AFL 2022 AFL Round 2

[Jugada]

Cmon TopSport , if you guys are reading this, improve your margins for the big forwards. 20%+ too big for McKay and Naughton. I know we all have to make a living...........

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Just think of it in terms of roulette, if you were playing the 0-00 (zero double zero table), every time you play the margins are in favour of the house at around 5.26%.

Its too big and gives the punter no incentive for margins like that.

Nearly all multi option props like most goals, most disposals, margin spreads are set to those sort of percentages

 

[Pacman82]

I'm basically on the old navy Blues, a few I layed earlier:

Bontempelli 1+
Treloar 1+
Crips 1+
Walsh 1+
Fogarty 1+
Owies 1+
@19.25 SB PWD - Seems a sensible one, I'm hearing whispers that Fogarty & Walsh will be pushing fwd

Treloar 2+
Crips 2+
Durdin 2+
Curnow 1+
@48 SB PWD - Multi leg madness, similar shit happened last week

Carlton Line (+8.5)
SOS jr 2+
Kennedy 2+
@22.5 - Tailing kicksome hoping to be Kickin' Some Ass here too..

I'd be mad not to board Mouncey's Durdin train, so I'll be lurking at the back off the platform for back-on's before the game!

 

[dontlimitme]

I'm basically on the old navy Blues, a few I layed earlier:

Bontempelli 1+
Treloar 1+
Crips 1+
Walsh 1+
Fogarty 1+
Owies 1+
@19.25 SB PWD - Seems a sensible one, I'm hearing whispers that Fogarty & Walsh will be pushing fwd

Treloar 2+
Crips 2+
Durdin 2+
Curnow 1+
@48 SB PWD - Multi leg madness, similar sh*t happened last week

Carlton Line (+8.5)
SOS jr 2+
Kennedy 2+
@22.5 - Tailing kicksome hoping to be Kickin' Some Ass here too..

I'd be mad not to board Mouncey's Durdin train, so I'll be lurking at the back off the platform for back-on's before the game!

TAILING THE MULTI GOAT

 

[Mazza1234678]

loaded up on carlton but will cash out and bet live buldogs
13u Carlton straight up

current record after 1 round: 2-13
-47u

U have to be a troll surely

 

[Mazza1234678]

Reckon Weightman could kick a bag tonight

This Carlton back line got r*ped by small forwards last year I’m pretty sure

And I can’t see a good defensive matchup on paper

 

[dontlimitme]

U have to be a troll surely

he's our troll <3

 

[kicksome]

I dont mind this:

Cody W 2+
durdin 1+
owies 1+
silvagni 1+
bont 1+

$11.75 boosted @ SB

 

[kicksome]

A Sydney v Geelong train I like:

Hayden McLean

2

Hayden Mclean

Age

27

Ht

197cm

Wt

99kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.1

2star

K

5.1

2star

HB

4.0

3star

M

2.6

3star

T

4.0

5star

G

0.4

3star

D

7.5

2star

K

4.5

2star

HB

3.0

2star

M

2.3

2star

T

3.3

4star

G

0.8

4star

D

10.0

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

4.6

4star

M

3.0

3star

T

4.4

5star

G

0.2

3star

, kicked 2 goals last week when luke parker

26

Luke Parker

Age

33

Ht

183cm

Wt

88kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

24.2

5star

K

12.6

5star

HB

11.6

5star

M

3.8

4star

T

5.6

5star

CL

5.8

5star

D

22.1

5star

K

12.3

5star

HB

9.9

5star

M

3.9

4star

T

5.0

5star

CL

5.5

5star

D

21.2

5star

K

11.4

4star

HB

9.8

5star

M

2.0

3star

T

8.0

5star

CL

5.2

5star

got off the chain and kicked 5. Parker has a pretty average goal kicking record vs Geelong (1 goal in last 4 games?) So I don't think he will be a factor this week.
Hayden kicked 4 the last time he played the cats.

2+ $3.75
3+ $10
4+ $26
Points bet.
Toot toot

 

[Nuggetz]

PB promo elite odds, Melb to win & Trac to kick 1+ is $3

 

[balmainforever]

U have to be a troll surely

he's our troll <3

Only until people stop laughing at him and get angry with him.

