Dirty Bird
Pokémon Master
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- Aug 1, 2010
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Firstly, let me say it looks like I've only severly overrated 3 teams this year, you might even be able to argue 6 as results havn't gone against (in the W/L category) Boise State, Ohio and Texas A&M yet. Those 3 teams that I've overrated hard were Boston College, Houston and Washington State. I only brought this up as justification of Clemson raising up the table once again. I had them losing to Boston College pre-season (What was I thinking) so they're beack up to 12-1 getting back into and winning the ACC Championship.
To show they're not a complete joke, my pre-season tips. Of all the BigTen teams I only missed 1 tip this week, I only missed 1 tip in games involving c-usa teams, I was perfect with MAC schools, I was perfect with MWC schools and I was perfect on the SEC front too.
2 results led to 2 teams raising substantially, while some very unconvincing wins by a couple of teams had them drop a little bit as well.
So here's Dirty Bird's 25 for this week.
1. Alabama
2. Notre Dame
3. Ohio State
4. USC
5. West Virginia
6. TCU
7. Louisville
8. Clemson (+6)
9. LSU (-1)
10. Texas (-1)
11. Oregon (-1)
12. Texas A&M (-1)
13. Kansas State (-1)
14. Florida State (-1)
15. Cincinnati (+2)
16. South Carolina (+2)
17. Georgia (+2)
18. Boise State (-2)
19. Ohio (-4)
20. Louisiana Tech (New)
21. Nebraska (-1)
22. Rutgers (-1)
23. Wisconsin
24. Michigan State
25. Michigan
Dropped Out: 22. Virginia Tech
1. Alabama - Idle
2. Notre Dame vs Miami (Fl) - No upsetting the catholics now. Dealing with Tebowmania for 2 years was enough, lets keep 'em happy, who cares about upsetting the convicts though. We're Aussies, nothing to be afraid of. BTW - I may be wrong with some teams. But I'm not wrong with Notre Dame. You hit some, you miss some, it's your problem if you're going to whinge about your own opinion in comparison to mine. Notre Dame to win 35-14
3. Ohio State vs 21 Nebraska - I think I heard this stat going into the Ohio State-Michigan State game. Ohio State has not lost consecutive games vs a team since 2004. Nebraska won last year coming back from 3 scores down. Ohio State is on the improve as Miller improves. Though, it's a slow process. Nebraska's best hope is that the Buckeyes take it easy after a tough game last week. Ohio State to win 35-21
4. USC @ Utah - If this was last year, I would have had this being a really close game. But face it, Utah has gone backwards, while USC has gone forwards. USC to win 35-17
5. West Virginia @ 10 Texas - And College gameday is going to 16th vs 17th?
Oh well, their loss. West Virginia has an amazing offence led by Geno Smith. Texas has a functioning offence. West Virginia has, ummmmmmmm, 11 ghosts that people call a defence? Texas actually has a defence. Don't forget the home field advantage either. WVU will make some plays at times while Texas might shoot themselves in the foot. But this game is in my opinion going to be won by Texas' defence as they pressure Geno Smith enough to break up their offence. Now, even if this is proven correct, rankings will probably stay the same as my long term projections wouldn't change at all. But; Texas to win 52-35
6. TCU vs Iowa State - No point in doing a writeup when even the most moronic person out there knows what's going to go down here. TCU to win 38-0
7. Louisville - Idle
8. Clemson vs Georgia Tech - My god, these Yellow Jackets suck. If all go right for the Tigers it could be a 7 TD shutout win. Though, I doubt they'll go that good. But it isn't out of the realms of possibility. Clemson to win 35-7
9. LSU @ Florida - My projections do have an LSU win, but they are overrated, plus Florida do seem 'ok' this year. In the swamp I wouldn't be putting money on the Tigers as I think it'll go to the wire. I have a feeling I'll regret this, but I'll go with my projections. LSU to win 24-21
10. Texas vs 5. West Virginia - See above
11. Oregon vs Washington - If you love big cue cards, no defence, crowd members giving the finger to opposition players when they get their 1st lead or like playing video games. This is the game for you. Don't be shocked if these 2 replicate Baylor vs West Virginia (though, Oregon will get some big plays on the ground rather than 100% through the air). A few stops here or there and it can easily become a blowout for one team or another. This isn't the sort of game i'd enjoy, but I'm sure some of you will. Both teams will crack 30. Both teams should crack 40 and I wouldn't be shocked if both teams crack 50. But Oregon does have better class (players not fans - Or do they have a new Blount?). Oregon to win 63-56
