AFL 2023 AFL Finals - Week 1

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Been a bad year so I kept my punting on the first and now second game of finals very modest.

Just a few dollars to give me some interest, the sb free hit is hard to say no to.

For some reason I put McKay 2g+ in there.

Dude is single handedly going to cost me my bet.

Somehow I feel more sorry for him than I do for myself.

wtf happened to this guy?
 
AFL Fantasy Multi: Carlton v Sydney

Last time Heeney and Rowbottom led the tackle count. The below selections in the last match all of these lines came through. Gulden was in my AFL Fantasy and now the players dont care about Fantasy Points. Feel like this line is based on the AFL regular season averages rather than the moment and how much harder AFL Fantasy Points are in the Playoffs. Have chucked in Blakey as smokey to boost the odds as he has the 2nd highest AFL Fantasy points last time these two teams played. Papley conditions should suit and a couple of goals alone from here and his usual possessions in the teens should help him cover that line. Can see all the players getting above 80 Fantasy Points and maybe Gulden finding it slightly harder to hit the ton mark tonight.


Gulden Under 114.5 AFL Fantasy Points

Heeney Over 79.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Rowbottom Over 78.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Blakey 80+ AFL Fantasy Points
Papley 70+ AFL Fantasy Points

Odds: $32.59 at PointsBet



My pre-lines for the first 3 were around: Gulden 107.5, Heeney 84.5, Rowbottom 72.5.






AFL Fantasy Scores:

Gulden 106
Heeney 67
Rowbottom 50
Blakey 76
Papley 75

Rowbottom didnt play his best game, Isaac Heeney disappeared in the 2nd half, Blakey did well to recover after spending 90% of time on bench in 1st qtr.

Nick Blakey more possessions than Adam Saad at $2.08

Dead Heat Rules apply.
 

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Little multi booster for Saturday:
Callum Brown atg@$1.55 TAB

Brown has scored at least 1 goal in 11/12 games since moving forward.

I’ll throw a bit of Beer money on 3+,4+ And 5+ @ $10,$41 and $151 as well because the role is there and I feel that he’s building towards a real breakout game.
 
Views on opposing Tom Green in Most Disposals in Group A?

Group A
Tom Green
Coniglio
Whitfield
Josh Kelly
Brad Crouch
Steele
Sinclair
Wanganeen-Milera


Im having a bet on Brad Crouch to win Group A at $9. Happy to oppose a player in this group at anything less than $3.20 or less. I dont think Green should be at $2.55 to win that group- as quoted by Sportsbet.

And I dont mind Marshall in Group B

Group B
Marshall
Ross
Wood
Callaghan
Brad Hill
Ash
Himmelberg
Ward

Marshall to win Group B at $8. Marshall would have won this group if we are looking all players in this last fixture. Group B alot more even.
 
Will get a DLM tattoo on my balls if Port wins the premiership. Can't win

Interested Kevin Nash GIF
 
Got a power price of 1.98 at SB on GWS, so put 200 on GWS at 1.98 and 180 on Saints at TAB at 2.35.

Degen multi:

Sharman, Gresham 2, Marshall, C Brown, Crouch, Phillipou AGS $5 @ 400
 
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