2015 - AFL Grand Final

[STANDBYHIRD12]

Like it. Just seems in better fantasy form imo. Tailing also.

Who's this with mate?

 

[Keystone agony]

Like it. Just seems in better fantasy form imo. Tailing also.

Smith was avg 112 earlier in season burgyoyne struggles to see over 80 now

 

[iluvparis]

My reasoning is Frawleys going to play on J.J.Kennedy. If Hawks win and he holds Kennedy to 2 goals or less wont surprise me if the votes come for him after shutting down the best key forward in the game.

For me any of the midfield for the hawks could win it and they dont offer value for me. Mitchell @6 yuck will get attention from Hutchings

Is David Rhys-Jones the only player in history to win the medal for shutting down an opponent?

 

[iluvparis]

Bets for tomorrow
$60 haw $2.50

$50 bruest norm smith @$41 Bonusbet
$25 rioli norm smith @$17 bonusbet
$25 Mitchell norm smith @$6 bonusbet
$10 burgoune norm smith @$34

Now Bruest at 40s at least seems a NMS bet that is in the realms of possiblities

 

[Keystone agony]

Is David Rhys-Jones the only player in history to win the medal for shutting down an opponent?

There just seems to be alot of media behind it which i like. 126 was too good to refuse

 

[Keystone agony]

I like Breust aswell think he could kill Wellingham

 

[Keystone agony]

Masten <88.5 dt 1.87 1.5u

 

[Chiemo]

Masten <88.5 dt 1.87 1.5u

What bookie is that?

 

[Robo87]

Who's this with mate?

B365, will add it to earlier post too.

 

[Keystone agony]

What bookie is that?

TAB

 

[Keystone agony]

Potential middle masten 77.5 (lux) 88.5 (tab)



ADDING: Hale <65.5 DT @1.87 (LUX) 5U

Against Nicnat and Sinclair esp Nicnat good luck. He has only gone over 4 times from 17 games this year and has scored 50, 21 and 49 in finals which i believe has been subbed off in all 3 games if no injuries this will continue.

 

[Keystone agony]

Pretty good that you can get

50 Hawks @2 (Lads)
50 hawks @2 (Crown)
20 hawks @2.5 (Lux)

And eagles @2.5.

Good guaranteed wins there

 

[Collingwood FC]

Anyone have any idea how the Temperature During the Game that some bookies have going works...eg. If it hits that temperature range at any stage you win or does the whole game have to be played at that temperature range...

 

[iluvparis]

Pretty good that you can get

50 Hawks @2 (Lads)
50 hawks @2 (Crown)
20 hawks @2.5 (Lux)

And eagles @2.5.

Good guaranteed wins there

Where's the crown $2 hawks?

 

[sneak]

Now Bruest at 40s at least seems a NMS bet that is in the realms of possiblities

Yeah hope so $2000 return

 

[NutnButAPnut]

4U Breust > Darling DT @ $2.12
4U Gibson > XEllis DT @ $2.25
both on Luxbet

Gibbo and Ellis odds mixed up? Gibbo looks great value, the over/unders are at 81.5 (Gibbo) & 70.5 (Ellis)
Ellis has cracked 70 in 2/14 games (couple of subs) this season while gibbo has done it 18/25

only thing against Gibbo is that he hasnt been great against WC this year with 53 & 63... but either has Ellis vs Hawks with 49 & 48

 

[Holy Foley!]

Hawks/Total Points U183.5 @ $3.10

 

[Profphat]

Personally dont like the move on Gunston in for Hartung either. On a 28/29 hot sunny day and with probably already looking too tall against the eagles earlier in the finals. All of a sudden 25% of their squad could be plodders. Hale, Mcevoy, Schoenmakers, Lake, Frawley. I wont include roughy but that makes it a very tall side and add to that Gunston on one leg. Personally im expecting a late out of gunston or Schoenmakers.

However i just watched the hawks vs eagles game and i think they personally didnt want to give anything away and backed themselves still to make the grandy.

Frawley starting fwd wtf?
Mcevoy started ruck its usually Hale?
Hodge didnt start onball? Played down back
I.Smith maybe due to injury ran off a forward flank, he will play wing come saturday?
Lake on Kennedy, hed be my 3rd maybe 4th selection for him in the hawks lineup.
I feel the conditions suited the eagles, wet, extremely windy impacted the hawks kicking game. Saturday wont be the same.

Im still unsure who Lakes going to play on. I think he should take Darling if the eagles arent resting a ruckman fwd which they didnt do in the first finals due to the weather it played into their hands and not the hawks.

Anyway early bets
Frawley NS 2.5U @126
Hutchings most tackles group 1U @7 (vs pridd, shuey, rioli, hodge, shiels, cripps)
$50 Hawks SU @2
$25 Hawks SU @2.5
0.5U Hawks/Eagles HT/FT @9.5
0.5U Puopolo 3 goals @8
2U I.Smith over Burgoyne fantasy @1.90
$50 FGS Breust, Kennedy, Lecras, Roughy, hale, NICNAT @4
1.5U Masten <88.5 dt @1.87

Fraley has gone down to 71.00 on sportsbet

 

[Keystone agony]

Where's the crown $2 hawks?

Im sure it was crown. I put 50 on with someone and im pretty sure it wasnt lads, maybe it was..

Edit: Was Lads. Sorry

 

[DerpWerls]

Frawley will have to play the game of his life to shut down Josh Kennedy on his own

 

[ricardogp]

Don't really have a good play for tomorrow. Already picked up Eagles for the premiership @ $4 at the start of finals, so happy to just sit on that one.

Found this on sportsbet which seems to be value:

1u wire-to-wire: any other result @ $2.05 ($1.74 at TAB)

Otherwise on the TAB first goalscorer special.

Good luck everyone!

 

[BloodRet]

100 on hawks with sportbet money back special

10 on mitchell norm smith @6

2 bux on bruest norm smith @41

Hawthorn 1-39, nth Queensland

 

[Profphat]

Potential middle masten 77.5 (lux) 88.5 (tab)



ADDING: Hale <65.5 DT @1.87 (LUX) 5U

Against Nicnat and Sinclair esp Nicnat good luck. He has only gone over 4 times from 17 games this year and has scored 50, 21 and 49 in finals which i believe has been subbed off in all 3 games if no injuries this will continue.

Welcome back! everyone has tailed you, so value has dropped to 63.5. 2U for me!

$1.87 2U Mcevoy <24.5 total hitouts on sportsbet

averages 19.5 in 2015
Scored 32 in Round 19, but there was no Nic Nat.
Roughead, Mcevoy, Sinclair and Lewis will take some of the HOs off him + heat will take a toll on Big Ben too.

 

[DerpWerls]

1U - Either team to win by 20-39 at $6

 

[FFB1]

For anyone who uses actual stats for punting here are some most disposals numbers from the past 4 h2h games these two clubs have played: Average disposals Mitchell 31.7, Gaff/Shuey 28.5, Priddis/Lewis 27.3, Hodge 25. Median disposals (the one I look at) Mitchell 35, Shuey 28, Gaff/Lewis 27.5, Priddis 27, Hodge 26.5.