AFL Round 14

[Resarenco]

good effort sysney well done almost got the equalising goal

 

[Hucky]

Very lucky with my Swans 1q bet. Adding:
1U col/syd <191.5 @1.85(b365).

Oh dear, horrendous luck mate...

 

[Stocks_go_Up]

Multi 1:

SANTOS FC H2H
CLUB DE GIMNASIA Y ESGRIMA LA PLATA or Draw
HAWTHORN - Head to Head
WESTERN BULLDOGS - Head to Head
MELBOURNE - Head to Head
COLLINGWOOD - Head to Head
FREMANTLE - Head to Head

1u @ 7.84 WIN


Multi 2:

WESTERN BULLDOGS (Handicap -33.5)
MELBOURNE (Handicap +24.5)
NORTH MELBOURNE - Head to Head
HAWTHORN (Handicap -15.5) - Line
WEST COAST | More Goals Than Behinds

1u @ 14.53 LOSS

Very happy and relieved to get at least one of my multis. Was worried with Collingwood and Fremantle not doing it as easy as I hoped. I guess sometimes it pays not to be too greedy and go for the line. Bulldogs let me down, although I wasn't too confident with the West Coast more goals than behinds looking back at it.

 

[5 Bucks]

Both games OVER tonight in a multi.

Was looking pretty good until Freo decided to dish up 2.8 to Brisbane's 0.0 in the last. What a joke.

 

[twarby]

I don't know what this means

you already have small units, why the hell do you make 0.06 unit bets, you clearly wern't ready to change your structure, looks pathetic

 

[half_back_flank]

2 units - Collingwood -18.5
1 unit - Collingwood -28.5

No good. Right bet though considering the way Collingwood have been finishing this year.

 

[Stocks_go_Up]

Final multi for tomorrow.

NORTH MELBOURNE (Handicap -13.5)
GEELONG (Handicap -47.5)
WEST COAST | More Behinds Than Goals
1.5 units @ 6.56

 

[Lensen]

you already have small units, why the hell do you make 0.06 unit bets, you clearly wern't ready to change your structure, looks pathetic

looking good is a key component of why I bet so I might take your feedback on board

 

[twarby]

looking good is a key component of why i bet so i might take your feedback on board

0.000054

 

[The_Big_Ship]

No good. Right bet though considering the way Collingwood have been finishing this year.

how is it the right bet if it lost?

 

[half_back_flank]

Only two teams had come within 2 goals of us in last quarter scoring, that being Carlton and Geelong who i rate much higher than Sydney.

Probably a better term to use is that it was value.

 

[flylikeaneagle]

gonna have a crack at a middle:

Gold coast v footscray

under 200.5 @ 1.88 (sportsbet)
over 192.5 @ 1.85 (bwin)

get the **** in!

 

[The Royal Sampler]

you already have small units, why the hell do you make 0.06 unit bets, you clearly wern't ready to change your structure, looks pathetic

LOL, Twarby trying to go from

to this...

get the **** in!

Legendary! You must be shattered you didn't take the $6.50 at the TAB though

 

[woodyman]

Anyone else have a really bad day yesterday? Hopefully today improves!

 

[The Royal Sampler]

Nightmarish... on both AFL and thoroughbreds.

 

[Borgsta]

I told all you people to not touch Smith over Bock. Good defenders rack up the possessions against the Dogs.

And friday fill up was a win.

 

[baywatch5]

Terrible day yesterday.... All 3 teams win but fail to cover moving on I like 3 today:

ADEL @ GEEL
PLAYER EXOTIC: MOST GOALS H2H - PODSIADLY over TIPPETT (x1)
ATS - EAGLES +27.5 (x2)
ATS - KANGAROOS +12.5 (x2)

YTD: 59-51-2 (+23.43 @ 53.6%)

 

[Maveric]

I told all you people to not touch Smith over Bock. Good defenders rack up the possessions against the Dogs.

And friday fill up was a win.

Thanks for the Friday fill up, was the only thing that made the game watchable for me.

Today

S Hurn @ $2 (Centrebet) to get more dreamteam points than J Russell. Has done so the last 5 weeks with scores of 86,72,131,87 & 93 compared to 84,12,76,69,76 only thing that concerns me is the game is at Ethihad.

C Enright @ 1.82 23 or more touches. Has done so 4 out of the last 5 meetings with Adelaide and there should be more ball to go around with Selwood, Bartel and potentially Kelly all out of the side.

 

[KardiniaPark]

Dreamteam
$7.29
Johnson (Thompson,Chapman)
Mackie (Corey, Van Berlo)

Priddis Group of 8- $8.25

Multi $6.93
Adelaide +46.5
Carl/WC Over 177.5
Port/NM Under 189.5

 

[BlueDozer]

Legendary! You must be shattered you didn't take the $6.50 at the TAB though

Why? He got equivalent odds of $24.68

Explanation for those that don't understand and using $100 as the bet
Total 192 or less, 1 bet wins (<200.5), 1 loses - total loss of $12
Total over 201, 1 win (>192.5), 1 loses - total loss of $15
Bet middles, both win, return of $373, for a maximum risk of $15 = $24.86

Beats $6.50 in my books

 

[denitofinito]

Bad weekend so far, partially redeemed by syd/coll overs and freo/bris unders coming in and also DT Ball > Bolton and Sidebottom > Jack (terrible luck for Jack).

Final bets for the round:

3u @ 7.08:
Cats 40+
Blues 1-39
North -12.5
--
0.8u Most Goals Mitchell Brown @ $17
3.4u Port/North under 193.5 @ 1.90 (last 4 at Aami well under this, only at Etihad do these teams score freely).
--
2u DT Ling > Corey/Enright/Vince @ 3.10
1.8u DT Gibbs > Scotland/Carazzo/Embley @ 3.30
2.3u DT Simpson > Rosa @ 1.74 (Simpson loves playing the Eagles, averaging 102+)
2u DT Harvey > Rawlings @ 1.82
2u DT Boak > Wells @ 1.97

 

[half_back_flank]

James Kelly over 95.5 DT points @ 1.87 on luxbet.

EDIT: Bet rejected, market on hold. Cheers luxbet.

 

[Maveric]

James Kelly over 95.5 DT points @ 1.87 on luxbet.

EDIT: Bet rejected, market on hold. Cheers luxbet.

Kelly is a confirmed out AFL website

 

[half_back_flank]

Yeah, I just had a look.

 

[Lensen]

Most goals tomorrow:
0.38 units Podisadly @ $5.50
0.12 units Ottens @ $67

0.34 units Kennedy @ $5.50
0.1 units Shuey @ $51
0.06 units Simposn @ $51

0.4 units Edwards @ $7
0.06 units Boak @ $34
0.04 units D.Stewart @ $67

Ottens out, changing to 0.5 units Podsiadly