AFL 2019 - AFL Round 19

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THE RUN TO THE AFL FINALS
1. GEELONG: 52 points, 135.8 per cent.
Sydney (SCG), Fremantle (OS), North Melbourne (GMHBA), Brisbane Lions (Gabba), Carlton (GMHBA).
2. BRISBANE LIONS: 48 points, 114.9 per cent.
Hawthorn. (UTas), Western Bulldogs (Gabba), Gold Coast (Gabba), Geelong (Gabba), Richmond (MCG).
3. WEST COAST: 48 points, 113.5 per cent.
North Melbourne (OS), Carlton (Marvel), Adelaide (OS), Richmond (MCG), Hawthorn (OS).
4. COLLINGWOOD: 44 points, 111.9 per cent.
Richmond (MCG), Gold Coast (MCG), Melbourne (MCG), Adelaide (AO), Essendon (MCG) 5. RICHMOND: 44 points, 107.5 per cent.
Collingwood (MCG), Melbourne (MCG), Carlton (MCG), West Coast (MCG), Brisbane Lions (MCG).
6. GWS: 40 points, 123.6 per cent.
Port Adelaide (AO), Sydney (GS), Hawthorn (UNSW Canberra), Western Bulldogs (GS), Gold Coast (Metricon).
7. ESSENDON: 40 points, 103.9 per cent.
Gold Coast (Metricon), Port Adelaide (Marvel), Western Bulldogs (Marvel), Fremantle (OS), Collingwood (MCG).
8. ADELAIDE: 36 points, 110.2 per cent.
Carlton (MCG), St Kilda (AO), West Coast (OS), Collingwood (AO), Western Bulldogs (Mars).
9. PORT ADELAIDE: 32 points, 102.3 per cent.
GWS (AO), Essendon (Marvel), Sydney (AO), North Melbourne (Marvel), Fremantle (AO).
10. HAWTHORN: 32 points, 101.9 per cent.
Brisbane Lions (UTas), North Melbourne (Marvel), GWS (UNSW Canberra), Gold Coast (Marvel), West Coast (OS).
11. FREMANTLE, 32 points, 96.2 per cent.
Western Bulldogs (Marvel), Geelong (OS), St Kilda (Marvel), Essendon (OS), Port Adelaide (AO).
12. WESTERN BULLDOGS: 32 points, 93.4.
Fremantle (Marvel), Brisbane Lions (Gabba), Essendon (Marvel), GWS (GS), Adelaide (Mars).
13. NORTH MELBOURNE: 28 points, 98.7 per cent.
West Coast (OS), Hawthorn (Marvel), Geelong (GMHBA), Port Adelaide (Marvel), Melbourne (Blundstone).
14. ST KILDA: 28 points 82.9. Melbourne (Marvel), Adelaide (AO), Fremantle (Marvel), Carlton (MCG), Sydney (SCG).
 

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Saints should be favourite took them at $2.10, dees historically struggle with them losing last two at MCG as warm favourites, their pacey little goalsneaks always trouble us and getting out the back, coming back from Alice Springs too.. like the over 168.5 here too in a dead rubber both teams should ping the ball pretty direct especially after watching StKilda Sunday.. geelong over match total or team total could be good too as lots of them spoke about being too safe with ball movement, playing Sydney doesn't help free you up though but line will be lower as a result.
 
#AFL #bettingtips

R19 TGS Leans

o151-152 Pies/Tigers (161-171)
o157-158 Haw/BL (153-168)
u161-162 Carl/Adel (157-161)
u166-168 STK/Dees (148-165)
o156-157 Port/GWS (158-172)
u162-163 WB/Fre (147-166)
o148-152 Syd/Gee (155-167)
u161-162 GC/Ess (141-157)

GL

Last Week 0-3 -3u. bad week. Expect a better round this week. No golf!
 
with no eddie, carlton defenders will worry more about jenkins and walker imo.
1u murphy 2g+ @3.60 SB
0.5u murphy 3g+ @9.50 b365
0.2u murphy 4g+ @26 sb
1u Stengle 2g+ @3.60 SB
0.5u Stengle 3g+ @8.50 lads
0.2u Stengle 4g+ @26 SB

Opinions on where brodie smith plays this week? crows have been experimenting with partly playing him around center/HF line in some games lately, kicked 3.1 last week and 1g+ @2.10, 2g+ @8.50, 3g+ @31 is on sb.
 
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3u Cotchin 20+, Prestia 20+, Pendles 20+ $1.80 (SB)
3u Adams over 99.5 fantasy $1.88 (PB) - void
3u Treloar over 32.5 disposals $1.88 (BE)
0.5u Elliot 2+ goals $3.20 (SB)
 
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Taylor Adams out won't help the Pies

Or my multi which involved him getting 20 touches :(


Yeh confidence increase with Richmond now. Adams is a huge loss, Crocker comes in and is close to the worst player on our list. Not sure where this leaves our forward structure, because even before this change I felt as those we had 1 forward too many, now we definitely do. I expect De Goey to play more midfield tonight, with WHE possibly moving further up the ground.
 
Walters 25+ @$3 SB, Think with the changes he spends more time in the Mids this week. Wouldn't be surprised to see Fyfe and Mundy rolling through the forward line a bit more, Waiting for more to bring up goalscorer markets
 
placed these last night, some odds may have slightly adjusted since.
1u Chol AGS @1.87 lads (gone 5/5 so far)
1u Castagna 2g+ @3.75 sb
0.5u Castagna 3g+ @12 sb
0.2u Baker 2g+ @8.50 b365
0.1u Baker 3g+ @41 b365

1u Jarrod.Cameron 2g+ @3.40 sb
0.5u J.Cameron 3g+@7.50 sb
0.2u J.Cameron 4g+@23 sb
1u Petruccelle 2g+@4 sb
0.5u Petruccelle 3g+@9.50 sb
0.2u Petruccelle 4g+@41 sb
1u Sheed AGS @2.10 lads
0.5 Sheed 2g+ @7 sb
0.1 Sheed 3g+ @23 sb
1u Zurhaar 2g+@3.10 b365
0.3u Zurhaar 3g+@9 b365
 
Not finding heaps this weekend so far.
Like:
2+ Lobb (3.10), O. Allen ($5) SB
3+ McKernan ($6), Tippa ($3.75), Laverde ($4.50) Bet365.
Snelling ($9), Bontempelli ($6.50, will play fwd) O. Allen ($11, no 3rd def at North) SB.
4+ Snelling ($41) SB
 

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