Resource 2025 AFL Draft prospects and discussion.

[CROUCH #2]

I'm hoping we go for Blake Thredgold from sturt with our 1st pick

 

[Danger in Texas]

Out of interest, how many picks will be gobbled up by the GC, BRIS, CARL bids?

Right now before our round 3 pick those teams hold;
GC: 15, 18, 24, 28, 29, 36
BRIS: 17, 23, 44
CARL: 9, 11, 43

Thats already 12 of a possible 32 picks between 16-48 that have potential bid implications right? Am I missing anyone?

I imagine GC will try to move 15 and/or 18 down even further, too. Let’s say they get two picks for those selections, each

That’s 10 selections between those two picks, that plus Sydney’s three picks for King/Carmichael points

Our first will be lower, but I assume 48 will come into about 41 or 42

 

[Danger in Texas]

I'm hoping we go for Blake Thredgold from sturt with our 1st pick

Talented prospect, have him mid 20’s, but I kinda hope we don’t go with a genuine KPD or KPF with our first

Yeah I know, talent over need in the draft, but given the age profile of our bookends it doesn’t make the most sense? Only type of taller player I’d probably look at in the first round is Marsh as a mobile 3rd tall forward

 

[bigman]

Out of interest, how many picks will be gobbled up by the GC, BRIS, CARL bids?

Right now before our round 3 pick those teams hold;
GC: 15, 18, 24, 28, 29, 36
BRIS: 17, 23, 44
CARL: 9, 11, 43

Thats already 12 of a possible 32 picks between 16-48 that have potential bid implications right? Am I missing anyone?

I’m guessing all will be traded out before or on the night.

Unfortunately we don’t have the picks in this draft to provide meaningful points for GC. Carlton may look to move up or move one into next year.

Looking at the open pool, let’s assume we still end up with the 16th player. Early days still but this is how I’d roughly see it:

Top Echelon:

Duursma
CDT
X. Taylor
Grlj
Robey
Cumming
Sharp
Farrow

Next group:

Schubert
Dovaston
Lindsay
Marsh

Our mix:

Greeves
Phillipou
O.Taylor
Barker
NHH

There will be more bolters and sliders but at this stage that’s how I see it.

Barker probably the most likely, assuming we are ok with his knee going forward.

As you can see we probably aren’t blessed with options, so getting up the draft would be nice but no point getting our hopes up.

I think Bicks would be happy with that result though.

Edit: deleted Grlj for some reason.

 

[Danger in Texas]

I’m guessing all will be traded out before or on the night.

Unfortunately we don’t have the picks in this draft to provide meaningful points for GC. Carlton may look to move up or move one into next year.

Looking at the open pool, let’s assume we still end up with the 16th player. Early days still but this is how I’d roughly see it:

Top Echelon:

Duursma
CDT
X. Taylor
Robey
Cumming
Sharp
Farrow

Next group:

Schubert
Dovaston
Lindsay
Marsh

Our mix:

Greeves
Phillipou
O.Taylor
Barker
NHH

There will be more bolters and sliders but at this stage that’s how I see it.

Barker probably the most likely, assuming we are ok with his knee going forward.

As you can see we probably aren’t blessed with options, so getting up the draft would be nice but no point getting our hopes up.

I think Bicks would be happy with that result though.

This seems about right

My favourite of those guys would probably be Taylor, then Barker, Phillipou, NHH, then Greeves. But all are in my top 25 or so

Cumming could slide down a tier if guru rankings are anything to go by, same with Farrow, and given the recent trend of getting quality small forwards at all costs Dovaston could go up a tier

 

[bigman]

Dovaston was one I was hoping might get to us but he just kept playing well and then tested well at the combine.

He’s not perfect but he suits the modern game. Smart, pretty light on his feet and strong through the hips and over the ball.

 

[Scorpus]

Too much talk of SA players who typically underwhelm compared to where they are taken.

Who are the Victorian midfielders or key forwards that will be available with our first rounder?