 

[Del125763]

The Blues are cooking something and Im going to side with them in this won.


A cross-sport multi

1. Kyrie Irving 55+ RPA (Rebounds, Points and Assists) v Memphis
2. Carlton to win over the Bulldogs

Odds: 34.20 (Boosted from 29.37)


I just think i would be missing so much and wasting a 'Booster' if I didnt use it before tonights game.

 

[md20]

Can anyone find the centre bounce attendance article for Rd1?
They used to release one every round in previous seasons but cant seem to find one for round 1 this season.

 

[IDIG]

Can anyone find the centre bounce attendance article for Rd1?
They used to release one every round in previous seasons but cant seem to find one for round 1 this season.

You can find them under this twitter account https://twitter.com/AFLstatsmate

No summary unfortunately.

 

[IDIG]

Cripps 100+SC/125+SC @ 2.15/5.50
Hewett 100+SC/125+SC @ 2.30/6.50

I assume they've been priced off historical numbers against the dogs but both are different beasts this year. Both scored 130+ last week and come up against the dogs who like to go head to head against opposition mids (Petracca 38 disposals for 163sc, Oliver 32d for 112sc last week).

If the blues dont get pantsed, i reckon they're a real sniff. Cripps in particular.

 

[dontlimitme]

Cripps 100+SC/125+SC @ 2.15/5.50
Hewett 100+SC/125+SC @ 2.30/6.50

I assume they've been priced off historical numbers against the dogs but both are different beasts this year. Both scored 130+ last week and come up against the dogs who like to go head to head against opposition mids (Petracca 38 disposals for 163sc, Oliver 32d for 112sc last week).

If the blues dont get pantsed, i reckon they're a real sniff. Cripps in particular.

what book?

 

[IDIG]

what book?

Sorry that's TAB. They generally only release them the morning of it looks like.

One to watch over the next few days will be Neale. Was priced at around 2.20 for 125sc last week and comes up against the bombers who he historically destorys (averages 150 ish in recent years). Worth a go at 150sc+ and most points.

EDIT 150+ not 1.50!

 

[IDIG]

FYI



EDIT more info

 

[IDIG]

Another one that might have an impact

 

[IDIG]

A Sydney v Geelong train I like:

Hayden McLean, kicked 2 goals last week when luke parker got off the chain and kicked 5. Parker has a pretty average goal kicking record vs Geelong (1 goal in last 4 games?) So I don't think he will be a factor this week.
Hayden kicked 4 the last time he played the cats.

2+ $3.75
3+ $10
4+ $26
Points bet.
Toot toot

Hopefully the weather is not as bad as they are predicting. I think McLean is a tall?

 

[BuddysBuddy23]

Y

Hopefully the weather is not as bad as they are predicting. I think McLean is a tall?

Yes he is. If the weather comes I find it hard to see him kicking a bag but you never know. I see TAB are running a promo on Buddy, 2+ goals/10+ disposals. $3.50. $25 max bet

 

[Punter88]

anyone else tempted to hammer GWS ?
Richmond had 40 inside 50s against carlton.
Gws have a superior team and midfield
they should win this easily?

 

[IDIG]

Y

Yes he is. If the weather comes I find it hard to see him kicking a bag but you never know. I see TAB are running a promo on Buddy, 2+ goals/10+ disposals. $3.50. $25 max bet

Did some digging.

Last 2 against Gee - 12d + 1g in 2019, 10d + 4g in 2018.

Last season - 11/18 he kicked 2+ goals/10+ disposals

$3.50 looks like good value. I reckon i'd be more worried about the disposals than goals.

 

[pendlebury_10]

Dusty Out, the price has already moved.

 

[Kiddbrown]

Can anyone find the centre bounce attendance article for Rd1?
They used to release one every round in previous seasons but cant seem to find one for round 1 this season.

Don’t know if this helps but in the AFL app if you click on each players stats for each game it’s in there.
Don’t think it was there last year
But a summary would be easier

 

[md20]

Don’t know if this helps but in the AFL app if you click on each players stats for each game it’s in there.
Don’t think it was there last year
But a summary would be easier

I cant access my phone/app at the moment. Only desktop which is a bit annoying.
But thats handy to know. Thank you