AFL 2023 - AFL Round 15

[balmainforever]

 

[Atavistic]

Avoid the temptation to bet on whoever kicked goals in the VFL.

 

[the_big_sav]

Avoid the temptation to bet on whoever kicked goals in the VFL.

but then cave on game day

 

[the_big_sav]

on the dees you would think

danger out
oliver in

 

[HTPunter]

Avoid the temptation to bet on whoever kicked goals in the VFL.

Buller and Hannan were s**t but Lohmann played well and reckon he keeps his spot. Goals will happen for him sooner rather than later

 

[fpm84]

Not based on anything but a hunch but I reckon Ratugolea may be back in defence this week switching J Henry forward (perhaps with his brother as sub).

J Henry kicked two v Freo and is handy whenever he plays forward.

Having a small play $13/$71 for 2/3 at B365.

 

[ferrisb]

Tim Kelly

11

Tim Kelly

Age

29

Ht

184cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

23.6

5star

K

13.5

5star

HB

10.1

5star

M

3.4

3star

T

4.0

5star

CL

4.9

5star

D

19.9

5star

K

12.3

5star

HB

7.6

4star

M

3.1

3star

T

4.7

5star

CL

3.6

4star

D

21.6

5star

K

10.4

4star

HB

11.2

5star

M

2.8

3star

T

3.8

5star

CL

3.8

5star

25+ paying $1.61 on SB.

Has hit that 11/13 times this year.

Looks value.

 

[Atavistic]

Buller is $1.22 for a goal this week. I wonder how short his odds would be if he hadn't been entirely useless last week.

 

[Long Shot Louie]

Alright men, no buggerising about this week by throwing beer money at big VFL spuds. After giving the books a reprieve over the last couple of weeks, It is time to wheel out the segment that has caused yacht dealerships and Golf courses to be flooded by an entirely new breed of nouveau riche degenerate.

Thats right, the LONG SHOT LOUIE LOCK OF THE WEEK. currently up 169.2 units on the year.

This week, the unenlightened books have priced as strong favourites: a Collingwood side that not only has a forward line consisting of role players but whose previous area of strength(the midfield), has been depleted by the loss of both De goey and Sidebottom, the latter of whom was a star in the last encounter between these sides.
If we have learnt anything this year it is that teams can not afford to carry a shallow midfield.

Adelaide only lost the recent game between these sides by a solitary point due to the most atrocious goal kicking I have ever seen in my life.
Collingwood fielded a stronger side on that day then they will here and the Crows will likely come into this game unchanged after a confidence boosting 20 goal victory.

For the reasons outlined above, THE CROWS H2H@$3.50 IS THE LONG SHOT LOUIE LOCK OF THE WEEK.

5 Units

 

[dontlimitme]

Alright men, no buggerising about this week by throwing beer money at big VFL spuds. After giving the books a reprieve over the last couple of weeks, It is time to wheel out the segment that that has caused yacht dealerships and Golf courses to be flooded by an entirely new breed of nouveau riche degenerate.

Thats right, the LONG SHOT LOUIE LOCK OF THE WEEK. currently up 169.2 units on the year.

This week, the unenlightened books have priced as strong favourites: a Collingwood side that not only has a forward line consisting of role players but whose previous area of strength(the midfield), has been depleted by the loss of both De goey and Sidebottom, the latter of whom was a star in the last encounter between these sides.
If we have learnt anything this year it is that teams can not afford to carry a shallow midfield.

Adelaide only lost the recent game between these sides by a solitary point due the most atrocious goal kicking I have ever seen in my life.
Collingwood fielded a stronger side on that day then they will here and the Crows will likely come into this game unchanged after a confidence boosting 20 goal victory.

For the reasons outlined above, THE CROWS H2H@$3.50 IS THE LONG SHOT LOUIE LOCK OF THE WEEK.

5 Units

 

[Mags98]

will be keen on Nic Martin stat multiplier, Kelly on the wing completely dominated freo on the weekend, Martin likely to do much the same imo

will also look for guldens line, but probably going to be massive against the eagles

 

[ferrisb]

I know teams are not out yet, but this thread is eerily quiet.

 

[Robo87]

I know teams are not out yet, but this thread is eerily quiet.

It's because all the value in goal trains is gone by now and that was what 75% of this thread was about in early rounds.

 

[BloodRet]

Parker 2, 3 against the Eagles @12, 51 pb. Ball should been in swans 50 a fair bit hopefully he can get up there and snag some

 

[mozz23]

I’m going to back this, cats midfield looks light on.

Rohan & JVR have kicked a goal every game they have played.

Slight concern about the weather forecast but will have a go at those odds

 

[gillon]

Stringer 2 goals $2.95 @ SB. Lowest price I've seen in a while. Parish back may also reduce his midfield minutes.

 

[jefffff34]

Duncan Smith Stewart
Viney Brayshaw Hunter

All 20+ $8.17 neds

 

[demon_fanatic]

Geelong firmed into favs im guessing coz no oliver...interesting.

 

[X_box_X]

Geelong firmed into favs im guessing coz no oliver...interesting.

Interesting, you say?

I'd say it's certainly not surprising. Are you suggesting it's surprising the absence of Oliver resulted in a four point swing?

He is worth about four points so to me that's not interesting. What would be interesting is if Melbourne continued to firm. That would have been interesting purely for the fact it would have made no sense.

 

[NYRB]

Ill do a cross sport for Round 15

Harris English Top 30 in the Travellers in Connecticut this week
Melbourne To Win against Geelong

Odds: $5.27

Harris English Top 30 in the Travellers in Connecticut this week
Melbourne To Win against Geelong
Saints to beat Brisbane

Odds: $10.03 (bet Refund if 1 leg fails)

 

[demon_fanatic]

Interesting, you say?

I'd say it's certainly not surprising. Are you suggesting it's surprising the absence of Oliver resulted in a four point swing?

He is worth about four points so to me that's not interesting. What would be interesting is if Melbourne continued to firm. That would have been interesting purely for the fact it would have made no sense.

Well we beat pies minus oliver and danger goes out.. I feel bookies anticipate a desperate geelong tonight hence the odds not actual performance and so am I...i am betting geelong tbh too despite the lower odds and targeting holmes, bruhn and duncan fantasy with increased responsibility.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Btw guys...what of the newer lesser known sites offer fantasy under overs?? Im limited or banned at main ones pbet, sbet, b365, lads, neds lol... Surely there a few new ones?? Thanks in advance

 

[AFLFootyChick]

It's Chris Scott

Chris Scott

Age

47

Ht

182cm

Wt

89kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

16.6

4star

K

11.2

4star

HB

5.4

4star

M

5.1

5star

T

1.6

4star

G

0.4

3star

No current season stats available

D

13.2

4star

K

10.2

4star

HB

3.0

3star

M

2.2

3star

T

2.8

5star

G

0.4

3star

's 300th game as Coach tonight. At home, I expect Geelong to be pretty desperate for the win. It is absolutely freezing here today. Won't be much better tonight, with possible rain too. No wind to speak of at the moment.

 

[BloodRet]

Under 153.5 alt unders
Viney 25 disposals
Pickett 2
Cameron 2
@18.5

 

[dontlimitme]

god middle of winter footy sucks the odds are so shithouse (except 365 )

everyone just bet YIBIR tonight ascot race 4 at 13$ and hope the ******* cat stays surely appleby knows what he's doing