12. Texas A&M @ Ole Miss - Texas A&M has brought something to the SEC that they havn't seen since Tebow left. AN OFFENCE! The SEC bottom feeders aint gonna be getting close to A&M, even if played at home. Texas A&M to win 48-17
13. Kansas State vs Kansas - What happened to the Jayhawks? I remember when they were good (2007 season). Though, even that side would struggle in stopping Collin Klein. If Kansas play their best for the whole game and Klein only plays half a game, then maybe, just maybe it could be 50/50. But I doubt Kansas can keep the pressure up for all 4 quarters. Due to this; Kansas State to win 49-14
14. Florida State @ NC State - Can we just fast forward time with the Seminoles? Lets just get to 9-0 already and watch my projected choke. That's all folks. Florida State to win 56-14
15. Cincinnati vs Miami (Oh) - Jesus christ, boring, change the Oh to Fl and who knows, might be entertaining. But Miami (Oh) aint gonna challenge Cincinnati. They couldn't even challenge Boise State for 4 quarters and Cincinnati is a better theam than them. Cincinnati to win 45-3
16. South Carolina vs 17. Georgia - You know, if I were to redo my ratings Georgia would probably be top 5. What was I thinking when I had them losing to Kentucky and Auburn
. Oh well, no changing things now, Winner to represent the SEC East in their championship. Both teams are worse than their teams last year, but I feel South Carolina has gone backwards more. But being in South Carolina is going to be what tilts me in that direction. South Carolina to win 35-31
17. Georgia @ 16. South Carolina - See above
18. Boise State @ Southern Miss - Are Southern Miss starting to click? Who knows. They seem that out of sorts that it could have just been a one off. On the weekend Boise State's defence just stopped trying thinking the game was over. It's clicking for sure, it's just a matter of which Boise offence turns up. If the offence that turned up vs BYU or Michigan State turns up, this is going to be a 50/50 coinflip. If this is the offence that turned up vs Miami (Oh) or New Mexico, it should be a comfortable win. It's too hard to predict so I'll just take the middle ground. Boise State to win 21-7
19. Ohio vs Buffalo - They're two insignificant programs FFS. Teams not worthy of writeup. Ohio to win 42-10
20. Louisiana Tech vs UNLV - And people criticised Boise State of scheduling easy OOC games? *cough cough* What's this guys? Louisiana Tech's offence is probably the 3rd best in a non-aq conference (behind Fresno State and Nevada) They're by far one of the top 4 non-aq sides in the country (With those 2 and Boise State). I can't even think of one redeeming feature that UNLV has which might keep this close. Louisiana Tech to win 49-13
21. Nebraska @ 3. Ohio State - See above
22. Rutgers vs Connecticut - If you can't beat Western Michigan and are being pushed to the limit by Buffalo, you must know you're shit. That's what Connecticut is. Rutgers to win 41-10
23. Wisconsin vs Illinois - The Badgers are starting to wake up, Illinois is in permafrost. Good luck stopping Monte Ball. Actually, why bother, luck wont be enough for Illinois to win. Wisconsin to win 27-3
24. Michigan State @ Indiana - Michigan State's offence might be shit, but so is Indiana's defence. While Indiana's average offence will be shut down by the Spartan's amazing defence. Michigan State to win 24-0
25. Michigan @ Purdue - Yawn, if I wanted to watch a game like this I'd just play NCAA 13. Give either team a defence and I might pay attention. Michigan to win 45-35
Bowl projections:
Eligable teams:
1. Alabama (SEC Champ)
2. Notre Dame (Notre Dame - Top 8)
4. USC (Pac-12 Champ)
5. West Virginia (Big XII Champ)
6. TCU (at large)
7. Louisville (Big East Champ)
8. Clemson (ACC Champ)
9. LSU (at large)
10. Texas (at large)
11. Oregon (at large)
12. Texas A&M (at large)
13. Kansas State (at large)
14. Florida State (at large)
25. Michigan (BigTen Champ)
BCS National Championship: 1. Alabama (1st) vs 2. Notre Dame (2nd)
Rose Bowl: 4. USC (Pac-12 champ) vs 25. Michigan (BigTen Champ)
Orange Bowl: 8. Clemson vs at large
Fiesta Bowl: 5. West Virginia vs at large
Sugar Bowl: at large vs at large
Remaining selections
6. TCU
7. Louisville (must be selected)
9. LSU
10. Texas
11. Oregon
12. Texas A&M
13. Kansas State
14. Florida State
1st Selection: Sugar Bowl - 9. LSU - They will take in-state team from their alligned conference to replace Alabama who they lose to the BCS National Championship.
