AFL 2022 AFL Round 7

[Selim]

Better now, than in that frantic 10-15mins before a game.

I once had my computer pass out and die on me when I went to place bets, not only did I not get good odds and lost a value, they bets got up, which hurt me even more.

yea shit i gotta travel aswell tomoz so i better do em today otherwise ill miss out, and brought the new part ooof deffs need a big win lads

 

[TheCatsMan]

PointsBet Stat Multiplier spreads for WCE V Richmond (Kicks x Handballs x Goals):

View attachment 1386455


My tips using $1 staking system and some reasoning behind the tips:

Darling OVER 65- can see him kicking at least 2 goals and picking up around 15 disposals or so
Tim Kelly OVER 55- all of the lines for these players are relatively low, but Kelly can get a goal tomorrow and for a midfielder the line of around 70-80 is worth a play if you think they can score a goal.
Cripps OVER 46- your getting a good get for a player that averages 75 or so. Yes that game against Adelaide has bumped his average but who knows he might have a day out tomorrow night.
Willie Rioli OVER 45- alot of these lines for the Eagle and Richmond players have been lowered after losses last week. Rioli was at triple figures going a few weeks back. This is a low get for a player that could spend a bit of time in midfield and can score goals. From the games I have seen of West Coast this year, he has been their best player. Could very well be leading Brownlow for his team and Best and Fairest at the moment.
Ryan NO PLAY
Shuey UNDER 33 - hasnt scored a goal in the last couple of seasons and has lost a bit of his extra speed
Kennedy NO PLAY
Naish NO PLAY
Waterman NO PLAY
Redden OVER 21- ok there is 1 bet each round of the multiplier you get the weird inner vibes. Mills was my man last week for the Swans. Redden could accumulate and kick a goal tomorrow. I have this funny feeling he can get one. At that line its everything to gain, nothing to lose.
Bolton UNDER 119- he cant run all day in the midfield. 10 disposals last week suggests to me he starts like a house on fire but doesnt have the stamina to go the whole game.
Prestia NO PLAY
Tom Lynch OVER 57 - can oblige with his 3 goals.
Graham OVER 42 - scored a goal against the Eagles in Perth last year
Riewoldt NO PLAY
Balta NO PLAY
Edwards OVER 32- has a nice ceiling
Castagna OVER 37 - above table suggets a play
Sydney Stack NO PLAY
Nankervis NO PLAY
Collier Dawkins OVER 18 (could very easily get a couple of goals tomorrow and get a fair disposals)
McIntosh NO PLAY


A high scoring game helps with alot of these bets but even if its a game where 130-145 pts total scored , it sort of keeps those bets alive.

Interested in this - where do you find the table or do you collate it yourself?

 

[Nuggetz]

Brad Hill. Ags 2.65, 2+ 11, 3+ 71, 4+ 600 on b365. Mainly backing ags and 2+ but have a little bit on 3+ and like 60cents allowed on 4+ lol

 

[mozz23]

Have had a go at a middle tonight

$100 Richmond -8.5 Ned’s $2 = $200
$105 eagles +12.5 SB $1.90 = $199.50

Effectively risking $5 to win $195 for tigers to win between 9&12 at odds of $38

 

[Del125763]

Interested in this - where do you find the table or do you collate it yourself?

I compiled it myself with the help of Footywire website and R Studio.

 

[Its not the coach]

Got spot, Do you think someone like Baker could play more up the ground with Cotchin out? He's paying $4.10 for 20+,

Not Paying 4.10 for 20 now, Into 1.95

 

[Play On Advantage]

I like it.

Lambert 0.5u each 2+ ($11, pb), 3+ 4+ ($34, $201, sb)

SGM trick works on PB too by the way. Can get $55 for 3+

 

[Play On Advantage]

PointsBet Stat Multiplier spreads for WCE V Richmond (Kicks x Handballs x Goals):

View attachment 1386455


My tips using $1 staking system and some reasoning behind the tips:

Darling OVER 65- can see him kicking at least 2 goals and picking up around 15 disposals or so
Tim Kelly OVER 55- all of the lines for these players are relatively low, but Kelly can get a goal tomorrow and for a midfielder the line of around 70-80 is worth a play if you think they can score a goal.
Cripps OVER 46- your getting a good get for a player that averages 75 or so. Yes that game against Adelaide has bumped his average but who knows he might have a day out tomorrow night.
Willie Rioli OVER 45- alot of these lines for the Eagle and Richmond players have been lowered after losses last week. Rioli was at triple figures going a few weeks back. This is a low get for a player that could spend a bit of time in midfield and can score goals. From the games I have seen of West Coast this year, he has been their best player. Could very well be leading Brownlow for his team and Best and Fairest at the moment.
Ryan NO PLAY
Shuey UNDER 33 - hasnt scored a goal in the last couple of seasons and has lost a bit of his extra speed
Kennedy NO PLAY
Naish NO PLAY
Waterman NO PLAY
Redden OVER 21- ok there is 1 bet each round of the multiplier you get the weird inner vibes. Mills was my man last week for the Swans. Redden could accumulate and kick a goal tomorrow. I have this funny feeling he can get one. At that line its everything to gain, nothing to lose.
Bolton UNDER 119- he cant run all day in the midfield. 10 disposals last week suggests to me he starts like a house on fire but doesnt have the stamina to go the whole game.
Prestia NO PLAY
Tom Lynch OVER 57 - can oblige with his 3 goals.
Graham OVER 42 - scored a goal against the Eagles in Perth last year
Riewoldt NO PLAY
Balta NO PLAY
Edwards OVER 32- has a nice ceiling
Castagna OVER 37 - above table suggets a play
Sydney Stack NO PLAY
Nankervis NO PLAY
Collier Dawkins OVER 18 (could very easily get a couple of goals tomorrow and get a fair disposals)
McIntosh NO PLAY


