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AFL 2022 AFL Round 7

Line Winners?


  • Total voters
    17
  • Poll closed .

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AFL stat multiplier spreads (Kicks x Handballs x Goals) for Bulldogs v Essendon:

View attachment 1388753


The lines for the Bulldogs players are too high. I reckon a few of those mids may not score goals. PointsBet have clearly factored into account that the ground is high scoring and for me there isnt that great value for this match. Suggested tips using $1 staking system and the reasons below:

Bontempelli UNDER 184 (needs probably 2 goals or a 30 disposal game to cover this, should be prepared to take a hit if he kicks exactly 3)
Bailey Smith UNDER 123 (not sure all the mids can score goals, there is value in opposing at least one)
Treloar UNDER 137 (same reason as above)
MacRae NO PLAY
Liberatore NO PLAY
Dunkley NO PLAY
Naughton NO PLAY
Weightman NO PLAY
McNeil NO PLAY
VanDerMeer NOPLAY
Wallis NO PLAY
Nic Martin NO PLAY
Parish NO PLAY
Stringer OVER 92 (can oblige with his 2 goals)
Wright NO PLAY
Merrett NO PLAY
Waterman NO PLAY
Caldwell OVER 50 (is a play based on table average)
McGrath NO PLAY
Perkins NO PLAY
Guelfi NO PLAY
Cutler NO PLAY
Durham NO PLAY
Net result of the tips

Bontempelli +$94
Bailey Smith -$37
Treloar +$137
Stringer -$74
Caldwell -$50

Net result of the Bulldogs v Essendon tips +$70
 

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AFL 2022 AFL Round 7

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