This also eliminates Texas A&M from BCS caluclations as a conference can't have 3 representitives in BCS Bowls
2nd Selection: Fiesta Bowl - 11. Oregon - I doubt they'll take a BigXII team (TCU, Texas or Kansas State) as they've already seen ratings plummit (in comparision to other years) if you get a rematch like that seen in the 2012 BCS Championship. Plus imagine these 2 offenses going head to head. Could be eerily similar to Oklahoma State vs Stanford in 2012.
3rd Selection: Sugar Bowl - 10. Texas - When you have a selection of TCU vs Louisville vs Texas vs Kansas State vs Florida State. Only 3 had a chance, TCU, Texas and Florida State. The neutrals would prefer TCU, but that hasn't stopped the networks before. If Texas is available, you do NOT leave them out.
4th Selection: Orange Bowl - 7. Louisville - They have to be taken and this is the last selection. So via default.
This leaves it at;
BCS National Championship: 1. Alabama (1st) vs 2. Notre Dame (2nd)
Rose Bowl: 4. USC (Pac-12 champ) vs 25. Michigan (BigTen Champ)
Orange Bowl: 8. Clemson (ACC Champs) vs 7. Louisville (at large)
Fiesta Bowl: 5. West Virginia (Big XII Champs) vs 11. Oregon (at large)
Sugar Bowl: 9. LSU (at large) vs 10. Texas (at large)
To show they're not a complete joke, my pre-season tips. Of all the BigTen teams I only missed 1 tip this week, I only missed 1 tip in games involving c-usa teams, I was perfect with MAC schools, I was perfect with MWC schools and I was perfect on the SEC front too.
2 results led to 2 teams raising substantially, while some very unconvincing wins by a couple of teams had them drop a little bit as well.
So here's Dirty Bird's 25 for this week.
1. Alabama
2. Notre Dame
3. Ohio State
4. USC
5. West Virginia
6. TCU
7. Louisville
8. Clemson (+6)
9. LSU (-1)
10. Texas (-1)
11. Oregon (-1)
12. Texas A&M (-1)
13. Kansas State (-1)
14. Florida State (-1)
15. Cincinnati (+2)
16. South Carolina (+2)
17. Georgia (+2)
18. Boise State (-2)
19. Ohio (-4)
20. Louisiana Tech (New)
21. Nebraska (-1)
22. Rutgers (-1)
23. Wisconsin
24. Michigan State
25. Michigan
Dropped Out: 22. Virginia Tech
1. Alabama - Idle
2. Notre Dame vs Miami (Fl) - No upsetting the catholics now. Dealing with Tebowmania for 2 years was enough, lets keep 'em happy, who cares about upsetting the convicts though. We're Aussies, nothing to be afraid of. BTW - I may be wrong with some teams. But I'm not wrong with Notre Dame. You hit some, you miss some, it's your problem if you're going to whinge about your own opinion in comparison to mine. Notre Dame to win 35-14
3. Ohio State vs 21 Nebraska - I think I heard this stat going into the Ohio State-Michigan State game. Ohio State has not lost consecutive games vs a team since 2004. Nebraska won last year coming back from 3 scores down. Ohio State is on the improve as Miller improves. Though, it's a slow process. Nebraska's best hope is that the Buckeyes take it easy after a tough game last week. Ohio State to win 35-21
4. USC @ Utah - If this was last year, I would have had this being a really close game. But face it, Utah has gone backwards, while USC has gone forwards. USC to win 35-17