A high scoring game helps with alot of these bets but even if its a game where 130-145 pts total scored , it sort of keeps those bets alive.

Taking Willie at $2 and Redden at $1

Really appreciate the data you post on spread betting too so thank you

 

[Jonsyd1]

Here we go again, last 4 legs of a 17 legger

 

[GROTTO]

I compiled it myself with the help of Footywire website and R Studio.

Im envious and impressed you can, Im sure others can or do the same. I cant, I wish I could I should look into it. I like my spreadsheets.

 

[GROTTO]

Taking Willie at $2 and Redden at $1

Really appreciate the data you post on spread betting too so thank you

FFS another Crows supporter on here, glory be.



Welcome by the way. Crows supporter and or those from SA seem to be the biggest degenerates on here lol.

 

[Del125763]

Im envious and impressed you can, Im sure others can or do the same. I cant, I wish I could I should look into it. I like my spreadsheets.

Will try to help this forum as much as possible. Ill usually provide tips for the games I have a better feel for. If anyone needs spreads for the other games, just feel free to let me know. Am happy to share. Or if the moderators think its taking too much space, Im help to move this stuff to the BigFooty 'Football Statistics' Forum.

This market now, is one of my favourite to bet alone with Goalscorers.


For the stat multiplier (Kicks x Handballs x Goals) a couple of lines are interesting for me this week:

Taylor Walker 99-115
Ben Keays 71-83
Andrew Brayshaw 71-83
Pat Cripps 263-306
Jack Higgins 111-130
Gresham 127-149
Petracca 276-321
Dylan Moore 125-147
Taranto 128-150
Tom Green 125-147

On a quick inspection a couple of those players have high lines. Anything above a 250+ on these spreads, equates to almost a best on ground performance one would imagine. The Sunday lines have not been released yet.

 

[GROTTO]

View attachment 1386814
Here we go again, last 4 legs of a 17 legger

lol for a second I thought those 4 legs added up to ~$400 odds I was just thinking, damn I need a piece of that.

 

[Its not the coach]

View attachment 1386814
Here we go again, last 4 legs of a 17 legger

Your phone needs a charge dude, That ESPN NBA sight drains the battery

 

[Jonsyd1]

lol for a second I thought those 4 legs added up to ~$400 odds I was just thinking, damn I need a piece of that.

with the way my luck has been running lately the odds of those 4 legs to get up probably will be about $400-1 at half time.. lol

 

[mac23]

Anyone have a site for inside 50’s conceded?

 

[benji21]

Anyone have a site for inside 50’s conceded?

Footywire would have this

 

[The_Steadier]

Anyone have a site for inside 50’s conceded?

AFL Statistics Team Rankings for Season 2022

AFL Statistics Team Rankings for Season 2022.

www.footywire.com

Pay it forward when you can

 

[Johanpetro]

Im having a speculative go on Aiden Begg goal markets.

1 goal $2.50
2 goals $15
3 goals $51 all on PB

Think Cameron plays most of the game in the ruck against Witts. Pies have no real target up forward and Beggs is was drafted as a ruck/forward combo so hoping the big boy clunks a few down there.

 

[dontlimitme]

PUT THE PAPLEY MARKET UP SPORTSBET YOU COWARDS

 

[dontlimitme]

papley 3/4/5 @ 4.8/12.5/41 on SB

HE BACK

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Im having a speculative go on Aiden Begg goal markets.

1 goal $2.50
2 goals $15
3 goals $51 all on PB

Think Cameron plays most of the game in the ruck against Witts. Pies have no real target up forward and Beggs is was drafted as a ruck/forward combo so hoping the big boy clunks a few down there.

De Goey listed as FF

Hopefully that’s correct

 

[the_big_sav]

what's with all the west coast love?

 

[NonPhixion]

papley 3/4/5 @ 4.8/12.5/41 on SB

HE BACK

TAILED. For the great man

 

[Johanpetro]

De Goey listed as FF

Hopefully that’s correct

Was their best midfielder last week with over 25 center bounce attendances, don’t see him playing solely out of the square but a pies fan might be able to give more of an insight