AFL 2022 AFL Round 2

[kicksome]

I'm going to be all over these Collingwood Adelaide ones.

Another I'm looking at:

Cam Raynor for Brisbane, kicked 2 behinds last week coming off a long lay off from an ACL. Listed in the forward pocket, and well, essendon aren't port so let's hope he gets a good look.

2+ $5.25
3+ $15
4+ $50

Let's hope Brisbane feed him

 

[iluvparis]

If I could bet with 365, I would be all over 2+ and 3+ at those odds.

A (potential) third tall forward at 201 for 3+ in Rd 2?

This is the stuff dreams are made of, my friend.

Sadly I can't use 365, so this is one train I cannot board.

3+ 200/1 trains are the type of trains pairs approves off. Hopefully this one isn't stopping at Auschwitz

 

[Dominion]

Can someone tell me why the Freo line got so much smaller with teams? Doesn't seem like anything drastic happened and it's moved like twelve points. I feel like I must be missing something obvious but can't work it out for the life of me

 

[iluvparis]

3+ 200/1 trains are the type of trains pairs approves off. Hopefully this one isn't stopping at Auschwitz

Lol into $21 on 365 now

....make that 8.50

 

[jikost]

lol

 

[dontlimitme]

Lol into $21 on 365 now

....make that 8.50

lets go lads get it!! wish i had bet365 lol

 

[Nuggetz]

suns out buns out in sydney atm

 

[md20]

Big O was 1.1 last week. Fort also kicked 2. I'd say one or both will spend a little time forward at some stage or atleast push down there.
Big O AGS - $2.10
2+ - $7.50 (come in from $8.50)
(SB)

N.Cockatoo AGS - $2.25 (TAB)
Plays forward. Does push up the ground a little but I think he should be under $2 which he is on sportsbet.

D. Zorko AGS - $2.30 (TAB)
Played half back last week when he was expected to play forward. Had a niggle during the week so he may be sat forward this time.


On SM-G965F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[eastaugh36]

Nice to wake up to this today. Game ends last night and Caleb Daniel

5

Caleb Daniel

Age

29

Ht

171cm

Wt

72kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

21.3

5star

K

11.5

4star

HB

9.8

5star

M

3.5

4star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.4

4star

D

19.5

4star

K

11.1

4star

HB

8.4

4star

M

3.6

4star

T

2.0

3star

CL

1.0

3star

D

16.4

4star

K

7.2

3star

HB

9.2

5star

M

3.4

4star

T

2.6

4star

CL

0.2

2star

is stuck on 24 disposals. I had him as the last leg in a 4 leg sgm and also straight up for over 24.5 disposals. This morning the stats say 25 and I see they’ve paid my bets as winners!

 

[Del125763]

Sportsbet Same Game Multi Promo:

View attachment 1351841

A bit of a free throw at this SGM offer from Sportsbet

With conditions being wet tonight, a small forward could very well win the Most Goals option


Will Hayward Most Goals (out of 23 players)
Dangerfield Most Disposals Group A( Mills, Danger, Guthrie, Parker, Heeney, Lloyd, Duncan, Parfitt)
Will Hayward to kick 2+ Goals

Odds: 181

 

[Del125763]

Ive taken up the offer of their promo. It seems like they offer 4 games a week where that promo is live.


Their 4 games of the promo with the $100 bonus are: Carlton v Dogs, Swans v Cats, Power v Hawks, Suns v Demons. And the good thing is, SA and WA are not excluded.

I know their odds as a whole are a bit lower compared to the other companies but a throw at the dart at:

Patrick Cripps 2+ Goals
Silvagni 2+ Goals
Over 171.5 pts
Carlton to win

Odds: 23


If you stake around $5 on that, you can clear the Bonus. Id rather take on legs that correlate with each other than oppose.

Went back and checked my bets from last night. I was following the Socceroos game closely.....


And this one came through. Cheers BetDeluxe!

 

[Jonsyd1]

Nice to wake up to this today. Game ends last night and Caleb Daniel

5

Caleb Daniel

Age

29

Ht

171cm

Wt

72kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

21.3

5star

K

11.5

4star

HB

9.8

5star

M

3.5

4star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.4

4star

D

19.5

4star

K

11.1

4star

HB

8.4

4star

M

3.6

4star

T

2.0

3star

CL

1.0

3star

D

16.4

4star

K

7.2

3star

HB

9.2

5star

M

3.4

4star

T

2.6

4star

CL

0.2

2star

is stuck on 24 disposals. I had him as the last leg in a 4 leg sgm and also straight up for over 24.5 disposals. This morning the stats say 25 and I see they’ve paid my bets as winners!

Similar thing happened to me. Had Macrae for most possies, finished on 34 with Cripps finishing on 35. Checked SB about an hour or so later and they paid me out half the winnings with a $80 bonus bet as AFL changed Macrae to 35 touches, was cheering

 

[the_big_sav]

couple of bonus bets

de goey ats
miocheck 2+
cameron 2+
daniher 2+
boak ats
rozee ats
lewis ats
petrecca ats
fritsch 2+
Sexton ats
@ 40.57

elliott ats
miocheck ats
de goey ats
daniher ats
cameron ats
mcstay ats
mccarthy ats
sexton ats
fritsch ats
petrecca ats
@ 8.91

de goey 2+
miocheck 2+
cameron 2+
daniher 2+
fritsch 2+
petrecca ats
@ 15.44

 

[kicksome]

not a massive train, but I will have a small nibble at this since it should be a wet game and may not play out well for key forwards.
Patty dangerman for goals, kicked 1.2 last week and in his last few games against the swans he's gone:
3.2
2.0
1.2

2+ $4.25
3+ $12
4+ $41

@pointsbet

bugger it im adding another one.

