Autopsy AFL 2025 Rd 23 - Crows v Pies - Sat August 16th 7:05pm ACT/7:35pm AEST (Adelaide Oval)

[_Mike_]

1 v 3

AFL 2025 PREMIERSHIP SEASON ROUND 23

ADELAIDE V COLLINGWOOD
SAT AUGUST 16TH 7:05PM ACT/7:35PM AEST (ADELAIDE OVAL)

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Teams:​

ADELAIDE CROWS

FB: Josh Worrell (24), Nick Murray (9), Hugh Bond (40)
HB: Wayne Milera (30), Mark Keane (48), Brodie Smith (33)
C: Isaac Cumming (44), Jordan Dawson (12), Daniel Curtin (6)
HF: Ben Keays (2), Riley Thilthorpe (7), Alex Neal-Bullen (28)
FF: Izak Rankine (23), Darcy Fogarty (32), Taylor Walker (13)
FOL: Reilly O'Brien (43), James Peatling (25), Jake Soligo (14)
IC: Harry Schoenberg (26), Zac Taylor (19), Sam Berry (3), Mitchell Hinge (20), Lachlan Murphy (4)
EMG: Chris Burgess (21), Jordon Butts (41), Billy Dowling (31)
IN: Brodie Smith, Taylor Walker, Harry Schoenberg, Lachlan Murphy
OUT: Rory Laird, Chris Burgess, Chayce Jones, Luke Pedlar

COLLINGWOOD

FB: Brayden Maynard (4), Darcy Moore (30), Billy Frampton (17)
HB: Josh Daicos (7), Harry Perryman (12), Isaac Quaynor (3)
C: Steele Sidebottom (22), Ned Long (44), Jack Crisp (25)
HF: Jordan De Goey (2), Daniel McStay (11), Lachie Schultz (8)
FF: Jamie Elliott (5), Brody Mihocek (41), Patrick Lipinski (1)
FOL: Darcy Cameron (14), Scott Pendlebury (10), Nick Daicos (35)
IC: Dan Houston (9), Wil Parker (15), Tim Membrey (28), Beau McCreery (31), Edward Allan (16)
EMG: Tom Mitchell (6), Oleg Markov (37), Mason Cox (46)
IN: Wil Parker, Beau McCreery, Edward Allan
OUT: Tom Mitchell, Jeremy Howe, Will Hoskin-Elliott

Watch this thread to be alerted when teams drop.

Final Teams released (Melb Time):
Thursday Match - Wednesday 6:20pm
Friday Match - Thursday 6:20pm
Saturday Match - Thursday 6:20pm
Sunday Match - Friday 5:00pm
Monday Match - Saturday 5:00pm
(NB: Sunday and Monday match Extended Squads are released Thursday 6:20)

Links to the Club Board tipping comps



​

Don't be shame, discuss the game!

 

[PerthBoy86]

It'll either by the Crows by 10 goals or the Pies in a close upset.

 

[voorhees]

finals have come early...
looking forward to this

 

[Xtreme]

Adelaide by a Tex Walker power stance bakers dozen goal fest.

Crows by 75

 

[PCORF]

Collingwood have not tasted defeat at Adelaide Oval since 2017 and they will be desperate to put a terrible game behind them so the trip to Adelaide oval is like a dream for them. It will be hard fought but I cannot see us (Adelaide) beating them. I think a loss will do us good before next month so it is better for Adelaide to lose this one. West Coast gave us a wakeup call, now we really need a wakeup call.

Pies by 12 points. (or is it 1 point again?)

 

[JackFlash]

The Pies have run out of sauce and are too old and too tired, Crows by 40 points.

 

[timokane]

Bullish on a Pies bounce back rebounding win in this one.
Tipping Pies by 18 points.
In one of the biggest turn around in form.

 

[CCurnow3picks]

Oldiewood will struggle in the middle. They were pantsed by Hawthorn - missing Day.

How can they stop Walker, Thilthorpe, Fogarty with Moore (& what’s his name).

Let alone Rankin.

