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AFL 2023 - AFL Round 12

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I was surprised Mckay kicked 1 goal, let alone 3 tbh

Weirdly think that’s what Carlton should do get McKay closer to goal where he can snap the ball not worry about drop punting as he’s awful at it
 
Weirdly think that’s what Carlton should do get McKay closer to goal where he can snap the ball not worry about drop punting as he’s awful at it
That's how he won the coleman. He played out of the goal square all year. He's huge. Park him there and kick it too him.
He shells peas from the left hand side inside 30
 
Few tips using a mix of $0.75 and $1 stakes for Melbourne v Carlton Stat Multiplier (Goals x Kicks x Handballs). A few reasoning behind the tips.

View attachment 1702495

$1 stakes

OVER 90 Cripps- Play based on averages and I do realise this line is one of the lower lines for the season for him. Feel like with no Oliver, it may allow him to win the hard ball a bit more tonight.

OVER 40 Silvagni- Hope that getting dropped may have fired him up in the belly this week. A goal will probably see one break even on this line.

OVER 35 Langdon- its a play based on averages and has covered above 35, 23 out of 58 games.

OVER 51 Cerra- Maybe playing against a few former teammates will fire him up in the belly tonight (Langdon). If he gets a goal he could go very big. Has covered the OVER 51 line, 11 from 47 games. A goal from him could very well cover the whole of the other players combined.

$0.75 Stakes

OVER 58 Chandler- I can see him obliging with a goal but I am less confident on this one. What appeals to me most is his maximum multiplier is 312 from a limited amount of games this season.


Was thinking of adding Grundy and Gawn but I feel like Carltons two talls (Young and Weitering) at the back are pretty good defenders. Melbourne smalls could cause the damage, but with a plethora of good small forwards , find it hard to pick which can dominate tonight. Another reason I think Gawn or Grundy could go well tonight, is losing Pittonet hurts the Blues. I think Gawn has the better ceiling to have a better game tonight.
It was a red night for the stat multiplier for Melbourne v Carlton using $0.50, $0.75 and $ 1 stakes

$1 Stakes

OVER 90 Cripps- =-$90

OVER 40 Silvagni-=-$40

OVER 35 Langdon- =-$35

OVER 51 Cerra-=-$51

$0.75 Stakes

OVER 58 Chandler- =-$43.50

$0.50 Stakes

OVER 73 Gawn= -$6.50

OVER 66 Grundy=-$33


Tough night at the office -$299 for P & L Tips
 

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It was a red night for the stat multiplier for Melbourne v Carlton using $0.50, $0.75 and $ 1 stakes

$1 Stakes

OVER 90 Cripps- =-$90

OVER 40 Silvagni-=-$40

OVER 35 Langdon- =-$35

OVER 51 Cerra-=-$51

$0.75 Stakes

OVER 58 Chandler- =-$43.50

$0.50 Stakes

OVER 73 Gawn= -$6.50

OVER 66 Grundy=-$33


Tough night at the office -$299 for P & L Tips

grundy was awful man


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com
 
It was a red night for the stat multiplier for Melbourne v Carlton using $0.50, $0.75 and $ 1 stakes

$1 Stakes

OVER 90 Cripps- =-$90

OVER 40 Silvagni-=-$40

OVER 35 Langdon- =-$35


OVER 51 Cerra-=-$51

$0.75 Stakes

OVER 58 Chandler- =-$43.50

$0.50 Stakes

OVER 73 Gawn= -$6.50

OVER 66 Grundy=-$33



Tough night at the office -$299 for P & L Tips

Tough luck mate. Prior to the game I didn’t think any of them were particularly silly or unlikely bets. Got very unlucky with Chandler and Gawn missing some simple shots.
 
just a few trains today

Marshal 3-5

Kozi 2-4

Lord 2-4

Then for dogs game

JUH 2-5

And a multi for pies goals

Mihocek 2+
Johnson 2+
Hill 1
Ginnivan 1
McCreery 1
Harrison 1
WHE 1
@14
 
Bruhn 6+ tackles @ $3 tab - Cleared 3 of the last 4 weeks.
Keays 6+ tackles @ $3 - Had 9 last week. Will probably go to Rowell.
Frampton 6+ Marks @ $3.50 - Cox and Cameron both playing so doubt he'll have to do any ruck work today.
 

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AFL 2023 - AFL Round 12

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