2016 AFL - Round 7

[balmainforever]

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Richmond |$6.50|$7.50|$7.00|$7.50|$9.00|$7.50
\Hawthorn |$1.12|$1.09|$1.10|$1.09|$1.071|$1.09
\|line:44.5|line:44.5|line:45.5|line:43.5|line:43.5|line:43.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Collingwood|$1.33|$1.32|$1.33|$1.33|$1.33|$1.31
\Carlton|$3.35|$3.40|$3.30|$3.35|$3.35|$3.40
\|line:21.5|line:21.5|line:21.5|line:21.5|line:21.5|line:21.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Geelong |$1.47|$1.45|$1.47|$1.50|$1.47|$1.51
\West Coast|$2.70|$2.75|$2.65|$2.60|$2.70|$2.55
\|line:12.5|line:13.5|line:12.5|line:13.5|line:13.5|line:13.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Sydney |$1.03|$1.03|$1.03|$1.02|$1.03|$1.01
\Essendon|$13.00|$13.00|$13.00|$14.00|$15.00|$15.00
\|line:62.5|line:62.5|line:62.5|line:61.5|line:62.5|line:63.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Gold Coast|$1.90|$1.92|$1.92|$1.85|$1.87|$1.95
\Melbourne |$1.90|$1.92|$1.92|$1.95|$1.95|$1.86
\|line:GC2.5|line:N/A|line:N/A|line:GC1.5|line:GC1.5|line:M1.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\West.Bulldogs |$1.90|$1.95|$1.95|$1.95|$1.95|$2.00
\Adelaide |$1.90|$1.85|$1.85|$1.85|$1.87|$1.82
\|line:WB2.5|line:A1.5|line:A1.5|line:A1.5|line:A1.5|line:A2.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Fremantle |$3.75|$3.66|$3.50|$3.55|$4.00|$3.55
\G-W Sydney |$1.28|$1.29|$1.30|$1.30|$1.25|$1.30
\|line:23.5|line:24.5|line:24.5|line:23.5|line:23.5|line:23.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\St.Kilda |$3.55|$3.10|$3.10|$3.35|$3.35|$3.20
\North Melb.|$1.30|$1.37|$1.37|$1.33|$1.33|$1.35
\|line:22.5|line:20.5|line:20.5|line:21.5|line:22.5|line:21.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Port Adelaide |$1.25|$1.25|$1.27|$1.27|$1.25|$1.28
\Brisbane |$4.00|$4.00|$3.75|$3.75|$4.00|$3.70
\|line:27.5|line:27.5|line:26.5|line:25.5|line:27.5|line:25.5

ODDS AT 23:45 ON 02/05/16

 

[VineyLovett]

Wce. I think they'll win the cup and come good, so I'm backing them and giving then one last chance against a good team on the road. Lose here and I'll be tempted to stick a fork for them for season 2016. Could only drop 3 games max should they lose to Geelong to have any chance of winning the flag.

Statement game for wce. Lose another one of these games, and the statement they'll make is that they're a bunch of pretenders.

 

[VineyLovett]

1.90 dogs. Good things. Losses to hawks and roos, they'll be out to make a statement much like the West Coast. Etihad is a happy hunting ground for the footscray boys and they demolished the crows there last season, albeit different circumstances now.

5 units on the dogs if there's no notable absentees from the roos game.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Richmond +36.5 (God help me, line could ease so happy to wait, very good record vs Hawthorn)
Geelong H2H @ $1.60 - (Load on up right now, amazing price, Eagles on the road = poo)
Melbourne H2H @ $2.10 (God help me X2, we are better than GC, simple, and outsiders so vgood bet now )
St.Kilda H2H @ $3.40 & +21.5 (Best roughie of the round..happy to take that and bet now)

All appeal to me early.

 

[OhhhhhCyril]

Getting in Early.

Hawthorn -34.5 3u Will bounce Back.
Geelong -15.5 2u
GC 1-39 2u

 

[Youdy]

Wce. I think they'll win the cup and come good, so I'm backing them and giving then one last chance against a good team on the road. Lose here and I'll be tempted to stick a fork for them for season 2016. Could only drop 3 games max should they lose to Geelong to have any chance of winning the flag.

Statement game for wce. Lose another one of these games, and the statement they'll make is that they're a bunch of pretenders.

It would likely make it 3 interstate losses to this seasons top 5
Which other team has an interstate win against a top 5 team this season?

A close loss and they're still a chance, with the evenness of this season 15 wins could get a top 4 berth

 

[Youdy]

Anyone else concerned about the Dogs defense against Adelaide?

