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AFLW Round 10 - 2025 AFLW Season

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Jul 5, 2011
Posts
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Location
Melbourne
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Other Teams
Afghan Women's XI, Melbourne Storm NRLW
All times are AEDT.


Friday 17 October

Port Adelaide (13th, 3-6)
vs Hawthorn (2nd, 8-1)
7.15pm, Alberton Oval
7mate (VIC, SA, NSW, QLD)

West Coast (8th, 5-4) vs Geelong (10th, 4-5)
9.15pm, Sullivan Logistics Stadium
7mate (WA)


Saturday 18 October

Melbourne (3rd, 7-2)
vs Sydney (9th, 5-4)
1.05pm, Casey Fields
7mate (NSW)

North Melb. (1st, 9-0) vs Adelaide (5th, 6-3)
3.05pm, Arden Street Oval
7mate (SA)

GWS Giants (15th, 2-7) vs Fremantle (11th, 4-5)
3.05pm, Henson Park
7mate (NSW, WA)

Carlton (6th, 6-3) vs St Kilda (7th, 6-3)
7.15pm, Ikon Park
7mate (VIC)


Sunday 19 October

Essendon (14th, 3-6)
vs Brisbane (4th, 6-3)
1.05pm, Windy Hill
Seven (VIC, SA); 7mate (QLD, WA, NSW)

Collingwood (16th, 2-7) vs Richmond (17th, 1-8)
3.05pm, Victoria Park
Seven (VIC, SA); 7mate (WA, QLD)

Gold Coast (18th, 1-8) vs W. Bulldogs (12th, 3-6)
5.05pm, Great Barrier Reef Arena
7mate (QLD)


4th match between Port Adelaide and Hawthorn, 1st time in South Australia.

Geelong have won their last 3 against West Coast. The Eagles are 4-0 at home this year, but this will be their first match at Leederville for 2025.

Melbourne and Sydney meet for the first time, leaving Hawthorn vs North Melbourne as the only AFLW matchup yet to occur (fixtured for Round 12).

9th match between North Melbourne and Adelaide, 1st time at Arden Street Oval. Last 4 games have been decided by 8 points or less, including 2 finals. North Melbourne have won 21 in a row and are undefeated in their past 23 matches.

Fremantle have won their last 3 against GWS.

3rd match between Gold Coast and Western Bulldogs, 3rd time in Queensland. In the only previous two encounters, both teams scored between 41 and 48 points on each occasion.


Head-to-head records
Port Adelaide 1 - Hawthorn 2 (last met: SF 2024, PA won by 1)
West Coast 1 - Geelong 3 (last met: R9 2024, Geel won by 33)
Melbourne 0 - Sydney 0
North Melb. 4 - Adelaide 4 (last met: QF 2024, NM won by 7)
GWS Giants 1 - Fremantle 3 - Draw 1 (last met: R9 2024, Frem won by 30)
Carlton 4 - St Kilda 1 (last met: R10 2023, StK won by 20)
Essendon 0 - Brisbane 1 (last met: R6 2022 S7, BL won by 18)
Collingwood 2 - Richmond 2 (last met: R6 2024, Rich won by 36)
Gold Coast 1 - W. Bulldogs 0 - Draw 1 (last met: R4 2023, GC won by 4)
 
My weekly tips on a tuesday:

hawks over port by 17 points
west coast over cats by 14 points
melbourne over swans by 20 points
north over crows by 24 points
gws over freo by 10 points
stkilda over blues by 11 points
lions over bombers by 20 points
pies over tigers by 4 points
suns over dogs by 17 points
 
A lot of great matchups across the Friday and Saturday with heaps on the line, and there are also 3 games on Sunday.

PA v Haw
Without Dowrick and then losing Window in Q1, Port Adelaide made a good effort to produce 13 scoring shots against Brisbane's 17 in last week's pinball derby. Nevertheless they haven't improved at all wrt blind kicking forward of centre, making it hard to tip them against any team with a decent backline.

For Hawthorn, the ticket back to a 2nd v 3rd Qualifying Final at Ikon Park is assured if they win their next 2 against Port and Essendon, without needing any specific result (be it a win, draw or % boost) in R12 vs NM.


WCE v Geel
Slightly different stakes for West Coast, but a similar equation. Taking care of their next 2, which are both very winnable, will pretty much lock them in for finals and ease the pressure from R12 vs Carlton. But unlike Hawthorn, the Eagles don't have anybody aged 23+ playing well, so it's a big ask of the kids to withstand the heat.

On Geelong, AFL.com.au's Gemma Bastiani sounded insane the other day, insisting they are zero chance to play finals. Last year the Cats easily beat the Eagles in WA and narrowly lost at home to Melbourne (who icymi haven't been great away from Casey). They repeat those two fixtures to close out the H&A, with a match against the Dogs in between...

