AFL 2019 - AFL Round 12

[andwhenitcomes]

Gold Coast/North Melbourne under 159.5 @ 1.88 (Sportsbet). About to rain.

 

[targett]

7 from 11 covered
Strike Rate 64%


Betting a unit each at $1.90 lines, you’d have staked 11 units and collected 13.3 units, for a profit of 2.3 units at a Great 21% PoT

With coach sackings there is not a lot of data – Here there are only eleven events to look at…. Not enough to have faith in the numbers.

Can Carlton cover the line this week .....

With the New coach, covering the line today

8 from 12 covered
Strike Rate 66.6 %
PoT % 26.6 %

 

[iluvparis]

So how about that new coach effect

 

[chrisdon16]

So how about that new coach effect

Carlton fans shouldn't be celebrating after that win. The question is why the f didn't they play like that under Bolton? Takes a sacking to suddenly rejuvenate a team to actually try. Pathetic.

 

[andwhenitcomes]

Gold Coast/North Melbourne under 159.5 @ 1.88 (Sportsbet). About to rain.

And the rain's just completely disappeared off the radar. Never bet on the weather...

 

[X_box_X]

Feel free to head to Betfair and match my handicap bets on Adelaide. It starts with Adelaide +0.5 pts at $1.84. Follow the Adelaide handicaps all the way through to -9.5. I'm offering better odds than the market base rate.

 

[iluvparis]

Carlton fans shouldn't be celebrating after that win. The question is why the f didn't they play like that under Bolton? Takes a sacking to suddenly rejuvenate a team to actually try. Pathetic.

Yeah nah - as I said last week - its a proven fact that a change of coach gives a 1 week bump in performance but has no real long run impact. Nothing Carlton specific here

 

[jimboslice]

I really just can’t be bothered anymore man. The amount of times I’m 1 ******* disposal off winning is unbelievable. I can’t take it anymore man. Even this little win would’ve lifted my weekend. Oh well lol

 

[jimboslice]

Walsh o23.5
Neale 30+
Brisbane win
Fiorini 30+
Ziebell 25+
$5 @ 21/1

Not to mention this one would’ve gotten up if Brisbane won too hahaha * me

 

[chrisdon16]

GWS +4.5 ($2 Topsport promo)

 

[benji21]

Sam reid moved to forward with the changes? or just incorrect lineups?

 

[Ohh Ok]

2.5u Coniglio over 108.5 fantasy $1.87
2.5u Josh Kelly over 30.5 disposals $1.90 (365)
2u Brad Crouch 25+, Z.Williams 25+ (SB) $1.95
1u GWS SU $2.08 (SB)

 

[NonPhixion]

M Crouch 30+ @1.75 b365

 

[Its not the coach]

Sports bet same game multi.
Crows win
Walker 2 + goals
Jenkins 2 + goals
Atkins 20 plus dis
Lynch 20 plus dis
Hopper 20 plus dis
Going to put $200 on @$14.25

Lynch out injured calf in Walm up. Ah well refunded bet. Bad loss for crows though, important player.

 

[targett]

And the rain's just completely disappeared off the radar. Never bet on the weather...

I was watching the Radar and the rain just parted like the red sea over metricon !

 

[Jugada]

Lynch out injured calf in Walm up. Ah well refunded bet. Bad loss for crows though, important player.

Surely only that leg is a refund?

 

[NonPhixion]

i thinking with Yeo out, Hewett might hard tag Shuey. If so, I like U28.5 @1.70 -PB

 

[Its not the coach]

Surely only that leg is a refund?[/QUO Nope, sports bet same game multis are void bets if a selection doesn't participate, In the end Atkins fell 1 disposal short anyway getting 19 instead of 20, So im happy with void bet rules.

 

[Robo87]

0.6u petrucelle 2g+ @5 b365
0.4u petrucelle 3g+ @21 b365
1u papley 2g+ @2.50 lads
0.3u papley 3g+ @5.50 b365

 

[targett]

Next Week

Adelaide -13.5 1.91 b365
Richmond 18.5 1.88 bet easy

 

[SM]

i thinking with Yeo out, Hewett might hard tag Shuey. If so, I like U28.5 @1.70 -PB

Surely he goes to Gaff?

 

[catpremier 07]

West coast $2 have I missed something?

 

[targett]

Surely he goes to Gaff?

Hurn and Yeo are out but -2.5 for the Swans ranked 15th in the Comp vs WC 5th is a remarkable line

 

[Mazza1234678]

Hurn and Yeo are out but -2.5 for the Swans ranked 15th in the Comp vs WC 5th is a remarkable line

Who would match up on buddy though?

And the scg really doesn’t suit that eagles forward line

Really tough game to read

 

[SM]

Eagles haven't won at the SCG in 20 years, we beat them twice last year, guess that plays into it.