5. West Virginia @ 10 Texas - And College gameday is going to 16th vs 17th?
Oh well, their loss. West Virginia has an amazing offence led by Geno Smith. Texas has a functioning offence. West Virginia has, ummmmmmmm, 11 ghosts that people call a defence? Texas actually has a defence. Don't forget the home field advantage either. WVU will make some plays at times while Texas might shoot themselves in the foot. But this game is in my opinion going to be won by Texas' defence as they pressure Geno Smith enough to break up their offence. Now, even if this is proven correct, rankings will probably stay the same as my long term projections wouldn't change at all. But; Texas to win 52-356. TCU vs Iowa State - No point in doing a writeup when even the most moronic person out there knows what's going to go down here. TCU to win 38-0
7. Louisville - Idle
8. Clemson vs Georgia Tech - My god, these Yellow Jackets suck. If all go right for the Tigers it could be a 7 TD shutout win. Though, I doubt they'll go that good. But it isn't out of the realms of possibility. Clemson to win 35-7
9. LSU @ Florida - My projections do have an LSU win, but they are overrated, plus Florida do seem 'ok' this year. In the swamp I wouldn't be putting money on the Tigers as I think it'll go to the wire. I have a feeling I'll regret this, but I'll go with my projections. LSU to win 24-21
10. Texas vs 5. West Virginia - See above
11. Oregon vs Washington - If you love big cue cards, no defence, crowd members giving the finger to opposition players when they get their 1st lead or like playing video games. This is the game for you. Don't be shocked if these 2 replicate Baylor vs West Virginia (though, Oregon will get some big plays on the ground rather than 100% through the air). A few stops here or there and it can easily become a blowout for one team or another. This isn't the sort of game i'd enjoy, but I'm sure some of you will. Both teams will crack 30. Both teams should crack 40 and I wouldn't be shocked if both teams crack 50. But Oregon does have better class (players not fans - Or do they have a new Blount?). Oregon to win 63-56
12. Texas A&M @ Ole Miss - Texas A&M has brought something to the SEC that they havn't seen since Tebow left. AN OFFENCE! The SEC bottom feeders aint gonna be getting close to A&M, even if played at home. Texas A&M to win 48-17
13. Kansas State vs Kansas - What happened to the Jayhawks? I remember when they were good (2007 season). Though, even that side would struggle in stopping Collin Klein. If Kansas play their best for the whole game and Klein only plays half a game, then maybe, just maybe it could be 50/50. But I doubt Kansas can keep the pressure up for all 4 quarters. Due to this; Kansas State to win 49-14
14. Florida State @ NC State - Can we just fast forward time with the Seminoles? Lets just get to 9-0 already and watch my projected choke. That's all folks. Florida State to win 56-14
15. Cincinnati vs Miami (Oh) - Jesus christ, boring, change the Oh to Fl and who knows, might be entertaining. But Miami (Oh) aint gonna challenge Cincinnati. They couldn't even challenge Boise State for 4 quarters and Cincinnati is a better theam than them. Cincinnati to win 45-3
16. South Carolina vs 17. Georgia - You know, if I were to redo my ratings Georgia would probably be top 5. What was I thinking when I had them losing to Kentucky and Auburn
. Oh well, no changing things now, Winner to represent the SEC East in their championship. Both teams are worse than their teams last year, but I feel South Carolina has gone backwards more. But being in South Carolina is going to be what tilts me in that direction. South Carolina to win 35-31 17. Georgia @ 16. South Carolina - See above