They will have to completely dominate inside 50's/contested ball given the discrepancies between the forward lines

 

[Youdy]

Richmond +36.5 (God help me, line could ease so happy to wait, very good record vs Hawthorn)
Geelong H2H @ $1.60 - (Load on up right now, amazing price, Eagles on the road = poo)
Melbourne H2H @ $2.10 (God help me X2, we are better than GC, simple, and outsiders so vgood bet now )
St.Kilda H2H @ $3.40 & +21.5 (Best roughie of the round..happy to take that and bet now)

All appeal to me early.

Dees look a good bet

Gold Coast have become a terrible contested football side, Melbourne's main strength
However the first 3 rounds they played similar to St Kilda on the weekend, rebounding the ball with speed and Melbourne were easily opened up all game

The weekend had shades of 2015 all over again for GC, Injuries to their top line talent and half the team just lays down once they get behind. They've lost to Brisbane, beaten comfortably by North at home and had the biggest loss of the year against Geelong (consider they were well in the game at quarter time as well) in their last three.

 

[the_big_sav]

im thinking

hawks
swans
gws
crows
nth

for sportsbet 4 out of 5 money back offer

 

[the_big_sav]

like brisbane as a roughie

 

[Lensen]

55u on vineylovett being a Manila alias

 

[kyan]

I like the crows against a undermanned dogs defence

Cats line at home against the home ground bully team, cant get the stats up at the moment but the eagles are really poor away

And a tiny dabble on the saints, if they can tie down waite they will be a good chance

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

55u on vineylovett being a Manila alias

Enjoyed the random large amount of U's invested

 

[Jimmy_the_Gent]

Yeah, I took Geelong @ 1.53 with 3U. I'll eat my hat if West Coast wins that one.

We're not as good as we were last year and we're prone to throwing our hands in the air when it gets too hard.

 

[rideclutch]

Hawks line is ridiculously small.

Don't get sucked in to recent H2H, this will get ugly.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Hawks line is ridiculously small.

Don't get sucked in to recent H2H, this will get ugly.

You sound like FallingLiefs who said Port was no hope during the week. 10 goal plus loss coming up if im not mistaken.

The good ole reverse jinx. Pile on in, you and BB.

Tuggers to cover.

 

[rideclutch]

You sound like FallingLiefs who said Port was no hope during the week. 10 goal plus loss coming up if im not mistaken.

The good ole reverse jinx. Pile on in, you and BB.

Tuggers to cover.

I wish.

Hawks will be smarting after being embarrassed. We'll be playing kids and spuds, no Cotchin or Rance. I reckon it's triple figures.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

I wish.

Hawks will be smarting after being embarrassed. We'll be playing kids and spuds, no Cotchin or Rance. I reckon it's triple figures.

Yea, understandable.

Im no big arb fan as most are well aware but 365 (no 365 fan either) still have the line for this game at 34.5, already moved to 40.5 elsewhere. Can see it getting out even more with Cotchin news. If im going to play the arb game this is the game to do it in. Could very well have a big fat middle going for one's self by the first bounce.

Ive talked myself into it, all systems go.

Hawthorn -34.5 (365) ......FU 365 and your slow to react markets, i swore i would never bet with you ever again.

 

[mookieb]

I like the crows against a undermanned dogs defence

Cats line at home against the home ground bully team, cant get the stats up at the moment but the eagles are really poor away

And a tiny dabble on the saints, if they can tie down waite they will be a good chance

Is the Crows match not a near identical replay of the Kangaroos game. Adelaide with a potent attach against a small undermanned backline. Ade to have a dominant ruckman to mitigate any expected losses in the midfield. WB forwards too small and a bit one dimensional if Stringer doesn't get off the chain? I'm expecting a similar result to the Kangaroos game.

 

[Youdy]

It would likely make it 3 interstate losses to this seasons top 5
Which other team has an interstate win against a top 5 team this season?

A close loss and they're still a chance, with the evenness of this season 15 wins could get a top 4 berth

I take it back, don't need to wait until next week, just watch this game after quarter time
Eagles are shot

Would expect cats to likely shorten from 1.6

 

[Youdy]

Is the Crows match not a near identical replay of the Kangaroos game. Adelaide with a potent attach against a small undermanned backline. Ade to have a dominant ruckman to mitigate any expected losses in the midfield. WB forwards too small and a bit one dimensional if Stringer doesn't get off the chain? I'm expecting a similar result to the Kangaroos game.

True,
On the other hand do you think they'll be able to make adjustments based on the kangaroos game?
For instance the complete failure of the forward setup

 

[iluvparis]

Only just realised clutchy was a Tiges fan - eases some of my Chatauqua pain

 

[vdub]

Hawks already dropped to 1.09 -44.5 line SB 1.68 40 plus

1.10 Lad brokes

1.14 WH

How long till the lines come out? Tuesday?

 

[X_box_X]

Betts 5+ goals would be something I am interested in if I can find $25.

 

[Atavistic]

im thinking

hawks
swans
gws
crows
nth

for sportsbet 4 out of 5 money back offer

I have similar but Geelong instead of Crows.