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Analysis 2026 umpiring in games involving 1 Victorian team vs. 1 Non Victorian team

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Rant incoming. But please read.

Free kicks for Victorian teams vs. Non Victorian teams - Running count

Winning the count
Victorian teams: 14
Non Victorian: 1
Draw: 1

Total frees
Victorian teams: 342
Non Victorian teams: 261

There may be an argument for home team bias, winning teams earn more frees.

Here are som examples of this not happening so far in 2026: All these games free kick counts were won by the losing, away team.

GWS (122) vs. Hawthorn (95) - Sydney
Gold Coast (125) vs Geelon (69) - GC
Port (133) vs Essendon (70) AO
Freo (118) v Melbourne (70) - Perth
west Coast (111) vs North Melbourne (94) - Perth

This is an extreme statistical anomaly. One that doesn't make sense. One that MUST be investigated by Sports Integrity Australia and the ACMA and I will be emailing them to do so.

Look it could be one giant coincidence. But it might not be. And it isn't sitting well with me.

Will anything be done? Almost certainly not. But I'm sick of it.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
Needs to be picked up by all the non-Vic media and an official compliant registered and spread so that the Vic media picks it up.

The referring to Sports Integrity Ausyralia is a good one, nothing will happen bit there needs to be some noise around this
 

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And it goes on! Absolutely unbelievable.

2026 Free kicks for Victorian teams vs. Non Victorian teams - Running count

Winning the count
Victorian teams: 18
Non Victorian: 2
Draw: 2

Total frees
Victorian teams: 462
Non Victorian teams: 368
 
And it goes on! Absolutely unbelievable.

2026 Free kicks for Victorian teams vs. Non Victorian teams - Running count

Winning the count
Victorian teams: 18
Non Victorian: 2
Draw: 2

Total frees
Victorian teams: 462
Non Victorian teams: 368
Smells very troy pannelli
 
That really shouldn’t even be possible.
Statistically proven that the umpires are biased in their support of Victorian teams as it's near on statistically impossible to be chance.
 
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Be interesting to see if anyone in the media picks up on this.

Laugh Smile GIF by Vadoo TV
 

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Those numbers make interesting reading. Are there betting markets for which team will get the most free kicks a game? Might be an opportunity to make some money if the trend continues.
 
Geelong genuinely approaching 2016 Bulldogs territory. 102-58 is staggering.

Also funny to note Carlton and Collingwood are in the bottom 10 with negative differentials. But the only reason they have negative differentials is because of games against other Vic teams. Against interstate sides they are still:
Carlton: 23-19 from one game
Collingwood: 47-44 from 3 games
 
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How the **** can Geelong have +11 differential per game, over 4 games.

That's nuts. That's like an extra player.
The Cats have received 102 frees and given away only 58.
That is an average of only 14.5 frees against per game in 4 games played.
That is an average of only 3.6 frees against per quarter per game. In an average of 30 minutes of footy per quarter!
That's an average of less than 1 free against for every 10 minutes of footy. 10 freaking minutes! Are you kidding me?
That is insane. Ridiculous.
They must be the cleanest most disciplined side running around.
Or maybe something else?????
 

The Cats are nearly getting a 2 for 1 free kick ratio.

Helped in their game against us they had 2 known Cat supporting umpires, which was meant to prevent them from umpiring Cats games.
 
The Cats are nearly getting a 2 for 1 free kick ratio.

Helped in their game against us they had 2 known Cat supporting umpires, which was meant to prevent them from umpiring Cats games.
It was awe inspiring watching Hawthorn get flattened by the umpires yesterday..its about as frequent as a blue moon...just a shame it was Geelong that got the benefit and not us for once
 

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