18. Boise State @ Southern Miss - Are Southern Miss starting to click? Who knows. They seem that out of sorts that it could have just been a one off. On the weekend Boise State's defence just stopped trying thinking the game was over. It's clicking for sure, it's just a matter of which Boise offence turns up. If the offence that turned up vs BYU or Michigan State turns up, this is going to be a 50/50 coinflip. If this is the offence that turned up vs Miami (Oh) or New Mexico, it should be a comfortable win. It's too hard to predict so I'll just take the middle ground. Boise State to win 21-7
19. Ohio vs Buffalo - They're two insignificant programs FFS. Teams not worthy of writeup. Ohio to win 42-10
20. Louisiana Tech vs UNLV - And people criticised Boise State of scheduling easy OOC games? *cough cough* What's this guys? Louisiana Tech's offence is probably the 3rd best in a non-aq conference (behind Fresno State and Nevada) They're by far one of the top 4 non-aq sides in the country (With those 2 and Boise State). I can't even think of one redeeming feature that UNLV has which might keep this close. Louisiana Tech to win 49-13
21. Nebraska @ 3. Ohio State - See above
22. Rutgers vs Connecticut - If you can't beat Western Michigan and are being pushed to the limit by Buffalo, you must know you're shit. That's what Connecticut is. Rutgers to win 41-10
23. Wisconsin vs Illinois - The Badgers are starting to wake up, Illinois is in permafrost. Good luck stopping Monte Ball. Actually, why bother, luck wont be enough for Illinois to win. Wisconsin to win 27-3
24. Michigan State @ Indiana - Michigan State's offence might be shit, but so is Indiana's defence. While Indiana's average offence will be shut down by the Spartan's amazing defence. Michigan State to win 24-0
25. Michigan @ Purdue - Yawn, if I wanted to watch a game like this I'd just play NCAA 13. Give either team a defence and I might pay attention. Michigan to win 45-35
Bowl projections:
Eligable teams:
1. Alabama (SEC Champ)
2. Notre Dame (Notre Dame - Top 8)
4. USC (Pac-12 Champ)
5. West Virginia (Big XII Champ)
6. TCU (at large)
7. Louisville (Big East Champ)
8. Clemson (ACC Champ)
9. LSU (at large)
10. Texas (at large)
11. Oregon (at large)
12. Texas A&M (at large)
13. Kansas State (at large)
14. Florida State (at large)
25. Michigan (BigTen Champ)
BCS National Championship: 1. Alabama (1st) vs 2. Notre Dame (2nd)
Rose Bowl: 4. USC (Pac-12 champ) vs 25. Michigan (BigTen Champ)
Orange Bowl: 8. Clemson vs at large
Fiesta Bowl: 5. West Virginia vs at large
Sugar Bowl: at large vs at large
Remaining selections
6. TCU
7. Louisville (must be selected)
9. LSU
10. Texas
11. Oregon
12. Texas A&M
13. Kansas State
14. Florida State
1st Selection: Sugar Bowl - 9. LSU - They will take in-state team from their alligned conference to replace Alabama who they lose to the BCS National Championship.
This also eliminates Texas A&M from BCS caluclations as a conference can't have 3 representitives in BCS Bowls
2nd Selection: Fiesta Bowl - 11. Oregon - I doubt they'll take a BigXII team (TCU, Texas or Kansas State) as they've already seen ratings plummit (in comparision to other years) if you get a rematch like that seen in the 2012 BCS Championship. Plus imagine these 2 offenses going head to head. Could be eerily similar to Oklahoma State vs Stanford in 2012.
3rd Selection: Sugar Bowl - 10. Texas - When you have a selection of TCU vs Louisville vs Texas vs Kansas State vs Florida State. Only 3 had a chance, TCU, Texas and Florida State. The neutrals would prefer TCU, but that hasn't stopped the networks before. If Texas is available, you do NOT leave them out.
4th Selection: Orange Bowl - 7. Louisville - They have to be taken and this is the last selection. So via default.
This leaves it at;
BCS National Championship: 1. Alabama (1st) vs 2. Notre Dame (2nd)
Rose Bowl: 4. USC (Pac-12 champ) vs 25. Michigan (BigTen Champ)
Orange Bowl: 8. Clemson (ACC Champs) vs 7. Louisville (at large)
Fiesta Bowl: 5. West Virginia (Big XII Champs) vs 11. Oregon (at large)
Sugar Bowl: 9. LSU (at large) vs 10. Texas (at large)
