dogwatch
Premium Platinum
Where did this Macquarie Point Folly originate from anyway?Everton completed a new stadium in England this year, 52-53,000 capacity (that can be increased later on a bit) and its cost is estimated to be about $1.6b. Plus that was build on the waterfront of a heritage site, so a lot of additional cost to mitigate flood risks etc
$710mil was probably still dreaming for a stadium about half the size & half the facilities. Plus it’s Tassie, so there will be a hell of a lot of transport costs to get things there.
Bin it, we don’t need any more teams anyway.
Tasmania had been agitating for years for an AFL team, a seat at the big table. It was a matter of state pride, not to mention the prospect of increased tourism revenue. However its white papers had been ignored. Its entreaties fell on deaf ears. The AFL's focus was instead firmly on the large population centres in the rugby league heartland. Sydney with over 5 million people. South-East Queensland with around 4 million. Tassy had a piddling half a million and anyway it was a captive AFL market already.
Or at least it was until credible reports started emerging about footy dying out in the state. So with the Suns and the Giants well on their way the AFL thought it had better do something about this troublesome island.
It still held all the aces so it was able to negotiate from a position of strength. "You want to join the AFL? Well here's what you've gotta do ..." And sure enough politicians lined up to bend the knee to Gillon & co.
The AFL has a history of conning governments into building the stadiums that help deliver it the rivers of gold. All they have to do is carry on running the most popular and lucrative sporting competition in the country while governments scramble to get a piece of the action. It has assembled a nice little stable of stadiums it has winter rights to - the grand (MCG), the historic (SCG) the boutique (Marvel) and the modern (Optus, AO, etc). After the failure of Waverley Park in Melbourne the key features of stadium strategy have been centrality, modernity and ease of access. So they couldn't contemplate a Tasmanian team operating out of remote Bellerive, or worse still, second-class Launceston. It had to be on prime real estate close to the CBD and public transport. Better chuck a roof on it too. We've heard it gets pretty cold, wet and windy on the other side of Bass Strait.
For once Labor and the Liberals in Tasmania were in wholehearted agreement on something, even if it was going to leave the state in hock for decades. Their business cases were more about the feelgood benefits than the financial ones. (The latest report estimates the returns to Tasmania will be about 45c for every government dollar spent.)
So it has now become the AUKUS of the Apple Isle. Duping of both sides of politics into support for a grand folly that will probably never get delivered. Or if it does it will cost way more than what has been suggested and will deliver many more problems than benefits for its starry eyed proponents.
Its path from this point will certainly be worth following. The project might still get the green light from Tasmania's parliament if enough of the sceptical cross benchers get behind it. I'd love to be a fly on the various walls where all the backroom "persuasion" is going to take place! Even if it proceeds, somebody interviewed on the 7:30 Report tonight said that $1.13 billion was likely to be at the bottom end of the likely actual cost range.
If the project falls through will Tassy still get the 19th club licence? The sensible thing to do would be to revert to Bellerive for a decade or two, with the occasional home game in Launceston of course. Perhaps eventually build a more affordable stadium in a less problematic location as close as possible to the Hobart CBD.
The AFL would have to eat a fair bit of humble pie for that to happen. It does not like to be associated with failed business ventures. But it would also find it hard to backtrack now on all the hype, the planning and the expense that it set rolling when it waved its wand and brought the Tassy Devils into being.
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I'll have to memorise the Geelong FC number.