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LIVE: St Kilda v Western Bulldogs - 7:30PM Thu
Squiggle tips Saints at 51% chance -- What's your tip? -- Team line-ups »
Thanks for taking the time to put this together and share it with us. Much appreciated.I wanted to see just how many lines actually got covered, so using the data in the opening post for every rounds thread I got these results. The outcome of close lines was by consensus. e.g if the margin was 10, and more than half the listed bookmakers had -10.5 or over, then it did not cover.
2019 so far looks a bit different...
So far in 2019, 15 matches have had a line of 19.75 or more. 14 of those 15 failed to cover the line. This week 5 games have lines of 19.75 or more.
Lines covered by margin this year:
0.25 - 9.75: 7 of 17
9.75 - 19.75: 11 of 22
19.75 - 29.75: 1 of 9 (Adel v. GC)
29.75 - 39.75: 0 of 6
Before Carlton's outs, had them winning it by 22. But talking straight footy, at the moment North are probably the worst team in the comp based on form (along with the dees). Whilst Carlton are actually playing pretty good, their confidence is rising. At the moment it's a toss of the coin game with Carlton's outs. Can't see North winning it by 3+ goals. Only 2 weeks ago the blues smashed the dogs by 44 and were very impressive last week.Was lingering around here the back end of last season and remember that you were killing it. Curious to hear your point of view for this game as it seems different to mine?
Thanks for taking the time to put this together and share it with us. Much appreciated.
If I am understanding it correctly, what this all means is that if you back the underdog at the line, you're probably going to win.
Of course past outcomes don't equal future outcomes etc, but this seems to be the trend so far this season.
Is De Goey to kick a goal in the first quarter for $3 at Lads a good promo?
Edit: he's named in the middle and the pies have dumped a mid in Varcoe and brought in a fwd in Elliot so maybe a possession overs bet might be the way to go for JDG.
I wanted to see just how many lines actually got covered, so using the data in the opening post for every rounds thread I got these results. The outcome of close lines was by consensus. e.g if the margin was 10, and more than half the listed bookmakers had -10.5 or over, then it did not cover.
2019 so far looks a bit different...
So far in 2019, 15 matches have had a line of 19.75 or more. 14 of those 15 failed to cover the line. This week 5 games have lines of 19.75 or more.
Lines covered by margin this year:
0.25 - 9.75: 7 of 17
9.75 - 19.75: 11 of 22
19.75 - 29.75: 1 of 9 (Adel v. GC)
29.75 - 39.75: 0 of 6
What’s people’s thoughts on this swans v lions game?
I can see it is gonna piss down in Brissy on Saturday, does this bring the swans back into it? Or are they just that **** Brissy still win at home?
Haven’t watched much of either team
W-L and score percentages since start of 2017
SYD & McVeigh 24-11 - 124.7% when McVeigh in the side
SYD & McVeigh 6-12 - 89.4% when McVeigh misses
Interesting.At Marvel tonight I've already taken 1u Pies-Port TGS o166.5 but have been looking at these for a couple of days and now adding them. I like Port.
1u Port Adelaide o70.5 $1.75 at BE
.5u Port Adelaide o80.5 $2.56 at BE
GL
As I post this, down to $1.50.Ben Reid anytime goal scorer at $1.90 on Ladbrokes. Direct replacement for Cox and a fairly reliable kick.
Jumped on last night, great price. Kicked a goal in 12 of his last 15.Ben Reid anytime goal scorer at $1.90 on Ladbrokes. Direct replacement for Cox and a fairly reliable kick.