It’s going to get fugly.

 

[Go the Guts]

Actually feel like us dropping this will be good for us - haven’t lost a game in months and need a wake up call - reset.

 

[ABAB]

Actually feel like us dropping this will be good for us - haven’t lost a game in months and need a wake up call - reset.

Just count yesterday's game as a loss lol.

 

[PCORF]

Actually feel like us dropping this will be good for us - haven’t lost a game in months and need a wake up call - reset.

Better to drop this one instead of dropping the QF after a long winning streak. Either one way or another.

 

[Cyclonus]

Actually feel like us dropping this will be good for us - haven’t lost a game in months and need a wake up call - reset.

Drop this and the Crows could miss out on a home Qualifying Final. Not to mention the monkey being removed from their back by beating the bogey side. Must win.

 

[JPetro83]

Collingwood do not lose in Adelaide and own the Crows.
Collingwood by 17 points

 

[JPetro83]

Collingwood love a road trip

 

[Drakescoffeecake]

Pies.

 

[PCORF]

Drop this and the Crows could miss out on a home Qualifying Final. Not to mention the monkey being removed from their back by beating the bogey side. Must win.

Losing to Collingwood may be better, it will get us more prepared for a finals meeting.

Just beat North in R24 and grab 2nd.

 

[TubbsFarquhar]

Pressure in the media after a poor run of form and on the road. Collingwood lap this situation up and will run out winners.

The Crows simply don't beat them.

 

[Golumless]

Got to get back at your bully when you get the chance, so Crows by eleventy-hundred

 

[PiCkLeJuiCe]

Again, Pies will struggle to kick 10 goals, maybe even struggle to kick 7.

Thilthorpe and Keays might kick enough to outscore the Pies

 

[Carringbush2010]

Crows by eleventy 9 in a training drill.

 

[Hawksboy72]

Crows best chance to get over Collingwood. If they can't beat them this week they won't win the flag.
If the crows win easy then Collingwood will be done for this season.

 

[Hobbes]

Crows best chance to get over Collingwood. If they can't beat them this week they won't win the flag.
If the crows win easy then Collingwood will be done for this season.

There’s an odd stat here.

Eighteen grand finalists have lost either their third-last or second-last match in the minor round. Twelve of these eighteen have won. Losing at this point may not be a terrible sign.

 

[Cam Payne]

I'm wondering if the Pies season is dying in the arse or if they still have it in them to make a push deep into the finals. We'll see soon. Crows by 20.

 

[TubbsFarquhar]

Actually feel like us dropping this will be good for us - haven’t lost a game in months and need a wake up call - reset.

I don't get this logic of why we need a loss.

Geelong won 16 in a row to win in '22
Richmond won 12 in a row to win in '19
Brisbane won 16 in a row to win in '01

If you're hot, you're hot. Besides, if nearly losing to the Eagles wasn't a wake-up call, then I don't know what is.

 

[Hobbes]

I don't get this logic of why we need a loss.

Geelong won 16 in a row to win in '22
Richmond won 12 in a row to win in '19
Brisbane won 16 in a row to win in '01

If you're hot, you're hot. Besides, if nearly losing to the Eagles wasn't a wake-up call, then I don't know what is.

We’re on 7 at the moment. If we win the next two, we’ll be on 9.

Six teams since 2000 have entered the finals on a 9-game winning streak or longer. That’s for three premiers (which you listed, plus Adelaide 2005 (prelims), Geelong 2008 (lost GF) and one other preliminary finalist that I can’t identify right now. That’s not too bad.

Sixteen teams have entered the finals on a streak of 5-8 wins, for one premier - Richmond 2020.

For smaller streaks:

4 wins - 3 premiers out of 10.
3 wins - 1 premier out of 13.
2 wins - 5 premiers out of 12.
1 win - 7 premiers out of 24.

Both 2 wins and 1 win are much more likely to win the grand final than lose it.

Maybe losing a late game isn’t such a bad thing. But also, maybe you’re right - the “win that feels like a loss” will do the same job.