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AFL Round 13

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$2.09 WESTERN BULLDOGS | Under 39.5
$3.00 NORTH MELBOURNE | Under 39.5
$3.70 GEELONG | 20 To 39

TOTAL | $23.19
 
Suns just jumped up again. Insane. Hawks have 8 or 9 of their 22 out. I'd tip the Hawks easy, but am tempted to throw some cash at the Gold Coast just in case. Outside chance. At this rate, anyway. :D

I don't think Gold Coast can win, but the ground will probably suit them. It can get pretty windy down there so you wouldn't expect the Hawks kicking efficiency to be at it's peak.
 
I like:

Geel 1-39 After a bruising encounter last week against the mighty hawks plus their recent history V the Saints I can't see it been a blow out.

Kangas ML Essendon look horrible. $2.2 for the Roos to win are great odds.

Also like a few others on this board I will be interested to see the Eagles highest score of the round odds.
 

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Lots of value around this week.

1 unit Adelaide @ $4.20 (Centrebet)
0.5 units Gold Coast @ $20.95 (Betfair) - crazy price
1 unit North Melbourne @ $2.301 (Betfair)
2 units Richmond @ $1.75 (Readbet)
1 unit St Kilda @ $3.90 (IAS)
2 units Melbourne @ $1.85 (Readbet)
1 unit Sydney @ $3.90 (Centrebet)
0.5 units Port Adelaide @ $9.30 (Centrebet)
 
Adelaide +39.5
Gold Coast +74.5
North Melbourne +24.5
St Kilda +39.5
Sydney +39.5

$100 @ $7.53

Gold Coast +72.5
St Kilda +39.5
Sydney +39.5
Port Adelaide +46.5
Adelaide +26.5

$70 @ $14.07

Gold Coast +39.5
St Kilda +39.5
Sydney +39.5
Port Adelaide +46.5
Adelaide +39.5

$30 @ $29.78
 
Wish I got on Essendon straight away and didnt wait till I got home from work, they were 1.9 at the start!

Also don't understand Melbourne being favs, I would have thought freo would have the edge. I guess the MCG factor scares people away from freo.

Barlow is a big in for freo, it was once he was injured last year that freo went on a downhill slide. Once sandi is back they could go on a bit of a run
 
St Kilda more behinds
5 units @ 2.45

Melbourne more behinds
5 units @ 2.75

Carlton more goals
5 units @ 1.93

Port more behinds
5 units @ 2.40
 
Lots of value around this week.

1 unit Adelaide @ $4.20 (Centrebet)
0.5 units Gold Coast @ $20.95 (Betfair) - crazy price
1 unit North Melbourne @ $2.301 (Betfair)
2 units Richmond @ $1.75 (Readbet)
1 unit St Kilda @ $3.90 (IAS)
2 units Melbourne @ $1.85 (Readbet)
1 unit Sydney @ $3.90 (Centrebet)
0.5 units Port Adelaide @ $9.30 (Centrebet)

You're a good punter I reckon Lenny. :thumbsu:

Richmond is the value bet of the round. Also like North Melbourne.
 

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Don't understand the love for Sydney at all. All this talk about only having beat them in 1 of the last 10 games is completely irrelevant as Carlton are a completely different side at the moment and that 1 time out of 10 was earlier this year at the SCG. Can't see Sydney getting anywhere near Carlton.
 
Adelaide +39.5
Gold Coast +74.5
North Melbourne +24.5
St Kilda +39.5
Sydney +39.5

$100 @ $7.53

Gold Coast +72.5
St Kilda +39.5
Sydney +39.5
Port Adelaide +46.5
Adelaide +26.5

$70 @ $14.07

Gold Coast +39.5
St Kilda +39.5
Sydney +39.5
Port Adelaide +46.5
Adelaide +39.5

$30 @ $29.78

Like all of that except port. Just cant put them in anything. Did you end up getting one home last week, I remember you being close?
 
Punt with the head, not with the heart Bisazc.

Lol you dont have to tell me how to punt, ive had a platinum tab account for nearly 20 years and bet plenty. I get free passes to certain/random events through the year so i must bet more than i realise. If you think the trend will change from the last 6 games and be a blowout, put some $ on and scan your ticket up here,...It will be 3 goals max either way with selwood out and montagna in and us throwing everything before the bye. But you go for it....
 
I would assume its more to do with the points margin rather than saying its the wrong team. I just dont see the benefit of trying to pick the margin like that either.


Yes that was my point, exactly...No matter which team wins you will get lucky here or there doing that but the chance of winning overall is miniscule doing that and if it werent the quaddie would pay 1k every week rather than 10k-100k
 

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lol @ platinum.

lol @ being such an awesome punter you dont even know how much youve spent :p:p:p:p:p:p:p


I dont :p alot of days on horses i will pull 1k out of atm (max) limit...Thats fine you dont have to beleive me i have nothing to prove to you,I have won some huge amounts a few times and lost plenty too,..money comes money goes long as the funs there im happy, lets just say at my biggest i would have had a fair bit in common with fev:eek:....if you need to keep track of your $ on a longterm basis maybe shouldnt put too much on?...Just bet if you have the $ and you like something...why worry..win or lose its gambling...If youve shown a 80 buck pofit ytd and youve shown an 800ytd but you only have a spair 200 to put on afl this week are you going to put 500 in becuse you are up more and like a bet? What i won or lost a year ago means nothing to me though glad it might to you.?

Anyway back on topic,...I agree Stk , Syd , even Gold Coast and Roos at PYOL there is some amazing odds to be had this week
 
Don't understand the love for Sydney at all. All this talk about only having beat them in 1 of the last 10 games is completely irrelevant as Carlton are a completely different side at the moment and that 1 time out of 10 was earlier this year at the SCG. Can't see Sydney getting anywhere near Carlton.

My personal opinion is that blues have had 3 easy games were they cruised along without pressure and everyone talks them up. They are not in the Geelong's and collingwood's leauge and will drop a few games like this. Jack and mummy are huge in's for the swans and the improvement of their forwardline structure really impresses me. Swans have solid small defenders to negate betts and co. $3.90 is massive value as is the line given swans usually keep margins close.
 
Lol you dont have to tell me how to punt, ive had a platinum tab account for nearly 20 years and bet plenty. I get free passes to certain/random events through the year so i must bet more than i realise. If you think the trend will change from the last 6 games and be a blowout, put some $ on and scan your ticket up here,...It will be 3 goals max either way with selwood out and montagna in and us throwing everything before the bye. But you go for it....

I can't imagine the TAB giving out freebies etc to punters that actually win off them :eek:
 
Like all of that except port. Just cant put them in anything. Did you end up getting one home last week, I remember you being close?

Had Melbourne +28.5 as the last leg for 2 multis. I had a bad feeling on Sunday that it wasnt going to come through.

Port are 3 - 3 for the last 6 at Subiaco, they tend to play well over here and they match up pretty well against us. They have had 1 loss by 50 points over here in 2009 but since 2005 there biggest defeat against West Coast has been by 18 points which was this year.

With Cassisi back and West Coasts tackling down I dont think the margin will be as large as everyone thinks.
 

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AFL Round 13

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