 

[Dewy006]

Whats our list situation looking like? How many “live” picks are we likely to be using in the draft?

 

[bigman]

Too much talk of SA players who typically underwhelm compared to where they are taken.

Who are the Victorian midfielders or key forwards that will be available with our first rounder?

Greeves is a slight chance. Jobe Watson type midfielder who is slow but great distributor by hand or foot. Not an absolute bull like Sharp but big lad at 191cm and already well built (maybe a bit heavy even).

Oskar Taylor a super quick half back with a decent left foot. Very light but clean and competitive so could become a mid in time, otherwise projects as a better Will Hamill.

Tall forwards? Probably Archie Ludowyke who was only just going before a PCL injury. Nice player and highly touted heading into this year but needs to find some more aggression and presence. 197cm.

Agree with Bicks on Liam Hetherton, who is a similar size and showed good signs last year but mostly injured this season. Would be a surprise at this stage if he was in the mix but wouldn’t be against it, there’s a player there.

 

[Danger in Texas]

Whats our list situation looking like? How many “live” picks are we likely to be using in the draft?

3 live picks (16, 48, 55) + Ah Chee, probably

Would surprise me if we didn’t move around some picks on draft night with the F2 and F3, given we were prepared to trade them for Cal

 

[bigman]

3 live picks (16, 48, 55) + Ah Chee, probably

Would surprise me if we didn’t move around some picks on draft night with the F2 and F3, given we were prepared to trade them for Cal

We got 64 back from North. Guessing they will be used as steak knives in a pick swap?

 

[#BallMagnet]

SA talent doesn’t appear crash hot next year, though we have showed that’s not the be all and end all.

The bigger issue is what losing our 2026 1st could do to our trading hand.

I’d probably be willing to do it if we were to get an end of first round pick or at worst a very early second back in next years draft.

But when you are dealing with future picks, nothing is certain.

Except maybe West Coast being poor. They could be a team to deal with.

I think you're underselling the depth of SA Talent in 2026.
I reckon they'll be very competative and one of the stronger national squads along with Vic C.
Also it might be the last opportunity to load up on young talent before the Tassie concessions kick in.

 

[bigman]

I think you're underselling the depth of SA Talent in 2026.
I reckon they'll be very competative and one of the stronger national squads along with Vic C.
Also it might be the last opportunity to load up on young talent before the Tassie concessions kick in.

Possibly. Although im obviously not including Cochrane given his (bullshit) connection to Port.

Vic C was the real disappointment this year, if they had more players emerge this year’s draft wouldn’t have nearly as much hate.

 

[Danger in Texas]

We got 64 back from North. Guessing they will be used as steak knives in a pick swap?

I’m guessing we just use it to bring in an F4 or something, can’t see that pick having any general value otherwise

 

[bigman]

I’m guessing we just use it to bring in an F4 or something, can’t see that pick having any general value otherwise

We already traded our f4 in the Maley deal. Hopefully it would be an f4 from a club we expect to finish low.

 

[Mutineer]

I’m guessing all will be traded out before or on the night.

Unfortunately we don’t have the picks in this draft to provide meaningful points for GC. Carlton may look to move up or move one into next year.

Looking at the open pool, let’s assume we still end up with the 16th player. Early days still but this is how I’d roughly see it:

Top Echelon:

Duursma
CDT
X. Taylor
Grlj
Robey
Cumming
Sharp
Farrow

Next group:

Schubert
Dovaston
Lindsay
Marsh

Our mix:

Greeves
Phillipou
O.Taylor
Barker
NHH

There will be more bolters and sliders but at this stage that’s how I see it.

Barker probably the most likely, assuming we are ok with his knee going forward.

As you can see we probably aren’t blessed with options, so getting up the draft would be nice but no point getting our hopes up.

I think Bicks would be happy with that result though.

Edit: deleted Grlj for some reason.

Barker is the only one of your mix that I'm overly keen on.

