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AFL 2022 AFL Round 13

Line Winners?

  • Richmond -14.5

    Votes: 4 40.0%
  • Port Adelaide +14.5

    Votes: 4 40.0%
  • Essendon +18.5

    Votes: 4 40.0%
  • Carlton -18.5

    Votes: 3 30.0%
  • Fremantle -33.5

    Votes: 3 30.0%
  • Hawthorn +33.5

    Votes: 4 40.0%
  • Brisbane -16.5

    Votes: 2 20.0%
  • St Kilda +16.5

    Votes: 4 40.0%
  • North Melbourne +36.5

    Votes: 2 20.0%
  • G-Western Sydney -36.5

    Votes: 4 40.0%
  • Collingwood +20.5

    Votes: 4 40.0%
  • Melbourne -20.5

    Votes: 2 20.0%

  • Total voters
    10
  • Poll closed .

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Yeah looks that way. Just gonna have the Fyfe 4 bet and sit the game out personally, then have a crack at lions saints
Let's just hope Nat rests fwd with that crooked little finger of his.. then we'll talk Sunday's games!
 
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0.5u on the only bets im doing for the game

Butler 2,3 @9.50, 41

All 1 goal
Lobb Fyfe Schultz Breust Koschitzke Wingard
@5.60
 
Thanks to mouncey2franklin got on Draper 2-4 (2 @13 hit in the second) huge odds on 3/4

Got a decent cash out option at half time for the 3 and 4, fought against every degenerate part of me and took the cash out a couple minutes into the 3rd when Carlton looked well on top and conditions dropped.
Finished with a nice $500 profit for the night
Only sharing as Its been shithouse month or so but there is still hope gents .

Look forward to losing most of it over the rest of the weekend
Nice work! Nothing wrong with 13s 👌
 

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2.5u - Sicily over 22.5 disposals - $1.87 - 365
Over in 7/12 this year and plays as the spare defender behind the ball. Freo like to do the same which should really free him up.


2u - Whitfield AGS - $2.35 - Ladbrokes
1u - Whitfield 2+ goals - $7 - Dabble
0.5u - Whitfield 3+ goals - $34 - Dabble
Is named forward on the team sheet and judging by the changes to the team it looks as if he’ll definitely play forward in some capacity. Kicked 3 on the crows earlier in the year and the Giants look to be playing all out attack under their new coach. Could be plenty of goal up for offer against North.
 
Callow 4+ @ $121 sb
Callow 5+ @ $701


Season 2 Martin Tv Show GIF by Martin
 

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Thanks to mouncey2franklin got on Draper 2-4 (2 @13 hit in the second) huge odds on 3/4

Got a decent cash out option at half time for the 3 and 4, fought against every degenerate part of me and took the cash out a couple minutes into the 3rd when Carlton looked well on top and conditions dropped.
Finished with a nice $500 profit for the night
Only sharing as Its been shithouse month or so but there is still hope gents .

Look forward to losing most of it over the rest of the weekend

Don't you love a feelgood story?

the-office-michael-scott.gif
 
3u - Darcy 125+ SC - $2.05 - Dabble
1u - Darcy 150+ SC - $5.50 - Dabble
Darcy’s output as a ruckman increases drastically when taking over the solo ruck role. Should have a great opportunity today against Reeves where he clearly wins the strength battle. Had 183 (not against Reeves) on the Hawks last year. Darcy Cameron was able to put Reeves to the sword last week notching up 129 SC points.
 

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Just been figuring out some AFL Fantasy bets for today.

General trend this season is if you score over 105.5 points as an individual team, your team generally scores better in AFL Fantasy. If your team gets restricted to Under 60.5 pts, you tend to score lower in AFL Fantasy. Did an update of all games played this season up until last night. Anything between 60-100 as an individual score, the team winning from observation tends to score higher than the opposing team.

At the time of writing Fremantles line is Under/Over 95.5 pts, Hawthorn line is Under/Over 57.5 pts. Looking at the forecast I think the bad part of the weather has stayed away.

Ive taken Blake Acres over 78.5 AFL Fantasy at $1.87 in one of my multis , think Freos midfield is better in contested ball. Tom Mitchell will get a tag from James Aish. Can See any of Freos midfield of: Brayshaw, Serong, Darcy (Ruck), Fyfe (if he spends enough time there) and Will Brodie scoring well in Fantasy today.

1654922244412.png
 
Another wacky Hawthorn team sheet with Jiath forward this time. Gunstan and Lewis are both out so who knows.. I'll chuck a couple of bucks on.

2+ @ $26 365
3+ @ $250
 
Cant watch much of the AFL round this week, as Ill be flicking through the scores in preparation for my Time Series Analysis and Stochastic Processes exam this week.

GL all
 
2.5u - Newcombe under 23.5 disposals - $1.90 - SB
Under in 9/12 games this year. The dockers are giving up the third least disposals and second least uncontested disposals. Weather could turn this into a low disposal game.
 
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