3.5u - GWS +2.5 (1st Half) - $1.90 - Ladbrokes
The Giants get their strongest line up for the season on the park with both Hogan and Greene playing their first game of 2022 as a duo. These two should cause as many, and if not more problems than they did last year when they put 4.4 on the Crows. It could be argued that the Giants have had the hardest schedule to date so far facing 4 of the current top 5 sides and then the Tigers at the G. Although the Giants are 1-5 their midfield is still elite, they’ve just struggled to kick scores all season, Greene and Hogan should really assist with this. Taking the FH line which would see the Giants sitting 3-3 this season whilst the crows would be 1-1-4. Expecting them to come out fired up whilst the crows are in a potential flat spot after a huge win against the Dogs and going back to back for the first time since Nicks has been in charge.
2u - Coniglio AGS - $2.13 - TopSport
0.5u - Coniglio 2+ goals - $7 - PointsBet
Spending low time in the midfield with many others ahead of him now. Getting plenty of touches inside the offensive 50. Has kicked 4.5 for the season and averaging 1.5 scoring shots per game.
2.5u - Keays under 29.5 - $1.80 - Ladbrokes
3.5u - Laird under 31.5 disposals - $1.80 - Ladbrokes
GWS give up the second least disposals, uncontested disposals, and contested disposals per game and with only 4 midfielders going over 29.5 and one over 31.5 against the Giants this year disposals are going to be hard to come by for Keays and Laird. Keays has been in ripping for mom going under in only 2/6 whilst Laird has been building into his season and is under in 3/4. Both guys went under vs the Giants in 2021, and both have potential tag threats today.
2u - Cerra most disposals (Group B ) - $2.50 - PointsBet
Hewett is out which can only be good for Cerra’s game. Cerra has shown this season that his ceiling is higher than any others in this group. Has his line universally set at 26.5 vs the next best in this group at 23.5/22.5
2.5u - Steele 110+ fantasy points - $1.80 - Dabble
If you discounted Ports game against WCE last week they would be giving up the most contested possessions per game in the comp. Conditions are looking to be greasy up in Cairns and should help the #12 ranked contested player (#6 in 2021) and #3 ranked tackler (#2 in 2021). Averages 117 in his last 3 at Cazaly’s. Hit 110 in 3/6 in 2022 and 15/22 in 2021.
3u - Witts over 93.5 fantasy points - $1.87 - PointsBet
1u - Witts 100+ fantasy points - $2.25 - PointsBet
1u - Witts 110+ fantasy points - $3.50 - PointsBet
No Grundy means Witts will be given the opportunity to monster a second string ruckman. ROB 111, Gawn/Jackson 119/95, Stanley 91 (Grundy Subbed during the third Qtr) were the scores when Grundy missed games in 2021. Witts has battled with injuries in 2021 but showed his fantasy potential back in 2019 where he went over 93.5 in 17/22, 100+ in 10/22, 110+ in 7/22. Has had one of, if not the toughest schedule for a ruckman this season and has began building for nicely, gets by far his most easiest match up for the year.
The Giants get their strongest line up for the season on the park with both Hogan and Greene playing their first game of 2022 as a duo. These two should cause as many, and if not more problems than they did last year when they put 4.4 on the Crows. It could be argued that the Giants have had the hardest schedule to date so far facing 4 of the current top 5 sides and then the Tigers at the G. Although the Giants are 1-5 their midfield is still elite, they’ve just struggled to kick scores all season, Greene and Hogan should really assist with this. Taking the FH line which would see the Giants sitting 3-3 this season whilst the crows would be 1-1-4. Expecting them to come out fired up whilst the crows are in a potential flat spot after a huge win against the Dogs and going back to back for the first time since Nicks has been in charge.
2u - Coniglio AGS - $2.13 - TopSport
0.5u - Coniglio 2+ goals - $7 - PointsBet
Spending low time in the midfield with many others ahead of him now. Getting plenty of touches inside the offensive 50. Has kicked 4.5 for the season and averaging 1.5 scoring shots per game.
2.5u - Keays under 29.5 - $1.80 - Ladbrokes
3.5u - Laird under 31.5 disposals - $1.80 - Ladbrokes
GWS give up the second least disposals, uncontested disposals, and contested disposals per game and with only 4 midfielders going over 29.5 and one over 31.5 against the Giants this year disposals are going to be hard to come by for Keays and Laird. Keays has been in ripping for mom going under in only 2/6 whilst Laird has been building into his season and is under in 3/4. Both guys went under vs the Giants in 2021, and both have potential tag threats today.
2u - Cerra most disposals (Group B ) - $2.50 - PointsBet
Hewett is out which can only be good for Cerra’s game. Cerra has shown this season that his ceiling is higher than any others in this group. Has his line universally set at 26.5 vs the next best in this group at 23.5/22.5
2.5u - Steele 110+ fantasy points - $1.80 - Dabble
If you discounted Ports game against WCE last week they would be giving up the most contested possessions per game in the comp. Conditions are looking to be greasy up in Cairns and should help the #12 ranked contested player (#6 in 2021) and #3 ranked tackler (#2 in 2021). Averages 117 in his last 3 at Cazaly’s. Hit 110 in 3/6 in 2022 and 15/22 in 2021.
3u - Witts over 93.5 fantasy points - $1.87 - PointsBet
1u - Witts 100+ fantasy points - $2.25 - PointsBet
1u - Witts 110+ fantasy points - $3.50 - PointsBet
No Grundy means Witts will be given the opportunity to monster a second string ruckman. ROB 111, Gawn/Jackson 119/95, Stanley 91 (Grundy Subbed during the third Qtr) were the scores when Grundy missed games in 2021. Witts has battled with injuries in 2021 but showed his fantasy potential back in 2019 where he went over 93.5 in 17/22, 100+ in 10/22, 110+ in 7/22. Has had one of, if not the toughest schedule for a ruckman this season and has began building for nicely, gets by far his most easiest match up for the year.