 

[bigman]

Barker is the only one of your mix that I'm overly keen on.

Plenty can change but you’d have to think at this stage those are likely the players in the mix?

I’m well aware you want Byrne. I don’t disagree, it would just be a surprise at that pick.

 

[Mutineer]

Plenty can change but you’d have to think at this stage those are likely in the players in the mix?

I’m well aware you want Byrne. I don’t disagree, it would just be a surprise at that pick.

I rate Talor Byrne very very highly but I want a midfielder with our 1st pick and that's down to Fred Rodriguez or Riley Onley. Cannot see Talor Byrne going that high, just hasn't had the fanfare he deserves ...my hope is we trade up if it's possible to land Byrne or Liam Hetherton with our 3rd's, Blake Oudshoon-Bennier it's possible he's still there at our 3rd pick, another that hasn't had the fanfare he deserves.

 

[bigman]

I rate Talor Byrne very very highly but I want a midfielder with our 1st pick and that's down to Fred Rodriguez or Riley Onley. Cannot see Talor Byrne going that high, just hasn't had the fanfare he deserves ...my hope is we trade up if it's possible to land Byrne or Liam Hetherton with our 3rd's, Blake Oudshoon-Bennier it's possible he's still there at our 3rd pick, another that hasn't had the fanfare he deserves.

Rodriguez looked very good last year.

Champs were only passable. Don’t see a heap of colts games, did he stagnate this year?

 

[Danger in Texas]

Plenty can change but you’d have to think at this stage those are likely the players in the mix?

I’m well aware you want Byrne. I don’t disagree, it would just be a surprise at that pick.

Not too much of a surprise, Byrne’s probably in that next tier down and because of the athletic traits he has, could jump up if a team’s looking for a specialist

I’m with Mutineer on Onley, got some eyecatching traits for his size, kicking is average though which probably puts him into the next tier down for mine, but would be okay with taking him nonetheless

 

[Mutineer]

Rodriguez looked very good last year.

Champs were only passable. Don’t see a heap of colts games, did he stagnate this year?

Only passable?

He was the Black Swans MVP at the Nationals and made the U18's All Australian team off the back of his Nationals campaign?

Seems the WA selectors and the All Australian selectors thought he was a bit better than passable.

 

[bigman]

Only passable?

He was the Black Swans MVP at the Nationals and made the U18's All Australian team off the back of his Nationals campaign?

Seems the WA selectors and the All Australian selectors thought he was a bit better than passable.

View attachment 2459087

Based on what I expected? I thought he was a bit underwhelming.

Passable was probably a bit harsh.

I thought going into this year he projected as their best prospect and a potential top 10. Which he is neither.

I liked what I saw more last year. Doesn’t mean I don’t rate him.

Btw your boy Greeves is in that team too.

 

[WAG]

Appreciate all your info and expertise.

I was wondering of the midfielders which may be available in our range (11-20 depending on what we do), who have the better foot skills, and which are the burst through stoppage players?



EDIT: Just looked back a few pages and Rodriguez was mentioned. And Onley.

 

[Carmo]

How many South australians or SA based players do we think will go in the draft?

Sharp
Marsh
Schubert
Cumming
Phillipou
Barker
Le Ray
Threadgold
LRT
LSP
BOB
Dahlitz
Nairn

That's 13 and in a poor draft there's only typically 45-55 taken isn't there?

Does this mean South Australians are gonna make up a quarter of the draft or are ppl way over rating the lower down South Aussies?

 

[bigman]

How many South australians or SA based players do we think will go in the draft?

Sharp
Marsh
Schubert
Cumming
Phillipou
Barker
Le Ray
Threadgold
LRT
LSP
BOB
Dahlitz
Nairn

That's 13 and in a poor draft there's only typically 45-55 taken isn't there?

Does this mean South Australians are gonna make up a quarter of the draft or are ppl way over rating the lower down South Aussies?

LRT probably a bit old these days to get drafted.

I think at least 10. Wouldn’t write off Cook either.