Really it's what about the other teams want and need
Pick 1 (Brisbane): They need a marquee player who isn't going to do a Schache/Yeo/Longer/Polec/Docherty/Karnezis/etc. They won't go tall, they'll be looking at Rayner/LDU/Dow/Brayshaw.
Picks 2 & 5 (Freo): They'll be strategic, with two picks inside five they'll try to complement if they can. Go home factor a much smaller concern than Brisbane. Decent but unspectacular group of talls at both ends, they won't reach for one here with no fancied talls and with up to 7 picks in rounds three onwards. Wouldn't be surprising to see them end up with two of Rayner/LDU/Dow/Brayshaw.
Pick 3 (Carlton): They'll pick an ex-GWS player. Or more likely they'll also jump on the Rayner/LDU/Dow/Brayshaw train looking for a Gibbs replacement.
Pick 4 (North): The romantic pick would be Brayshaw with the family connections and with the way he's being talked about it wouldn't be a surprise. They've been linked to Stephenson and Cerra but that kind of talk has cooled. In many ways they could shape the draft, they could play it safe (or as safe as you get in this game) with one of Rayner/LDU/Dow/Brayshaw or they could get creative. It'd be a surprise but not out of the realms of reality to see them reach for a tall as their quality drops off sharply after Brown, Tarrant and the aging Thompson. Mostly they just need some star and marketing power after throwing money at everyone and getting no-one.
Pick 6 (Collingwood): We'll be watching the Pies pick closely. With Rayner/LDU/Dow/Brayshaw almost certainly gone this stage unless North and Freo pull surprises, their pick could steal our next preference or be irrelevant. If any of Rayner/LDU/Dow/Brayshaw/Cerra are on the board, do they take them? Recent mail is about a love affair with Fogarty. Naughton would really appeal because they're thinner for talls than North (who at least have some developing options in McKay and Durdin).
In short
Brisbane: Rayner/LDU/Dow/Brayshaw
Freo: Rayner/LDU/Dow/Brayshaw
Carlton: Rayner/LDU/Dow/Brayshaw
North: Rayner/LDU/Dow/Brayshaw/Cerra/Stephenson
Freo: Rayner/LDU/Dow/Brayshaw/Cerra/Stephenson
Collingwood: Fogarty/Naughton/slider
Us: NFI