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AFL 2022 AFL Round 10

Line Winners?


  • Total voters
    10
  • Poll closed .

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North Melbourne v Melbourne Stat Multiplier (kicks x Handballs x Goals) spreads:

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Tips using the $1 stakes and some reasoning behind each bet.

Petracca UNDER 321 (this is too high for a play . 2 goals will more than likely breakeven but 3 is where the gravy is. Take the Under here)
Oliver OVER 97 (can see him getting a goal . In fact any of the Melbourne mids could snare goals today. The question is whether there will be enough to share around?)
Gawn UNDER 74 (2 goals doesn't guarantee he clears this line)
Ben Brown UNDER 63 (should get goals but not guaranteed handballs. Averages 2.31 handballs in the last 2 years. This is a safe unders that has increased in line due to opposition and for that reason only)
Ed Langdon UNDER 94 (table values suggests this is about 28 too high)
Neal-Bullen UNDER 53 ( averages 9.87 kicks and 6.87 handballs in the last 2 years. A Goal should see at worst, break-even. Take him on the Under here)
Luke Jackson OVER 49 (got a weird feeling he is in a game for 3+ Goals or better today and being labelled, early, in the forward line helps. Can see him and Max Gawn interchanging with ruck duties)
Fritsch UNDER 52 (doesnt handball as much. Averages 2.24 handballs over the last 2 seasons. A bag of 6+ Goals shouldnt hurt the pocket too much here)
Viney UNDER 68 (this is about 32 too high based on table averages and he is no cert to goal here)
T Thomas OVER 37 (have to have a nibble at this line. Im pretty sure early in the season his line was in the high 80s or so. If a Roos midfielder is to goal, why not Tarryn?)
Goldstein OVER 21 (will spend the game in middle and in forward and at that line is worth a play)
Larkey OVER 36 (Can see Larkey playing a bit more upfield today , which should help him to clear disposals lines. A 2+ Goal is a minimum with him these days regardless of the opposition)
 
Curtis 2 @7

Neal Bullen, SPargo, Curtis, Petracca, Gawn, Melkshem, Jackson all 1 goal @25.75
 
Tom Sparrow is $2.30 to Kick a Goal

but even at that price that wouldn't tempt me

Would want at least $4.00 or better.
 

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I learnt something a bit new today.

Didn't know what 'Narrm' meant until the game today.

You learn something new everyday.
 
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