AFL 2018 - AFL Round 20

[SM]

Lol wut? We will be lucky to get within 50 - have absolutely none of beating a team like GWS playing for top 4!

Line looks a bit short, I tend to agree. Think it could very easily be 60+. Tempted by an alt line of -56.5 @ $2.75.

 

[Mazza1234678]

I cannot see how the dees do not beat the suns by 15+ goals

on paper bigger mismatch going around

im on the -88.5 @ 3.5

 

[Red Dog Styles]

I cannot see how the dees do not beat the suns by 15+ goals

on paper bigger mismatch going around

im on the -88.5 @ 3.5

Plus the weather is beautiful so looking high scoring- well for Melbourne.

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Mazza1234678]

Plus the weather is beautiful so looking high scoring- well for Melbourne.

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

yep

if it is not a blowout i would be beyond baffled...


and annoyed

 

[langdon19]

Having a bad round also
Melb GC overs today
Carlton h2h with crown promo

 

[chrisdon16]

Gold Coast +71.5 ($1.90 NEDS)

 

[sneak]

Carl 0-60 points
Gcs 0-50 points
Frem +39.5/under 179.5
0.2u @11.62

 

[Keystone agony]

Both ladders are equally irrelevant - unless everyone plays the same teams over 7-10 rounds - which they dont

Which is why i took into case essendons draw in that time as being pretty difficult. Its a substantial period of time that would indicate a pretty accurate assessment of teams.

 

[mookieb]

This is brutal

This round's been fun...

Missed the 14 point middle in the Geel / Rich game by 1.5 points.

Missed Ess +2.5 Hawks +4.5 middle by 1.5 points.

Missed Bris win when Cam Rayner in the last 30 seconds couldn't decide whether to kick it round his body or kick a drop punt so tried to do something inbetween.

Missed Port win when Jenkins kicked into the post, told his teammates to set up and then they gave it a goal. Port loses by 3.

Missed the StK / WB unders by 0.5 points.

Missed Coll win when McCartin kicks a miracle goal 20m sitting on the ground. Coll up by 3 goals when they lose their last recognised backman and Buddy goes berserk. Coll loses by 2.

Hoping for a thrashing for GC today. Highest scoring team vs lowest scoring. May and Thompson out so Hogan and McDonald should run amok. Swallow injured and Lyons inexplicably dropped again so big bodied experienced midfield vs young, weak midfield. GC have no-one to kick goals and no defenders to stop goals and no quality midfielders to pump the ball into their 50.

GC have had some big losses on the road and they should be 100% dispirited here coming off a terrible thrashing at the hands of Carl at home plus getting the Tom Lynch news. I'm on qtr 3 and qtr 4 margins over 33 points. Melb to win all 4 quarters, 2nd half margin -33.5 and scattered a few bonus bets up to wins of 100 points.

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

I'd tread very warily on the Suns. Last time everyone expected a smashing, they beat Sydney at odds of up to $17.

Not saying they will win or anything like that, but both teams are capable of completely mixing their form when least expected. Suns away from home = tick. Big outs = tick (look at how many they were missing against the Swans), most giving them absolutely no chance after the Lynch news = tick.

That +71.5 looks awfully tempting.

 

[Robo87]

1u Hogan 4g+ and Melbourne win @2.50 lads
1u fritsch 2g+ @2.15 lads
0.5u fritsch 3g+ @4.5 lads/sb

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Sportsbet 'pick your own line' has GC -0.5 @ $61.

$61 for a two-horse race? Where one horse has a habit of choking, and the other horse recently knocked off Sydney in Sydney?

Thank you mother for the rabbits.

 

[Robo87]

Sportsbet 'pick your own line' has GC -0.5 @ $61.

$61 for a two-horse race? Where one horse has a habit of choking, and the other horse recently knocked off Sydney in Sydney?

Thank you mother for the rabbits.

hope you didnt waste more than $2 on it cause it wont happen today i dont think.

 

[jefffff34]

Did anyone else get on 'Chase the Goal' with WH?

920 points from GWS, so far 360 from Melbourne.

Or in Free bet speak, $32 at quarter time of the Melbourne game.

 

[The_Big_Ship]

Lol wut? We will be lucky to get within 50 - have absolutely none of beating a team like GWS playing for top 4!

Well I got that one wrong.

30 on Freo @ 5.50

10 on the draw @ 101

 

[chrisdon16]

Well, that was an entertaining derby...

 

[chrisdon16]

Richmond -14.5
Richmond o82.5
Brisbane WIN
Hawthorn WIN
ADE/PA - o151.5
Collingwood +6.5
Collingwood o77.5
STK/WB - u170.5
Gold Coast +71.5
Fremantle +36.5
Fremantle o63.5

R20 -1.21u
YTD: 87-69 +10.17u
O/A: 287-219 +40.71u

1 point off being a winning week. Looking back, shouldn't have got on the Gold Coast. Always easy in hindsight. See you next week

 

[mookieb]

This round's been fun...

Missed the 14 point middle in the Geel / Rich game by 1.5 points.

Missed Ess +2.5 Hawks +4.5 middle by 1.5 points.

Missed Bris win when Cam Rayner in the last 30 seconds couldn't decide whether to kick it round his body or kick a drop punt so tried to do something inbetween.

Missed Port win when Jenkins kicked into the post, told his teammates to set up and then they gave it a goal. Port loses by 3.

Missed the StK / WB unders by 0.5 points.

Missed Coll win when McCartin kicks a miracle goal 20m sitting on the ground. Coll up by 3 goals when they lose their last recognised backman and Buddy goes berserk. Coll loses by 2.

Hoping for a thrashing for GC today. Highest scoring team vs lowest scoring. May and Thompson out so Hogan and McDonald should run amok. Swallow injured and Lyons inexplicably dropped again so big bodied experienced midfield vs young, weak midfield. GC have no-one to kick goals and no defenders to stop goals and no quality midfielders to pump the ball into their 50.

GC have had some big losses on the road and they should be 100% dispirited here coming off a terrible thrashing at the hands of Carl at home plus getting the Tom Lynch news. I'm on qtr 3 and qtr 4 margins over 33 points. Melb to win all 4 quarters, 2nd half margin -33.5 and scattered a few bonus bets up to wins of 100 points.

Amazingly I called this game pretty well although the capitutalation was in the 1st not 2nd half. Had Melb -32.5 2nd half and -96.5 for the game with a 0.5 loss on both lines. Puke.

 

[iluvparis]

Which is why i took into case essendons draw in that time as being pretty difficult. Its a substantial period of time that would indicate a pretty accurate assessment of teams.

They whacked up the round 11-19 ladder on Fox footy halfway through the game yesterday.

Essendon were 6th - as i said - kool aid drinkers

 

[Keystone agony]

They whacked up the round 11-19 ladder on Fox footy halfway through the game yesterday.

Essendon were 6th - as i said - kool aid drinkers

Haha nice manipulation of stats

I was talking before the result so no point adding in round 19.

Lets look at round 12-18 (7 games)
and
round 9-18 (10 games)

The only kool aid drinker is yourself