2018 Rookies

[Dark Sharks]

Have you ever considered fapping to delicious quads...

View attachment 472067

Worst captain in the AFL, and the clubs history.

Definitely fappable quads though

 

[Seymour Skinner]

Nathan Buckley confirms Jaidyn Stephenson and Sam Murray will debut for collingwoodfc on Saturday night against Hawthorn. @AFLcomau

 

[vanders]

 

[JDavey]

Murray on the field

 

[Seymour Skinner]

Naughton confirmed starter too

Source: Dogs Twitter, Bevo Presser

 

[Lindsay_Gilbee]

Tempted to go Stephenson over Rayner.

 

[stevebbb]

Tempted to go Stephenson over Rayner.

I wouldn't

Elliott, De Goey, Fasolo and Wells to come into our side, young guys like Stephenson and Brown will be the first to go

Injuries could keep them in, but they're far from best 22

 

[ROOINYOU]

Good start for the rooks...
worried about Barry,Finlayson and all the FWD rooks.

 

[ROOINYOU]

I wouldn't

Elliott, De Goey, Fasolo and Wells to come into our side, young guys like Stephenson and Brown will be the first to go

Injuries could keep them in, but they're far from best 22

sshhh!..let em go!

 

[Double the Fist]

Good start for the rooks...
worried about Barry,Finlayson and all the FWD rooks.

Hell, Holman may not even line up. Could be a fn disaster that will throw years of meticulous planning out the bloodywindow.

 

[ROOINYOU]

Hell, Holman may not even line up. Could be a fn disaster that will throw years of meticulous planning out the bloodywindow.

Holman should be sweet mate. He'll start on the bench and get us a lazy 60-70 points, making us scream at GCS to start him on filed rnd2.
which they will.

..hope so anyway.

 

[nameless]

I'm getting ready for Barry to not be named.

 

[stevebbb]

I'm getting ready for Barry to not be named.

I currently have Garlett, Barry, Holman and Murphy who could all miss out...

Thursday teams don't mean a lot because there's a heap of rookies playing on Sunday:

Finlayson, Keeffe, ZGL, Naughton, Fritsch, O'Connor, Kelly, Coles, Venables, Ryan, Rioli, Waterman

May all be named on extended bench.. who will make the final cut??

I will lock Garlett in on Thursday night if he's named, the rest of the my team will be completed at 5:30pm on Friday when final teams are named

 

[vanders]

I need a cheap DEF rookie. I already have Murray Doedee Naughton and Finlayson. I need another under 140k.

 

[Dennis Trumpet]

I need a cheap DEF rookie. I already have Murray Doedee Naughton and Finlayson. I need another under 140k.

Murphy or keeffe maybe?

 

[stevebbb]

I need a cheap DEF rookie. I already have Murray Doedee Naughton and Finlayson. I need another under 140k.

Murphy if named

 

[bUCKET__]

haha just realised the top 10 picks in the rookie draft cost more than second round picks whyyy

 

[ItsAllAboutMe]

I wouldn't

Elliott, De Goey, Fasolo and Wells to come into our side, young guys like Stephenson and Brown will be the first to go

Injuries could keep them in, but they're far from best 22

Stephenson is a midfielder though isnt he?"

 

[Seymour Skinner]

Alex Keath ruled out for the Crowies too.

Doodee

 

[buttox]

Alex Keath ruled out for the Crowies too.

Doodee

Does it effect Murphy?

 

[rocker_oz33]

Does it effect Murphy?

Murphy SC Def but will prob play forward.

 

[Great 2008]

Hell, Holman may not even line up. Could be a fn disaster that will throw years of meticulous planning out the bloodywindow.

Lol feels like years.

 

[Gavin Excell]

He's in my side but I might move him back out before lockout. I think I'd rather pay 85k more for him over Coffield. There was talk he would surpass Pittard this year anyway (not sure if that was Bigfooty hype or well informed opinion), but with his injury Bonner will get a great look in the first three games.

Interestingly in JLT2 he was pushed from HBF to wing which makes me think even if Pittard does return he won't be dropped (just moved to a position where he might score a little bit less).

So what am I hoping for?

- If he averages below 70-80 it won't be a disastrous pick but one that should've probably been better used.
- If he averages 80 that will put him as a better midprice selection then any of the popular forwards (Christensen, Bell, Dunkley).
- If he averages 85-90 he could end up a low D7 or a straight swap to a fallen premium
- If he averages 90+ you're laughing.

So how confident am I that he hits the 80 mark?

Pre-season:
JLT1: 49 from 69% TOG (Pittard: 105)
JLT2: 78 from 81% TOG (Pittard: 35 from a half)

Neither score was great, JLT 2 showed some promise though.

2016:
R23: GCS - 76

2017:
R22: WBD - 75
R23: GCS- 81
EF: WCE - 74

Decent scores, but two games were v GCS

Verdict:
With his four games to date + JLT 2 I believe Bonner can safely average 75, with 85 as a realistic upside. This has been made safer with Pittard's injury, but offset by the amount of Port Adelaide players demanding SC points this year (Ryder, Wines, SPP, Hartlett, Rocky, Ebert, Boak, Westhoff, Wingard, Dixon) and the seemingly endless supply of HBF's on their list.

He is by no means a must pick and a lot of people haven't considered him at all due to structural reasons. But at his price (~47 average) I see him as a great value D4 option coming into R1 that appeals to me more than fielding 3 DEF rookies.

Thoughts on Bonner v C Ellis in backline?

 

[Gavin Excell]

Mark O'Connor (GEEL). 123k DEF. Haven't seen much about him on BF but scored 69 in JLT. I understand he was awful last year but what is his JS like?

Nil chance

 

[bananatigz]

Fogs and Doedee confirmed making their debuts, no mention of Murphy disappointingly.