AFL 2020 - AFL Round 16 (no aftertiming allowed)

[tangolikelama]

Why the **** is Fritsch down back!?

 

[mouncey2franklin]

It was $2 for <100.5 total points before the match.

Why I didn't load up on that, I'll never know.

Two trash teams, both playing an extra man back, in wind and rain.

fmd

 

[GROTTO]

Backing 80 pts or less ($5.20) and both sides 0-39 ($18).

Total points in last 4/7 Freo games have been 80 or less and Melb have 7 team changes and who knows how they play.

Both sides playing off 4 day breaks and potential for rain and even if it doesn’t the ball will be a cake of soap anyway.

Sick of watching quarters where there is 1 goal kicked but will cheer it home tonight!!

Gosh you must be dancing in the rain. This looks awesome, just 5 minutes into this game.

 

[sneak]

How big is this 'chance'?

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100%

 

[FrankGrimes]

Backing 80 pts or less ($5.20) and both sides 0-39 ($18).

Total points in last 4/7 Freo games have been 80 or less and Melb have 7 team changes and who knows how they play.

Both sides playing off 4 day breaks and potential for rain and even if it doesn’t the ball will be a cake of soap anyway.

Sick of watching quarters where there is 1 goal kicked but will cheer it home tonight!!

Look good so far! Under 50 might be a go

 

[ricardogp]

Am I right in saying that, given a player kicking 3 or more goals has happened 7 times in the last 10 games, and there are, what, maybe 8 potential goal kickers per team, then that is odds of 7 / 160 or $25?

As perspective, there were 22 instances in the final 10 games last year. So 22/160, or $7 which seems more in line with the odds that the bookies are offering.

I feel the bookies have duped us all.

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[ricardogp]

100%

Then thanks for the tip [emoji16]

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[mac23]

Acres missed the bus

 

[mookieb]

1u Freo -4.5. Melb look tired with the 4 day break. Freo should be well clear by now.

 

[iluvparis]

Who was the dead set hero who declared Melbourne a top 4 lock for the next 5 years after they fluked their way to that prelim a couple of season ago?

 

[mac23]

Acres missed the bus

got done for out on the full but not credited the kick?

 

[MRCB12]

got done for out on the full but not credited the kick?

Thought the exact same thing. Why does it not count ?

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Backing 80 pts or less ($5.20) and both sides 0-39 ($18).

Total points in last 4/7 Freo games have been 80 or less and Melb have 7 team changes and who knows how they play.

Both sides playing off 4 day breaks and potential for rain and even if it doesn’t the ball will be a cake of soap anyway.

Sick of watching quarters where there is 1 goal kicked but will cheer it home tonight!!

This guy currently looking like a genius.

 

[freo_leo29]

If freo could kick straight they would clear 40 easily though

 

[mookieb]

1u Freo -4.5. Melb look tired with the 4 day break. Freo should be well clear by now.

Added 0.5u on Freo -10.5 at $3.25.

Not sure why Freo shouldn't continue to roll. Freo +37 disposals, +9 I50's and +35 marks.

 

[Drakescoffeecake]

Tomlinson all you need to do is get 15 touches and you're on ****ing 4

 

[Bazza97]

Walters been down for too long. I hate "due" bets but he's.... due.

2U 1G $1.67
1U 2G $4.50
SB

2U 15+ $1.35
0.5U 20+ $2.50
Lads

Well done on backing Walters for 2+ he was indeed due

 

[freo_leo29]

3+ was 15 and 4+ was 71 if he can do it

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Melksham you are dead set dead to me

Go forward you campaigner!

 

[Robo87]

im on 1u Acres 20+ @2.75 lads
0.5u Acres 25+@9 be
i'm doubting he'll get 30.

acres somehow got to 23 possessions..

 

[Bazza97]

For a pessimistic Melbourne fan, Fremantle's odds to win are too good to ignore. Chucked a bonus bet on Freo to win, Taberner AGS & Lobb AGS $5 BE.

I'll learn from this one, should've just bet on Freo to win and not include anything else.

 

[mac23]

acres somehow got to 23 possessions..

Unreal...only had it twice in the first quarter

 

[OhhDeledio]

so wingers again having good games against melbourne with aish and acres both on 23 (equal 2nd for freo) and in pretty unfavourable conditions for them to. aish 20+ got up @ 4.60 with his 2nd highest touch game for the year. acres 2nd highest aswell

gonna be looking at perryman and adam kennedy for next week against melbourne

 

[Sausage Legs]

Reckon harry himmelberg gws at 1.58 looks cream for ya multis on ladbrokes

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Reckon harry himmelberg gws at 1.58 looks cream for ya multis on ladbrokes

Been burnt so many times by him, think I'll just go possessions and Cameron 2+ (watch him do something this week)