Brad close.
preseason game he kicked a goal and it reads "Brad Close also played notably higher up the ground, spending time on the wing left vacant by the absent Mitch Duncan. Close was a good connector between the midfield and forwards and hurried his Richmond opponents with excellent pressure. He split his time forward as well."

well duncan is back so lets hope Brad plays a bit Closer to goals
he kicked 2.2 last week.

2+ $5.50
3+ $20
4+ $51
@ Sportsbet

 

[Play On Advantage]

PointsBet spreads for Swans v Geelong Stat Multiplier (Kicks x Handballs x Goals):

View attachment 1353673



First thing first Heeney and Parker lines are too high. Yes they did get high scores last week in 432 and 490 respectively. For you guys that took the 3.50 on Franklin 2+ goals/10+ Disposals, i worked out he averages 11.63 disposals a game in his last 2 seasons. You probably need the Bud to kick 3 goals for that Overs to land.

My tips for this match using $1 stakes:

Heeney- UNDER 183
Parker - UNDER 170
Franklin- NO PLAY
Florent- OVER 56
Warner- NO PLAY
Gulden- OVER 38
Hayward- OVER 30
Rowbottom-OVER 29
Dangerfield- NO PLAY
Hawkins- NO PLAY
Duncan- NO PLAY
Cam Guthrie- NO PLAY
Tuohy - OVER 55
Parfitt- NO PLAY
Selwood-NO PLAY

Tailing:

Gulden
Hayward
Rowbottom
Florent

Where do you get this table data?

 

[Del125763]

Betdeluxe also have a Promo for tonights game, 4 legs at odds of $4.00+ or more




Im on a bit of a run with them, so lets go for another one:

Sydney to win by 1-39 pts
Hayward to kick 2+ Goals
Over 147.5 pts
Hayward to score a goal in the 1st Half

Odds: $12

(Note: The same bet at Sportsbet would pay 17.25)




I think Sydney this season will play a bit more direct and look to move the ball forward which is a bit of an indicator for tonight. I mean last week only 1 of their players managed 25+ Disposals.

 

[Del125763]

Tailing:

Gulden
Hayward
Rowbottom
Florent

Where do you get this table data?

I compile it myself using R Studio

 

[Del125763]

Tailing:

Gulden
Hayward
Rowbottom
Florent

Where do you get this table data?

And I have to give credit to Footywire.com for the numbers.


Also special thanks to R Studio who I think are based in Massachussets.

 

[GROTTO]

Fun Facts with Grotto

In the 2022 Season, 4 "New Coaches" coached their team for the first time.

All 4 won as decent sized underdogs and obviously all covering the + line.

Im counting Ashley Hanson last night for the Blues.

 

[IDIG]

Massive night for me with only Durdin 2+ and Hewett 125+ not landing. Not much I like for tomorrow night though.

So far:
Hickey 100+/125+/most sc @ 1.75/3.75/8.50
Thinking there will be lots of stoppages so he should manage at least 30+ hitouts against Stanley who gave up 33 HO (90 odd sc) to Draper last week in a free flowing game.

Guthrie 100sc @ 1.8
Think the conditions will suit. Averages 120 v Sydney since becoming a sc stud. Sydney can leak midfield points but dont love him for 125+ here so might top up the 100+ instead.

Florent anytime goal @ 2
Got on this earlier in the week. Now into 1.80 but not expecting this to be high scoring at all so won’t be shocked if it doesn’t go close.

Either team 19 or less @ 1.90
I’m struggling to split them so don’t expect it to blow out beyond 3 goals either way, especially if it’s a super heavy track.

Can’t really see anything else I like which will be weird after having 10+ bets on tonight lol

Edit: plus Parker anytime goal @ 1.70

Having a small go at Guthrie 125+Sc @ 4.25.


And Pendles to take out the group below

 

[IDIG]

Does anyone know if the tab will add a player to their markets if requested? And if so, will they price them reasonably or will they just take the piss because they know you’re keen on them?

Or is it better to just wait and hope he gets added (unlikely from my observations).

Wanting Kreuger added for goals.

 

[md20]

Having a small go at Guthrie 125+Sc @ 4.25.


And Pendles to take out the group below

View attachment 1353827

Tailing the Hickey 125+ and Pendlebury tip.

Have been looking at Parker for 2+. Was at $4 but now down to $3.75 which I think might be a bit short for me now.
If it is real wet tonight, if anyone is to kick goals I think it suits Florent/Parker/Heeney.


On SM-G965F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[iluvparis]

Does anyone know if the tab will add a player to their markets if requested? And if so, will they price them reasonably or will they just take the piss because they know you’re keen on them?

Or is it better to just wait and hope he gets added (unlikely from my observations).

Wanting Kreuger added for goals.

If you specifically ask for them to be added they will definitely take the piss on the price

 

[IDIG]

Tailing the Hickey 125+ and Pendlebury tip.

Have been looking at Parker for 2+. Was at $4 but now down to $3.75 which I think might be a bit short for me now.
If it is real wet tonight, if anyone is to kick goals I think it suits Florent/Parker/Heeney.

On SM-G965F using BigFooty.com mobile app

I agree and have had a go at Parker anytime.

I’ve also had a go at Selwood anytime and 25+ for similar reasons. Bit of a burn man for me but think conditions suit. He had 27 last week in an open game. Might get a customary high tackle at a f50 stoppage (or so the theory goes).

Had 29 against them last year.

 

[IDIG]

If you specifically ask for them to be added they will definitely take the piss on the price

Damn thought that might be the case. Will just wait and see if he’s added I guess