AFL 2022 AFL Round 7

[mouncey2franklin]

Kane Lambert 1,2,3,4,5 @ $2.50,$12,$51,$85

Named half forward and has scored 2 goals in 2/3 last games against WC. First game in for the year.

I like it.

Lambert 0.5u each 2+ ($11, pb), 3+ 4+ ($34, $201, sb)

 

[Del125763]

Also like some Fisher action.

Kicked 1.3 against North last year.

Has been about the same as the other small blues forwards this season, nobody really standing out.

Martin: 4 goals from five games.
Durdin: 4 goals from five games.
Owies: 4 goals from six games.
Fisher: 5 goals from six games.

Any of them could kick five against this North rabble, but Fisher's odds are the juiciest.

His heatmap for last week is finger lickin' good. Six disposals inside 50, three more just outside the arc.

The largest blob of red is inside the 50 arc, too, despte being on a losing side.

Kicked four goals in a match last year so we know he can have a day out when things fall from him.

Topsport with better odds than sb or pb on 2/3/4.

Fisher 1u each 2+ 3+ 4+ ($5, $16, $51, ts) 5+ ($161, sb)

Tailing Zac Fisher 3+, 4+ and 5+ @ 17 , 51 and 161

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Toby Bedford is in for Pickett... He's far better odds than Spargo and just as likely to kick goals imo.

2+ @ $9.5 pb
3+ @ $41

Already slammed into $8 and $26 (and not by me, it happened as I went to place the bets).

Bedford 2u AGS 0.5u each 2+ 3+ ($2.30, $8, $26, pb)

 

[Del125763]

Toby Bedford is in for Pickett... He's far better odds than Spargo and just as likely to kick goals imo.

2+ @ $9.5 pb
3+ @ $41

Correct me if I am wrong but I didnt see him on the team lineups for Melbourne.

 

[Selim]

I hope you already bought your tickets for the Curtis Train toot toot

oh i deffs will be once the north game comes closer

got anything for tomoz night tho

 

[Robo87]

Toby Bedford is in for Pickett... He's far better odds than Spargo and just as likely to kick goals imo.

2+ @ $9.5 pb
3+ @ $41

yep i liked bedford too, as he looks quite nimble. I also took him for ags.
2u ags @2.30 pb
1u 2g+ @9.50 pb
0.5u 3g+ @41 pb

Correct me if I am wrong but I didnt see him on the team lineups for Melbourne.

listed fwd pocket.

 

[freo_leo29]

Correct me if I am wrong but I didnt see him on the team lineups for Melbourne.

listed forward pocket

was medi sub last week so didn't count as an "in"

 

[Del125763]

yep i liked bedford too, as he looks quite nimble. I also took him for ags.
2u ags @2.30 pb
1u 2g+ @9.50 pb
0.5u 3g+ @41 pb

listed fwd pocket.
View attachment 1386516

Bedford into 2+ @ $8, 3+ @ $26 . Have tailed both.

In a team like Melbourne, you will get chances, especially if you have been named in the forward pocket.

 

[Its not the coach]

Jayden Stephenson 2+3+@7,23PB
Named forward and kicked 3.1 against them last year.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Jayden Stephenson 2+3+@7,23PB
Named forward and kicked 3.1 against them last year.

He was $91 and $701 for 4/5 on sb yesterday.

In a 77 game career he has kicked 4 twice and 5 once.

Nothing more than three in the past two seasons.

Playing as a mid now, whereas his goal hauls were (I presume) playing as a forward at Collingwood.

If he does spend any decent time inside 50 he has the tools to kick a bag so here's to hoping

 

[Robo87]

If he does spend much time inside 50 he has the tools to kick a bag so here's to hoping

may only get inside 50 if hes used his PB app and backed himself to get 3goals.

 

[BloodRet]

Ryder and Tom Campbell

29

Tom Campbell

Age

34

Ht

201cm

Wt

108kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.1

2star

K

4.2

2star

HB

4.8

3star

CL

1.6

4star

HO

17.0

5star

D

5.0

1star

K

3.0

1star

HB

2.0

1star

CL

1.0

3star

HO

2.0

5star

D

7.2

2star

K

4.2

2star

HB

3.0

3star

CL

1.2

4star

HO

13.2

5star

replacing Marshall and Hayes for ruck duties. Did some reading on the saints board and couldn’t find anything definitive but sounds like one of them is going to spend more time forward, most likely Campbell. I’ve taken both for 3, 4.
Ryder @31.65 boosted, 123
Campbell @25 boosted, 80 using the pointsbet sgm trick. I just went on live chat to pointsbet to check the trick is legal and he said if the traders allow it there will be no issues. Screenshotted for insurance if I ever get pinged.

 

[Its not the coach]

He was $91 and $701 for 4/5 on sb yesterday.

In a 77 game career he has kicked 4 twice and 5 once.

Nothing more than three in the past two seasons.

Playing as a mid now, whereas his goal hauls were (I presume) playing as a forward at Collingwood.

If he does spend any decent time inside 50 he has the tools to kick a bag so here's to hoping

Yep was playing up the ground last year too, Had 24 disposals in the game against them along with his 3.1.
I know very well he's at a loser club now, But think he's one of the few in the the team that can get 2 or 3.

