2016 AFL - Round 16

[chrisdon16]

Melbourne/Freo-O166.5, not overly confident but system predicted is 178.5

 

[Sketi]

GWS / Gold Coast / Adelaide / Dogs / St Kilda @ 2.05 (sportsbet)

Confident of at least a refund on this.

 

[bombers21]

GWS-Coll under 183.5 @ $1.91 (B365)

2 units

 

[free at last]

171-180 giants v pies
201-210 suns v lions
161-170 dogs v Tigers
181-190 demons v dockers
150 or less blues v crows
150 or less Eagles v Roos
171-180 saints v bombers

@ $163,567.00 -$1 wager

 

[demon_fanatic]

Melbourne/Freo-O166.5, not overly confident but system predicted is 178.5

Is it Gunna be humid or dew affected

 

[dontlimitme]

Marcus Ashcroft medal up for grabs in Gold Coast/Brisbane. Leaning Ablett @ 6 (because ablett) and Rischitelli at 16. any thoughts?

 

[demon_fanatic]

Marcus Ashcroft medal up for grabs in Gold Coast/Brisbane. Leaning Ablett @ 6 (because ablett) and Rischitelli at 16. any thoughts?

Like risch hall or lynch if looking away from abbs

 

[chrisdon16]

Is it Gunna be humid or dew affected

Forecast in Darwin is 20• for tonight, dew point is set at 14.4• so looks good

 

[dandyjester]

GWS/Collingwood-O171.5
Originally weather forecast was rain, total moved from 180.5 to 171.5, forecast has been upgraded to slight chance of a shower (20%) so jump on before the bookies wake up, will be up to 180.5ish soon

The bookies have finally upped the total.
184.5 (365)
Why it took them til game morning idk... the forcast had improved when you posted this above

These delayed weather reactions from bookies seem to present better opportunities than h2h bets

Sent from my SM-G900I using Tapatalk

 

[dontlimitme]

150 Cameron over 2.5 goals vs Pies @ 1.72 (Luxbet player exotics)
250 Lynch over 2.5 goals vs Lions @ 1.72 (Luxbet player exotics)

ridiculous prices imo

 

[chrisdon16]

The bookies have finally upped the total.
184.5 (365)
Why it took them til game morning idk... the forcast had improved when you posted this above

These delayed weather reactions from bookies seem to present better opportunities than h2h bets

Sent from my SM-G900I using Tapatalk

Cant understand it either. Not saying it's guaranteed to go over but the forecast has been clear for 4 days. They opened at 180.5

 

[Sketi]

I don't touch H2H or Margins anymore. Its all totals for me. I have had some very nice wins in the past with totals, but I am struggling so much this year. Sitting on this, this week.

Hawks/Port 175-200 - Done
Sydney/Cats 150-175 - Done
GWS/Pies 175-200
Bombers/Saints 175-200

Anyone else sticking with Total points markets and finding its all over the place this season, I'm sick of failing O/U by a goal or less, so its bands for me now.

Where do you get these?

 

[chrisdon16]

Where do you get these?

365 "Total bands"

 

[chrisdon16]

365 "Total bands"

Sorry, "total 5 way"

 

[SM]

GWS-Coll under 183.5 @ $1.91 (B365)

2 units

Why would you go unders?! It's not raining today and GWS score heavily.

 

[Vhaluus]

nice high scoring game, total overs looking very good

 

[chrisdon16]

150 Cameron over 2.5 goals vs Pies @ 1.72 (Luxbet player exotics)
250 Lynch over 2.5 goals vs Lions @ 1.72 (Luxbet player exotics)

ridiculous prices imo

What was Patton over 2.5? He's killing it ATM

 

[chrisdon16]

nice high scoring game, total overs looking very good

Very nice middle but not pulling the trigger, Pies look lost out there

 

[dontlimitme]

What was Patton over 2.5? He's killing it ATM

Didn't offer him. Its usually only 3 or so players. It was stevie J and someone else i don't remember

 

[Vhaluus]

got onto GWS 11.5+ goals in 1st half at 2.3

 

[mookieb]

Need to play a bit of catchup after the Geelong result last night. So on GWS, GC and WB with the CB and SB specials. My spider senses are tingling on the Melb/ Freo game so might give that one a miss.

I am on GWS at the line earlier in the week. They have spanked some better teams than Collingwood at home although I was a bit wary with the selection changes with GWS having some big outs and Collingwood getting some quality in.

Also on GC at the line. Brisbane are a rabble especially away from home and have a young team in as they blood some youngsters. At times they can have a solid midfield but not the case today with Beams, Bell and Christensen out.

Richmond is also blooding some youth which won't help their results as they have also proven to be uncompetitive against better sides. I expect WB to cover the line.

Might watch Melb / Freo to see who is switched on and who has gone to the top end for a bit of a holiday. Melb were atrocious against Port so they seem a bit short to back pre-game.

 

[Shinboner '07]

* off pies you ******* s**t campaigners

 

[Vhaluus]

got onto GWS 11.5+ goals in 1st half at 2.3

welp threw that money away. Underestimated the power of a spray

 

[benji21]

Well. Geelong get flogged at home. Pies look like a top 8 side. This weekend is carnage

 

[Sketi]

Sorry, "total 5 way"

Any other bookies offer decent ranging bands?