AFL 2020 - AFL Round 16 (no aftertiming allowed)

[Robo87]

But only on Preuss 1-4.
Preuss 2+ is @8 at BE.

also can get Pruess ags @2.50 b365 - 1u on
0.5u 2g+ @8
0.2u 3g+ @31

 

[FrankGrimes]

Ags dangerous tonight, total
Score is set for around 104.. hate the ags market especially when you only expect 6-7 goals each side..

 

[GROTTO]

Ags dangerous tonight, total
Score is set for around 104.. hate the ags market especially when you only expect 6-7 goals each side..

There might be 6-7 goals in total.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Call me crazy it's a freo game and Melbourne also move the ball a lot slower now but I like over 105.5, Longmuir has talked about getting better bang for buck from clearance dominance down forward and the weather won't be too bad, they had 85 total vs richmond from absolutely woeful forward effectiveness, also think the deees ins are mostly either Attacking or pacey options like Bedford, Baker,Hunt and Preuss to stretch defence, the outs like Oscar ,Wagner ,Jones either move so slow with ball or butcher it bad, feeling a 58-52 type score tonight,also like diaposal spread on oliver 25, Langdon 21, Fyfe 22, not much downside on these and all 3 could have decent numbers, think Fyfe really comes into it as the younger boys tire toward end of season

 

[md20]

C. Oliver Most Disposals $2.88 (SB)

SGM $140
Melb -7.5
Under 105.5
C. Oliver Most Disposals
B. Fritsch Most Goals
D. Mundy Over 18.5 Disposals

On SM-G965F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[FrankGrimes]

There might be 6-7 goals in total.

Exactly who knows how Melbourne will play.. been burned with ags too much.

 

[X_box_X]

C Petracca to score more DT pts than Angus Brayshaw at $1.85 w Unibet

This is quite clearly meant to be Andrew Brayshaw, but Unibet have f’ed up again.

Petracca averaging 86.2 DT pts per game. His total of 67 last week was the lowest he has scored all year.
Angus is averaging 62.3 DT pts per game - a lower average than Petracca's lowest score all year. In fact, Angus has only twice scored more than Petracca's lowest score this year.

 

[Bazza97]

Can't disagree that betting on goal scorers is dangerous for this game (especially games involving Freo). Despite that, I'm betting on a player that has burnt me and probably quite a few of us punters this year. I do like Lobb for 2+ tonight $5 on SB and BE. Hasn't kicked a goal in the last two games or kicked 2+ since round 7 but I'm backing him to kick 2+ in a game before the season finishes.

 

[Hu$tler]

Goal line tehcnlogy and Darling cost me harddddddddd.

Might go Walters group b tonight i think he's getting pissed off at coach for not being in the midfield more....

 

[Del125763]

not a love for Freo in the match odds market , drifting out as we speak. $2.74 now.

Reckon that's pretty tasty odds.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Splashed a bonus bet of $35 on Preuss most goals tab $51 (next best I see is $34 crown for him) for a laugh,could be a 2/3/4 way tie on 2 goals so still be a nice return!don't think Taberner or Lobb will go over 2 with May in pretty good form, worried about Fritsch he's due

 

[Del125763]

Melbourne inclusions: VandenBerg, Preuss, Hunt, Pickett, Hibberd, Oskar Baker, Toby Bedford

I don't think any of those inclusions, would make Freo lose any sleep. Pickett might able to snag a goal but I don't know any of those other 6 players.

 

[wally99]

C Petracca to score more DT pts than Angus Brayshaw at $1.85 w Unibet

This is quite clearly meant to be Andrew Brayshaw, but Unibet have f’ed up again.

Petracca averaging 86.2 DT pts per game. His total of 67 last week was the lowest he has scored all year.
Angus is averaging 62.3 DT pts per game - a lower average than Petracca's lowest score all year. In fact, Angus has only twice scored more than Petracca's lowest score this year.

Angus Brayshaw isnt playing

On SM-G986B using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[mdizzle]

C Petracca to score more DT pts than Angus Brayshaw at $1.85 w Unibet

This is quite clearly meant to be Andrew Brayshaw, but Unibet have f’ed up again.

Petracca averaging 86.2 DT pts per game. His total of 67 last week was the lowest he has scored all year.
Angus is averaging 62.3 DT pts per game - a lower average than Petracca's lowest score all year. In fact, Angus has only twice scored more than Petracca's lowest score this year.

Would be all over this as well but Gus is injured & not playing tonight

 

[benji21]

Careful using days break, both are 3rd game in 9 days.

 

[X_box_X]

Angus Brayshaw isnt playing

On SM-G986B using BigFooty.com mobile app

Damn. The same thing happened a few weeks ago when Unibet had a market for Luke Parker v Daniel Lloyd. The GWS player wasn't playing, but the odds suggested it was meant to be Jake Lloyd. Luke and Jake scored the same.

 

[Del125763]

Sportsbet Disposal Lines for Dees v Freo:

Petracca Under/Over 23.5
Oliver Under/Over 25.5
Langdon Under/Over 21.5
Fyfe Under/Over 23.5
Brayshaw Under/Over 21.5
Serong Under/Over 18.5
Mundy Under/Over 18.5


Both teams leak disposals to their opponents. Dockers are ranked 3rd for average disposals conceded and Melbourne 6th for average disposals conceded. I'm staying away from Fyfe/Petracca for disposals- just due to the uncertainty amount of forward time each may play.


From my spreadsheet, Oliver is the only one worth a play at those odds for overs.

 

[mookieb]

Tough game to pick tonight. Melb with Brayshaw and Harmes out and plenty of spuds incoming. Both teams in not bad form considering. Both teams having had tough schedules but Melb have a 4 day break. Ordinarily this would be a big negative, but they're fit and one of the best 4th qtr teams playing.

Might watch the game and hope to live bet if one of the teams looks out on their feet.

 

[Bazza97]

For a pessimistic Melbourne fan, Fremantle's odds to win are too good to ignore. Chucked a bonus bet on Freo to win, Taberner AGS & Lobb AGS $5 BE.

 

[Del125763]

the line for the game is 105.5 points. Swans v Demons on the same ground racked up 113 points during the day.

This is a night game, and added to the fact that Freo play a slow style out of defence- means this may be a cagey affair.

Beware of backing goalscorers......

 

[5 Bucks]

Fritsch v Hogan - tie $2.90 TAB

Weid v Taberner - tie $3.50 TAB

 

[mac23]

Taberner 2+ $2.50 SB (hit last 7/9)

Aaaand obligatory Acres crack also...
Acres 20+
Oliver Most
Taberner 2+
$24 (SB Boost)

 

[BloodRet]

Taberner 2
Weidemann 2
Lobb 2
Fritsch
Pickett
@101

 

[dontlimitme]

on the petracca goal train tonight so i can root for something

 

[Geeves Train]

Backing 80 pts or less ($5.20) and both sides 0-39 ($18).

Total points in last 4/7 Freo games have been 80 or less and Melb have 7 team changes and who knows how they play.

Both sides playing off 4 day breaks and potential for rain and even if it doesn’t the ball will be a cake of soap anyway.

Sick of watching quarters where there is 1 goal kicked but will cheer it home tonight!!