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AFL 2022 AFL Round 7

Line Winners?

  • Total voters
    17
  • Poll closed .

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Kane Lambert 1,2,3,4,5 @ $2.50,$12,$51,$85

Named half forward and has scored 2 goals in 2/3 last games against WC. First game in for the year.
 
Can anyone see a goals market for Connor Idun from GWS ? Spent 60% game time forward last week and kicked 2 behinds. Be pretty good odds if there was one
 

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Sam Walsh been labelled in the forward pocket next to Harry McKay. Im not sure looking at Team Lineups if I have ever seen him labelled there personally. Has kicked a 3 in his career before. Could easily do a Patrick Cripps in his career and bag consistent goals , to bring his game to the next level.

2+ @ $14, 3+ @ $80, 4+@ 851 (SB Trick)

Its too good for a player of his ilk to be at those odds. With the Carlton team expected to win heavily, He can be expected to get a few opportunities on goal.
 
BloodRet said:
Callum Coleman Jones 2-4 @4.1, 13, 44 topsport

2.60, 9 , 26ish elsewhere which is too short but those topsport odds could be alright under the roof. Carltons last 3 opponents have all scored 90+ against them so I hope north can actually kick a score
Click to expand...
Saw this and had it selected for a long time... the worry was in VFL hes played pure ruck... and done well... so maybe no time fwd
 
NYRB said:
Sam Walsh been labelled in the forward pocket next to Harry McKay. Im not sure looking at Team Lineups if I have ever seen him labelled there personally. Has kicked a 3 in his career before. Could easily do a Patrick Cripps in his career and bag consistent goals , to bring his game to the next level.

2+ @ $14, 3+ @ $80, 4+@ 851 (SB Trick)

Its too good for a player of his ilk to be at those odds. With the Carlton team expected to win heavily, He can be expected to get a few opportunities on goal.
Click to expand...
TAILED against norf too
 
PointsBet player Points Spreads:

Kennedy UNDER 13, OVER 16
Darling UNDER 10, OVER 13
Ryan UNDER 9, OVER 12
Riewoldt UNDER 13, OVER 16
Tom Lynch UNDER 13, OVER 16
Shai Bolton UNDER 8 OVER 11

I feel more confident the Eagles trio can score more than the Richmond Trio. But I fancy if in doubt, bet on OVERS for all 6 players. A high scoring game should see you at least break even.
 
PointsBet Stat Multiplier spreads for WCE V Richmond (Kicks x Handballs x Goals):

1651150016588.png


My tips using $1 staking system and some reasoning behind the tips:

Darling OVER 65- can see him kicking at least 2 goals and picking up around 15 disposals or so
Tim Kelly OVER 55- all of the lines for these players are relatively low, but Kelly can get a goal tomorrow and for a midfielder the line of around 70-80 is worth a play if you think they can score a goal.
Cripps OVER 46- your getting a good get for a player that averages 75 or so. Yes that game against Adelaide has bumped his average but who knows he might have a day out tomorrow night.
Willie Rioli OVER 45- alot of these lines for the Eagle and Richmond players have been lowered after losses last week. Rioli was at triple figures going a few weeks back. This is a low get for a player that could spend a bit of time in midfield and can score goals. From the games I have seen of West Coast this year, he has been their best player. Could very well be leading Brownlow for his team and Best and Fairest at the moment.
Ryan NO PLAY
Shuey UNDER 33 - hasnt scored a goal in the last couple of seasons and has lost a bit of his extra speed
Kennedy NO PLAY
Naish NO PLAY
Waterman NO PLAY
Redden OVER 21- ok there is 1 bet each round of the multiplier you get the weird inner vibes. Mills was my man last week for the Swans. Redden could accumulate and kick a goal tomorrow. I have this funny feeling he can get one. At that line its everything to gain, nothing to lose.
Bolton UNDER 119- he cant run all day in the midfield. 10 disposals last week suggests to me he starts like a house on fire but doesnt have the stamina to go the whole game.
Prestia NO PLAY
Tom Lynch OVER 57 - can oblige with his 3 goals.
Graham OVER 42 - scored a goal against the Eagles in Perth last year
Riewoldt NO PLAY
Balta NO PLAY
Edwards OVER 32- has a nice ceiling
Castagna OVER 37 - above table suggets a play
Sydney Stack NO PLAY
Nankervis NO PLAY OVER 27 (based on Final Team announcements)
Collier Dawkins OVER 18 (could very easily get a couple of goals tomorrow and get a fair disposals)
McIntosh NO PLAY


A high scoring game helps with alot of these bets but even if its a game where 130-145 pts total scored , it sort of keeps those bets alive.
 
