Remove this Banner Ad

AFL AFL futures 2018

🥰 Love BigFooty? Join now for free.

L

langdon19

Club Legend
Veteran
Dec 2, 2008
1,087
2,762
perth
AFL Club
West Coast
Couple i like
WC round 1 vs Syd, should be pumped at the new stadium and have a good record vs the swans at home.
Like WC for the win or $3.10 for 1-39.
Bris women to win outright at $7 365 and $8 crown i have nibbled. Might drop their first game vs Adl in Adl, if so i will be watching the odds closely. Did not loose a home and away game last season, hope the loss of Tayla Harris will be covered. Defensive side, which apparently wins premierships.
 
langdon19 said:
Couple i like
WC round 1 vs Syd, should be pumped at the new stadium and have a good record vs the swans at home.
Like WC for the win or $3.10 for 1-39.
Bris women to win outright at $7 365 and $8 crown i have nibbled. Might drop their first game vs Adl in Adl, if so i will be watching the odds closely. Did not loose a home and away game last season, hope the loss of Tayla Harris will be covered. Defensive side, which apparently wins premierships.
Click to expand...
I had a look at WC. I think they might be better than people expect with a good back and forward line and Nic Nat back.

I have had a good look at the bookies projections and it mainly looks in line with my projections. Probably best to see the pre-season to get a better understanding of which teams have improved. However, I do think projections for Gold Coast are badly out. They are projected for the spoon, but won't be pursuing a youth direction like say NM and have a decent list when fully fit. Games I like are at home in round 1 (+1.5 vs NM) and round 3 (+22.5) at Crown.

I think with Swallow, Barlow, Day, Lynch and others fully fit then they have a significantly better squad than NM and similar if not better than Freo. Both games above are at home where they tend to be pretty competitive (until falling into a rabble later in the season).
 

Log in to remove this Banner Ad

langdon19 said:
Couple i like
WC round 1 vs Syd, should be pumped at the new stadium and have a good record vs the swans at home.
Like WC for the win or $3.10 for 1-39.
Click to expand...

The difficulty with West Coast and Freo futures bets, or any Freo and West Coast match bets for a while will be that home records are clouded by a change of ground which means a change of dimensions.

The upside is that from what I can figure out Optus Stadium will be a closest relation to Adelaide Oval, which West Coast has a great record at, so that makes me feel a little better but I think that I'll be sitting out most Optus Stadium games just due to the unknown.

They'll of course still have a great home crowd advantage but the change of stadium is a real unknown that bettors need to be considering as a risk.
 
Not one single $ has been matched on Betfair on the AFLW premiership market. This shows how popular the sport is.
 
maskmcgee said:
Richmond over 13.5 $1.80 seems a little low dosen't it?
Click to expand...

Only a little. Doesn't feel like a lock we win 14 but I think we should. It could've been 14.5 but that's probably why it's $1.80 for 13.5. And they probably didn't want a push with a flat 14 option.

This is the best data analysis I've found of the fixture and it has Richmond getting a fairly tough draw comparative to others, especially in away games. http://www.matterofstats.com/mafl-s...-of-strength-of-schedule-for-the-2018-fixture.

Won 15 last year so miss a beat just a little, get an injury or three and copping a harder draw could easily mean a 2 win reduction.
 
Well I guess I'm here to be the contrarian. Hawthorn's first 8 games is a tough schedule. If Hawthorn lose to Collingwood in round 1 they'll be up against it to keep their head above water. They've lost Hodge and Gibson from the backline and it looks like Birchall will be missing for a fair chunk of the season again too. I'd take the under.
 

Remove this Banner Ad

PHX said:
Well I guess I'm here to be the contrarian. Hawthorn's first 8 games is a tough schedule. If Hawthorn lose to Collingwood in round 1 they'll be up against it to keep their head above water. They've lost Hodge and Gibson from the backline and it looks like Birchall will be missing for a fair chunk of the season again too. I'd take the under.
Click to expand...

Gibson barely played in the back half of last season when they played some of their best football of 2017.

If they were relying on Hodge Gibson and Birchall to win 10.5 games this year I'd be concerned - but those players aren't the key to their team anymore.
 
iluvparis said:
Gibson barely played in the back half of last season when they played some of their best football of 2017.

If they were relying on Hodge Gibson and Birchall to win 10.5 games this year I'd be concerned - but those players aren't the key to their team anymore.
Click to expand...
Do you see any chance of the Blues upsetting the tigers round 1?
 
iluvparis said:
Gibson barely played in the back half of last season when they played some of their best football of 2017.

If they were relying on Hodge Gibson and Birchall to win 10.5 games this year I'd be concerned - but those players aren't the key to their team anymore.
Click to expand...
That's fair. I probably didn't need to mention Gibson.

I just don't think their defense is ready to stand up week after week without Hodge being there to marshall them around.

They won't be cellar dwellers but I'd expect around 8-11 wins is right so I say the under not to sit on the fence, but truly probably just a stay-away.
 
Anyone having a crack at AFLX? Yes it’s a new game that means nothing but there are still some sides with ridiculously inexperienced/ young lists playing.

Small multi on Pies to win both their games and Dogs to lose both of theirs paying a bit over $7.
 

🥰 Love BigFooty? Join now for free.

Strange Cat said:
Do you see any chance of the Blues upsetting the tigers round 1?
Click to expand...
No chance, but I think 1.22 is short so I might take Carlton at there current price and lay early in the match as it’s usually close till half time in all Richmond vs Carlton round 1 clashes
 
Tonche said:
Anyone having a crack at AFLX? Yes it’s a new game that means nothing but there are still some sides with ridiculously inexperienced/ young lists playing.

Small multi on Pies to win both their games and Dogs to lose both of theirs paying a bit over $7.
Click to expand...

Which site lets you multi the same team twice?
 
Obivously betting on AFLX will be a bit of a lottery, However, i'm tempted to put something small on port adelaide to win against geelong in the opening game.
Feel like port may take it a bit more seriously than geelong considering they are playing at home infront of their home crowd. Would probably want to win the first ever game.
Thoughts?
 
TAB Special:

Bulldogs and Bulldogs to finish top eight in the AFL and NRL at $8.

This is overs. I don't even think it's possible to multi those two outcomes together with separate books and take the maximum odds to get odds of $7, let alone $8.
 

Remove this Banner Ad

AFL AFL futures 2018

Similar threads

T
AFL 2026 AFL Brownlow
Replies
4
Views
485
Pablito
Pablito

🥰 Love BigFooty? Join now for free.

Back
Top