2016 AFL - Round 15

[balmainforever]

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\West Coast|$1.01|$1.01|$1.01|$1.01|$1.01|$1.01
\Essendon|$19.00|$21.00|$21.00|$21.00|$21.00|$21.00
\|line:73.5|line:74.5|line:74.5|line:74.5|line:72.5|line:72.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Port Adelaide|$1.37|$1.39|$1.40|$1.38|$1.40|$1.40
\Richmond|$3.20|$3.00|$2.95|$3.05|$3.00|$2.95
\|line:18.5|line:18.5|line:17.5|line:18.5|line:16.5|line:16.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Gold Coast|$1.92|$1.92|$1.85|$1.91|$1.91|$1.92
\St.Kilda|$1.92|$1.92|$1.95|$1.91|$1.91|$1.92
\|line:GC2.5|line:SK1.5|line:GC1.5|line:N/L|line:GC1.5|line:N/L

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Sydney|$1.43|$1.41|$1.40|$1.42|$1.38|$1.37
\West.Bulldogs|$2.90|$2.90|$2.95|$2.90|$3.10|$3.10
\|line:15.5|line:16.5|line:16.5|line:16.5|line:17.5|line:17.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Carlton|$2.05|$2.00|$2.00|$2.05|$2.05|$2.10
\Collingwood|$1.80|$1.81|$1.80|$1.77|$1.78|$1.74
\|line:Co2.5|line:Co2.5|line:Co2.5|line:Co3.5|line:Co3.5|line:Co4.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Melbourne|$3.45|$3.15|$3.20|$3.20|$3.25|$3.35
\Adelaide|$1.33|$1.36|$1.35|$1.35|$1.35|$1.33
\|line:22.5|line:20.5|line:21.5|line:22.5|line:20.5|line:20.5

ODDS AT 23.45 ON 27/06/16

 

[benji21]

Early dont mind Gold coast, they have put together two decent performances with the bye they should be looking not to bad, but may just let this one go and see how they do..

Also sydney the minus looks good early, at home they have been pretty good

 

[Atavistic]

Take Eagles at the line. We've been smashed in every interstate game this year.

 

[benji21]

5U Sydney -14.5. Even if wet i can see them covering.

 

[Robo87]

Crows should have smashed north this week and with their potential high scoring, I like Adelaide at the line. I was too slow to get the -12.5 but ill still take them at -20.5 on b365. i think the Crows will want to load on the goals to make up for this week. Jacobs Vs Gawn will be a good battle, but i cant go against the inform Crows at the moment.

 

[Derzzy]

i like goldcoast h2h

 

[free at last]

i like goldcoast h2h

Saints could be susceptible to a let down after their high intensity,stirring victory over the cats.

I reckon the pies my seek some revenge at losing to the blues earlier in the year.

 

[benji21]

Totals are up. Don't move the over 185.5 for the melb adelaide game

 

[Gimpalicious]

Take Eagles at the line. We've been smashed in every interstate game this year.

Put 1U on Eagles -72.5 last night.

No line is too high for this game...

 

[chrisdon16]

Totals are up. Don't move the over 185.5 for the melb adelaide game

Loving the over but forecast is 90% showers in Melbourne for Sunday

 

[free at last]

Loving the over but forecast is 90% showers in Melbourne for Sunday

I'd be all over that total too if it wasn't for the high chance of rain.

 

[Spads]

Saints could be susceptible to a let down after their high intensity,stirring victory over the cats.

I reckon the pies my seek some revenge at losing to the blues earlier in the year.

Mookieb to the psychological analysis hot phone. Paging mookieb!

 

[chrisdon16]

I'd be all over that total too if it wasn't for the high chance of rain.

Perhaps the bookies are taking the forecast into consideration. At the moment probably a bit risky to jump on the over

 

[chrisdon16]

First game for R15, Sydney/Bulldogs-U174.5

 

[targett]

SB opened at 173.5 . Where's 174.5

 

[dandyjester]

Crown

Sent from my SM-G900I using Tapatalk

 

[targett]

Crown

Sent from my SM-G900I using Tapatalk

173.5 now

 

[benji21]

Perhaps the bookies are taking the forecast into consideration. At the moment probably a bit risky to jump on the over

Bom showing 30% chance?

 

[chrisdon16]

Bom showing 30% chance?

70% now, 1-5mm "later in the day". Game starts at 3:20, still 6 days away so waiting on this one, hopefully bookies get scared and reduce the line

 

[free at last]

70% now, 1-5mm "later in the day". Game starts at 3:20, still 6 days away so waiting on this one, hopefully bookies get scared and reduce the line

I reckon the bookies will wind that game total in for sure.

I just looked at a few different weather sites (storm surf & ECMWF) and they are showing a cold front sweeping up from the Southern Ocean and into Melbourne ,Sunday afternoon.Windguru is now displaying rainfall accumulations from mid-afternoon onwards in Melbourne.

It is a long way out,but those two weather sites are normally pretty onto it.

 

[chrisdon16]

Adding Gold Coast/St.Kilda-U194.5

 

[mookieb]

Mookieb to the psychological analysis hot phone. Paging mookieb!

What does recent history tell us?

Saints beat Melbourne easily then lose a nail biter against NM. Then travel to Perth and get flogged by 97 points.

Saints beat Ess easily and then Freo. Then travel to Adelaide and lose by 88 points.

Saints beat Carlton easily then beat the Cats in one of their best wins in recent times. Then travel to GC and...

 

[Jay-Z]

2u Adelaide -20.5
2u Sydney -15.5

Think there is fair class gap between these two and their opponents this week plus Sydney always seem to play that little bit better at home

I like GC but will have a closer look at injury lists / maybe wait for teams before betting on this one

Also tailing Chrisdon16 on the two unders

 

[AFLFootyChick]

As predicted, Jade Gresham just got the Rising Star nod. He's still 81-1 on Sportsbet, shorter elsewhere. He was 101-1 when I mentioned this on the weekend. He still should shorten further.

 

[Victor harbor]

Adding Gold Coast/St.Kilda-U194.5

This does seem a bit high, good middle coming by game time