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2016 - AFL Round 1

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Richmond>Gold Coast>Port @ $1.84 (William Hill) Lock IMO

I like Collingwood at 2.40 as well against the Swans


Luckily didn't get on Collingwood!! Happy with my start to the season, nice and simple.

Will look to do something similar in round 2
 

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Shhhhh

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Interesting first round. Finished around +5 units up although much of that was bonus whoring. Best results from line betting on quarters although it' easier to do that with the Bet365 free hits for nominated games.

Thought my judgement on most games was pretty good although I got the Syd / Coll game horribly wrong. Didn't pick the Cats, but can see where a few side factors have come into play. Bring on Round 2!
 
Supercoach bet:

Jack Riewoldt $1.88 vs Shane Edwards $1.88

Edwards doubtful but i think plays (Tigs enough men down already) coming off no preseason, on the contrary Jack is flying. High levels of confidence here and have bet appropriately.

(Same can apply for Cripps vs Murphy @ $1.84 but not quite as good a bet as Jack IMO and slightly lesser odds )

A couple of SC's that i meant to put up last night, swimming against the tide and taken two outsiders today:

Viney @ $1.80 over Tyson (too short at $1.65 now tho)
Goddard @ $2.10 over Hall
Zaharakis @ $1.90 over Merrett

Sunday:

Newnes @ $1.88 over Roberton

Monday:

Duckwood @ $1.80 over Blicavs

Spewing i missed the $1.75 they put up on Wines vs Ebert. Well gone. Newnes to carry the biggest weight out of the five.

4/6 on SC this week with Duckwood going under to Blicavs on Monday (Thought Zac Smith might have cut into MB's time on ball and he would have played a fair amount on a wing, my bad)

Still a profitable week with my two biggest bets getting up (JRoo and Newnes). It occured to me that i didnt put units bet next to each so my bad, will just take 2U on each of JRoo and Newnes despite being more than that and post with units this week

4-2 +5.22

Melbourne at home @ $2.45 +10.5 vs GWS looks amazing.

#homerbets #spreadsheet iluvparis

Also Norf never win in round 1, Adelaide @ $2.60 +13.5 just as good.

Plus these:

3-1 +2.29

Will be limiting action on lines and h2h's weekly though and focusing on SC

total: 7-3 +7.51
 
I've been doing similarly with DT instead of SC.

Nailed the Neale over Bont, Rocky over Stef and Lewis over Hodge bets.

Lost Robbo over Shuey largely because Robbo missed most of the fourth quarter with his calf.

3/4 is sold though and I'll be looking to go again this weekend!
 
1U - Richmond @ 1.24 (sports)
1U - Riewoldt - FGS @ 6 (hills) REFUND
1U - Rich/GC/WC/Haw/PA @ 3.10 (sports) REFUND

H2H @ sports
Collingwood
Adelaide REFUND
GWS REFUND

FGS at Hills
Cloke
Lynch REFUND
Stevie J REFUND
Betts REFUND

All 1u

H2H sports

Freo

FGS Hills

Walters REFUND
Kennedy REFUND
Wingard REFUND

1-14, -2.76

How not to promo whore
 
1U - Richmond @ 1.24 (sports)
1U - Riewoldt - FGS @ 6 (hills) REFUND
1U - Rich/GC/WC/Haw/PA @ 3.10 (sports) REFUND

H2H @ sports
Collingwood
Adelaide REFUND
GWS REFUND

FGS at Hills
Cloke
Lynch REFUND
Stevie J REFUND
Betts REFUND

All 1u

H2H sports

Freo

FGS Hills

Walters REFUND
Kennedy REFUND
Wingard REFUND

1-14, -2.76

How not to promo whore

What's the deal with all the refunds?
 

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