Here's what a fair dinkum analyst would say: "With the list they have, Geelong should be winning their last 3 games. And if they don't, the coach should be fired." Acting as though it's already impossible for them to finish in the 8 just looks like a pre-emptive attempt to cushion any warranted criticism if/when the team does underperform.
 
Pies Carly Remmos unfortunately ruled out of season has a chest join issue to resolve speedy recovery carly.
Ash Centra is still a test might miss again.
Not too many coming in.
Apart from Remmos only change.
not sure on a couple of others either.
No to sure on how many they will get at Vic park sunday as entry is free.
Really a nothing game for both teams to be honest.
 

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Melb-Syd
8 goals greater at Casey than elsewhere, to be specific about Melbourne's season. None of Chloe Molloy's teams have ever been fixtured to play at the Killing Fields before, and she will miss her first opportunity due to a back injury. By 'simply' avoiding a % battering, the Swans will still be in decent shape to make the 8 with games against WCE and Ess to come.


Thoughts on the next 2 games which are played at the same time (while the 5pm slot is left vacant) and therefore they are to be read at the same time:

nmadelgwsfrem.png

Carl-StK
St Kilda are doing quite well to roll on despite the mounting number of injuries to important players. By contrast, Carlton completely fell apart in the absence of Mimi Hill last week against a Sofia Hurley-less Sydney, and they didn't exactly conjure amazing 4-quarter efforts earlier in the year without Abbie McKay. Hill is set to miss another 2-3 weeks, tempting me to back the Saints.

Regardless it's definitely one the Blues should be handling at home, despite more gutless decisions at the selection table. Somebody made the point during the week that Buck and co. reveal themselves to be still only flirting with the idea of speed and youth via things like having Nyakoat Dojiok as a mere train-on while the likes of Vescio and Good keep getting games.
 
Ess v BL
There's every chance this is the first match Breanna Koenen will miss, according to AFL.com.au's Sarah Black. Koenen played her 100th last week, a fortnight after fellow inaugural Brisbane player Ally Anderson played her 100th. One might therefore think this would be Koenen's 3rd absence, but anyway...

In somewhat controversial fashion, Bonnie Toogood hasn't kicked a goal since Round 2, and the trade off to having her play further afield isn't working. She's taking 5.3 marks per game, but almost never taking the omnipresent opportunity to play on quickly with a kick to Georgia Gee's advantage out the back. And you do get the sense this stale plan of attack is what the coach wants.


Coll v Rich
I'm expecting the Tigers to control most of this match against the Pies and the R12 game vs Gold Coast, and also expecting they'll shoot themselves in the foot on at least 1 of those occasions.


GC v WB
Gold Coast got an MRO ruling with Annabel Kievit just as fortunate as what the Bulldogs reaped a week later with Isabelle Pritchard. Yet one paid 6th division, the other hit the jackpot (with her elbow), and this discrepancy may very well ensure the Dogs equal last year's win tally while leaving the Suns as the league's only 1-win team by the end of the weekend (and maybe season).
 
Scholz a great player, great athlete. Don't have to praise her for burning a teammate on the fastbreak though, commentators.
 

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The game seems exciting, but you can't really tell from the commentators, they are boring. If they were commentating the North v Essendon goalfest (2001) they'd turn it into a snorefest.
 
The crap umpiring decisions get talked about a fair bit, but let's not also forget how bad the umpires (both field and boundary) are at simply throwing the ball in the air. I think they're getting worse!

Houghton with 3 goals, hasn't got out of 2nd gear. Port have Crows next week but then GWS to finish off the season, so still a chance of winning the goalkicking with another good half here.
 
Theyre commentating from the studio. Still, better than kelli underwood
Not even close, I think Underwood is a lot better than these snoozers, but I do think they are better than Abbey Holmes.
 

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The crap umpiring decisions get talked about a fair bit, but let's not also forget how bad the umpires (both field and boundary) are at simply throwing the ball in the air. I think they're getting worse!

Houghton with 3 goals, hasn't got out of 2nd gear. Port have Crows next week but then GWS to finish off the season, so still a chance of winning the goalkicking with another good half here.
It's hard to believe Port is the only other team besides North with two or more players with 16+ goals, they went into tonight's game in the bottom six on the ladder.
 
Don't you just love the inconsistency of the umpires, Hawks kick the ball out of bounds near the port post and it's a throw in, when Port kick it out of bounds it's an intentional free. The Hawks kick looked more intentional than the Port kick.
 
Don't you just love the inconsistency of the umpires, Hawks kick the ball out of bounds near the port post and it's a throw in, when Port kick it out of bounds it's an intentional free. The Hawks kick looked more intentional than the Port kick.

Ffs, what is your issue with hawthorn? Reckon you spend more time bashing everything hawthorn than you do supporting north
 

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