I'd say they're underdogs in all 3.
1 wins gets them to 13 wins.
IF: We give all other relevant games to the higher team at the time.
R20: Rich lose to BL.
R21: Dogs lose to Freo, Saints lose to Cats, Tigers beat Port. (assuming BL beat Carl).
Carl 48
STK 44
Rich 42
Dogs 40
R22: STK lose to BL, Dogs beat GWS, Tigers beat Hawks. (Assuming Dees beat Blues).
Carl 48
Rich 46
Dogs 44
STK 44
R23: Rich beat Ess, Dogs beat Hawks, STK lose to Swans. (assuming Coll beats Blues)
Tigers 50
Dogs 48
-------
Blues 48
STK 44
Now the thing about that is IMO the Dogs are more likely to beat Freo (docklands) and the saints have a better chance of snagging a game at Marvel v BL or Syd than Carlton do in any of their last 3 games. So if the dogs can snag Freo next week and the Tiges can beat BL at the G the same weekend, then it opens up Carlton beating one of the 3 they have left and still missing out.
IMO 0 wins from 3 and they're out. 1 from 3 is 50:50 and 2-3 from 3 is 100% in the finals.