Last edited by a moderator:

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NYRB said:
Sam Walsh been labelled in the forward pocket next to Harry McKay. Im not sure looking at Team Lineups if I have ever seen him labelled there personally. Has kicked a 3 in his career before. Could easily do a Patrick Cripps in his career and bag consistent goals , to bring his game to the next level.

2+ @ $14, 3+ @ $80, 4+@ 851 (SB Trick)

Its too good for a player of his ilk to be at those odds. With the Carlton team expected to win heavily, He can be expected to get a few opportunities on goal.
Click to expand...

I like your thinking.

At those odds, against North, named forward, kicked three goals in a game last year, you have to take the bet.

The Carlton board seem to think he either plays wing or on ball, either way, if he rests forward for a bit, could be golden.

Walsh 0.5u each 3+ 4+ ($80, $850, sb)



Also on the Callow train.

He has been playing plenty of ruck in the magoos so he hasn't kicked many goals.

Hoping they plonk him in the forward 50 and let him strut his stuff.

The video of his sanfl goal above suggests he can fly for marks and kick a footy through the sticks.

Callow 1u each 2+ 3+ 4+ ($6.50, $21, $81, pb) 5+ ($301, sb)

Cripps has kicked three goals twice already this season.

Tomorrow he will be lined up on by... god knows who.

Ziebell? Bonar? Turner?

The only defenders in the team I would trust on Cripps are McDonald and Corr.

The latter will be busy with Curnow / McKay, and the former will be busy minding three smalls by himself.

Cripps 0.5u each 4+ 5+ ($13, $46, pb)
 
Last edited:
And PointsBet- if your reading this, could we play have a spread for Kane Lambert who polled 3 votes in this corresponding fixture last year? Polled 3 votes in the Brownlow. He was one player I had my eye on but unfortunately isn't listed.
 
mouncey2franklin said:
I like your thinking.

At those odds, against North, named forward, kicked three goals in a game last year, you have to take the bet.

The Carlton board seem to think he either plays wing or on ball, either way, if he rests

Walsh 0.5u each 3+ 4+ ($80, $850, sb)



Also on the Callow train.

He has been playing plenty of ruck in the magoos so he hasn't kicked many goals.

Hoping they plonk him in the forward 50 and let him strut his stuff.

The video of his sanfl goal above suggests he can fly for marks and kick a footy through the sticks.

Callow 1u each 2+ 3+ 4+ ($6.50, $21, $81, pb) 5+ ($301, sb)

Cripps has kicked three goals twice already this season.

Tomorrow he will be lined up by god knows who.

Cripps 0.5u each 4+ 5+ ($13, $46, pb)
Click to expand...

Callow into 5.50, 15 and 51 right now (4 minutes after you posted) for 2+, 3+ and 4+

šŸ˜²
 
OK im tailing Callow as well on 4+ @ $79, and 5+ @ $301


More highlights of Callow, from what I gather played down in Tasmania before moving to SANFL?

First impressions: good hands, can take a pack mark, has a good sense of goals

 

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mouncey2franklin said:
I like your thinking.

At those odds, against North, named forward, kicked three goals in a game last year, you have to take the bet.

The Carlton board seem to think he either plays wing or on ball, either way, if he rests

Walsh 0.5u each 3+ 4+ ($80, $850, sb)



Also on the Callow train.

He has been playing plenty of ruck in the magoos so he hasn't kicked many goals.

Hoping they plonk him in the forward 50 and let him strut his stuff.

The video of his sanfl goal above suggests he can fly for marks and kick a footy through the sticks.

Callow 1u each 2+ 3+ 4+ ($6.50, $21, $81, pb) 5+ ($301, sb)

Cripps has kicked three goals twice already this season.

Tomorrow he will be lined up by god knows who.

Cripps 0.5u each 4+ 5+ ($13, $46, pb)
Click to expand...

Good old 1980s end to end 25goal winning score footy needed at marvel tomorrow, I hope their well rested after their Perth trip
 
Also like some Fisher action.

Kicked 1.3 against North last year.

Has been about the same as the other small blues forwards this season, nobody really standing out.

Martin: 4 goals from five games.
Durdin: 4 goals from five games.
Owies: 4 goals from six games.
Fisher: 5 goals from six games.

Any of them could kick five against this North rabble, but Fisher's odds are the juiciest.

His heatmap for last week is finger lickin' good. Six disposals inside 50, three more just outside the arc.

The largest blob of red is inside the 50 arc, too, despte being on a losing side.

Kicked four goals in a match last year so we know he can have a day out when things fall from him.

Topsport with better odds than sb or pb on 2/3/4.

Fisher 1u each 2+ 3+ 4+ ($5, $16, $51, ts) 5+ ($161, sb)
 
Toby Bedford is in for Pickett... He's far better odds than Spargo and just as likely to kick goals imo.

2+ @ $9.5 pb
3+ @ $41
 

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