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AFL 2022 AFL Round 12

Line Winners?


  • Total voters
    11
  • Poll closed .

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Hawkins 3
Bont
Weightman
Rankine
Larkey
Brown 2
Heeney
@13 topsport

Hawkins 2
Cameron 2
Naughton 2
Bont
Weightman
Heeney
Reid
Hayward
@18 ts powered

Chol 3
Bont 2
Heeney 2
Rankine 2
@30
Need hawkins and bont to tick all these over for tomorrow. Second one is on though

EDIT thought naughton had 2 for some reason **** just one of you campaigners at least please
 
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yeah but 5 was only 10 bucks anyway

6 i think was 17 but didn't bother coz was a diff site

Sucks to miss out on the $17 for 6, but still well done on the $10 for 5 :thumbsu:

I kinda regret not getting on Libba for 2/3 bloodret style but if he finishes on 2.1, I'd have probably been more upset about missing on the $67 for 3 than I would be happy for hitting the $14 for 2.

That's the problem with punting for true degens like me. It isn't the winners I care so much about, it is the near misses which haunt me like long-lost lovers who I regret never telling them how much they really meant to me.

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Sucks to miss out on the $17 for 6, but still well done on the $10 for 5 :thumbsu:

I kinda regret not getting on Libba for 2/3 bloodret style but if he finishes on 2.1, I'd have probably been more upset about missing on the $67 for 3 than I would be happy for hitting the $14 for 2.

That's the problem with punting for true degens like me. It isn't the winners I care so much about, it is the near misses which haunt me like long-lost lovers who I regret never telling them how much they really meant to me.

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Ziebell is the one.

If I was online instead of the stupid gym I would have tailed the rest of the degens on here.
 

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For Melbourne vs Sydney.

No May (usual kick-in taker). No Rivers (back-up kick-in taker at times this year). Expecting Jake Bowey to share most of the kick-in duties with Salem. Salem playing his first full game of the season so I would imagine he's on managed minutes. So you'd think Bowey should get another ~3-4 disposals from kick-ins during the game. His average number of disposals per game (normalised without kick-ins) is 17.9. So if you include the additional 3-4 that takes the figure to 20.9- 21.9.

Given the above, $2.30 is Good value for 20+ IMO. Can get that price at most bookies.
 
Singles
Weightman 2+ g @2.30 Tab has a good 2+ hit rate.

Rankine 3+ g @5.00 Tab plenty of chances last week, Should have got 3, Plaing North this week and over due to kick a few.

Multi
Weightman 2+g
Berry 15+ dis
Rankine 3+g
De goey 20+d @22.54Tab
Thank **** Weightman got that junk time goal, Keeps this one alive.
 
For Melbourne vs Sydney.

No May (usual kick-in taker). No Rivers (back-up kick-in taker at times this year). Expecting Jake Bowey to share most of the kick-in duties with Salem. Salem playing his first full game of the season so I would imagine he's on managed minutes. So you'd think Bowey should get another ~3-4 disposals from kick-ins during the game. His average number of disposals per game (normalised without kick-ins) is 17.9. So if you include the additional 3-4 that takes the figure to 20.9- 21.9.

Given the above, $2.30 is Good value for 20+ IMO. Can get that price at most bookies.
I put some on for 25+ as well, $7 at TAB

He had 24 last week against Freo with 4 kick ins
 
Ziebell is the one.

If I was online instead of the stupid gym I would have tailed the rest of the degens on here.

I missed the Ziebell train too and I still think about it from time to time.

Not sure if I will ever forgive myself for that one.

Rosas the next day kicking three kinda saved me, somebody on here gave me the hot tip via PM (if you're reading this, you know who you are, god bless you sir).

I don't think we'll ever see another day of punting board success like that day, so many dudes here cleaned up.

You were at the gym, I was asleep.

Thank heavens there were still plenty of degens online to cash in and kill the bookies that day, cos you and I were not playing our part 😅
 
Jake Lloyd paying $2.05 for over 24.5 at pointsbet

He is paying $1.85 for 25+ also at pointsbet... so there's an error

also around $1.50-80 at other bookies
 
4 Legged Parlay :

West Coast Eagles +36.5 Handicap v Adelaide
Croatia to beat Austria in the Soccer
Over 2.5 Goals in Belgium v Netherlands
France to beat Denmark in the Soccer

Odds: 10.43


Adelaide should win but expect West Coast to make it tight. Jamie Cripps polled 3 votes in the corresponding game last year, may be worth a look at goals in conditions expected to favour small forwards. 2 goals might be a dead heat, but 3 is not unreachable given he kicked 5 last year here.

using my bonus bet from tonights game
 

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Don't know about you lads but I think young Amartey is worth a look.

Only kicked the one goal last week in the VFL but kicked four the week previous.

No May makes a massive difference to this Demons outfit.

Amartey 0.5u each 3+ 4+ 5+ ($19, $76, $301, sb)

My only concern is that the AFL might make an example of Sydney (via the umps) after the club's comments this week.

They sometimes do stuff like that, the AFL. Anybody who says otherwise is living in lala land.

But at those odds, I'm happy to pay the cover charge for what could be a sensational Amartey Party 🥳
 
Also 0.5u multi Pap 3, Heeney 3, Reid 3 @ $161 (sb) with a bet return (in case one of them lets me down, like an ex lover who walked out the door when I needed her most).
 
Meek comes into the Freo side meaning they have one pure ruck (Meek), one ruck who rests forward (Darcy) and one forward/ruck (Lobb).

Lobb's odds are shizen, obviously the bookies / market see him taking Taberner's role as main forward.

But Darcy's odds are worth a look. He kicked 2.2 against Essendon earlier in the year.

He also kicked 3.2 against Hawthorn last year when Meek was in the side.

Darcy can clunk a mark and roost a ball from 50, the ability is there.

When Meek was in the side in rd 2, he took 76% of CBAs, Darcy only 24%.

And that is the only time so far this year they have played in the same team.

Darcy 0.5u each 2+ 3+ ($4.25, $13, pb), 4+ 5+ ($41, $171, sb)

Also as much as Freo fans seem to hate Banfield, there's something about the kid, he seems to get to the right places.

0.5u each Banfield 2, McCluggage 2 ($29, sb), Banfield 3, McCluggage 3 ($851, sb)
 
Do you have a 365 account mouncey? Darcy $19 for 3, $100 for 4 and $600 for 5 over there.

Sadly, no, I cannot bet with 365.

From what I have heard though, they limit bets to like a few dollars, sometimes even 50c, lol.

If that's true then I say **** the ****s.

But thank you for the information all the same 👍
 
Don't know about you lads but I think young Amartey is worth a look.

Only kicked the one goal last week in the VFL but kicked four the week previous.

No May makes a massive difference to this Demons outfit.

Amartey 0.5u each 3+ 4+ 5+ ($19, $76, $301, sb)

My only concern is that the AFL might make an example of Sydney (via the umps) after the club's comments this week.

They sometimes do stuff like that, the AFL. Anybody who says otherwise is living in lala land.

But at those odds, I'm happy to pay the cover charge for what could be a sensational Amartey Party 🥳

26 for 3+ on TS
 
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