I don't know any punter that don't hope






I

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Ryder and Tom Campbell replacing Marshall and Hayes for ruck duties. Did some reading on the saints board and couldn’t find anything definitive but sounds like one of them is going to spend more time forward, most likely Campbell. I’ve taken both for 3, 4.
Ryder @31.65 boosted, 123
Campbell @25 boosted, 80 using the pointsbet sgm trick. I just went on live chat to pointsbet to check the trick is legal and he said if the traders allow it there will be no issues. Screenshotted for insurance if I ever get pinged.

I'm not dissing your Campbell bets and I hope they get up.

The reason I didn't bet on him this week is because I watched him fairly closely at North.

He is a serviceable third ruck at AFL level i.e. break in case of emergency, play a few games a year, no worries.

But he is not an AFL level key forward. He just isn't.

North played him forward because of the lack of options after Brown left.

I bet on him for goals more than once and was burned more than once (my own fault, too).

Mind you, I said similar things about Ziebell a few weeks ago, and look what happened.

Good luck to the Campbell backers, hope he kicks five and makes me eat my words

 

[GROTTO]

lads my computer graphics card carked it today and died i need earn hella cash this weekend lmao

Better now, than in that frantic 10-15mins before a game.

I once had my computer pass out and die on me when I went to place bets, not only did I not get good odds and lost a value, they bets got up, which hurt me even more.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Freo bring Treacy in to replace Taberner.

Kicked four goals in the wafl last week.

Last year in 13 games, best results were 3.1, 2.3 and 2.2

Probably a stretch in an away game vs Geelong.

But not as crazy as Ziebell in Sydney

Treacy 0.5u each 2+ 3+ 4+ ($4.25, $13, $51, tab), 5+ ($201, sb)

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

365 sucks

1000-1 odds they let you on for 40c

Dodgy bastards make you deposit money then you can’t use it, and hope you end up spending it on other bets

 

[NonPhixion]

Carlton are the worst team in the comp defending small/mid sized forwards...
R1 - Bolton 3.2
R2 - Hannan 2.1, Scott 2.0
R3 - Moore 2.1, Bruest 2.0
R4 - Rosas 3.0
R5 - Gray 3.1, SPP 2.1
R6 - Schultz 3.3, Switkowski 2.2

Going large on Zurhaar. He came back to form last week and on our favourite Marvel stomping ground he looks dangerous.
2+ $2.90
3+ $7.25
4+ $21
5+ $58 (You probably can get better odds if you want to PB/SB trick it)
TS

 

[Ohh Ok]

The big dogs!

3u - Gawn over 120+ fantasy - $1.95 - PointsBet
2u - Gawn 130+ fantasy - $2.80 - PointsBet
Jackson out means Gawn takes up a greater responsibility in the ruck. Should absolutely monster Lynch on the weekend. Lynch’s fitness not up to scratch as he really fell away and allowed Ladhams to get on top in the second half. Gawn a complete bigger beast than Ladhams and should have a field day here.

2u - Goldstein 100+ SuperCoach - $2.50 - TAB
1u - Goldstein 125+ SuperCoach - $7.50 - TAB
Xerri out means he goes back to being the #1 ruckman at North. Coleman-Jones has come in but is more of a forward that’ll pinch hit in the ruck. Has a soft match up in Tom De Kooning that he should be able to monster on the day. Bookies have this game set as the highest total of the round which should equate to more goals which means more centre bounces for Goldy. Last year in SuperCoach Goldstein had the following score as main ruck, with our soft match up and price on offer we get the edge; 100+ 11/22, 125+ 4/22.

 

[Jonsyd1]

Toby Bedford

14

Toby Bedford

Age

25

Ht

179cm

Wt

75kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

8.0

2star

K

2.0

1star

HB

6.0

4star

M

1.0

1star

T

2.0

4star

CL

0.0

1star

D

8.0

2star

K

2.0

1star

HB

6.0

3star

M

1.0

1star

T

2.0

3star

CL

0.0

1star

D

8.0

2star

K

2.0

1star

HB

6.0

4star

M

1.0

1star

T

2.0

4star

CL

0.0

1star

, Jackson Callow, Paul Curtis... no idea who any of these campaigners are but on each for 2/3/4/5+.

 

[GROTTO]

Toby Bedford, Jackson Callow, Paul Curtis... no idea who any of these campaigners are but on each for 2/3/4/5+.

Thats the spirit.

Doesnt really matter who they are, as long as you come along for the Train ride.

 

[Nuggetz]

Kane Lambert 1,2,3,4,5 @ $2.50,$12,$51,$85

Named half forward and has scored 2 goals in 2/3 last games against WC. First game in for the year.

Tailed 2+ into Goldie 2+

 

[Del125763]

Do any of these BetRight Discord Requests appeal?

 

[Del125763]

having a go at WCE to kick 4+ goals in least 2 quarters at $5

 

[Del125763]

Eagles were bad last week, but they are a better side at home.

2.62 too big a price for Eagles at home for me. Richmond were pretty dour against Melbourne and the scoreline wasnt a true reflection of the match. Melbourne last week could have easily won by a more bigger margin.

Anyway if you had said pre-season for this fixture , no Dusty, no Cotchin, No Tarrant, you probably would have taken that price on the Eagles.