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AFL Round 17
- Thread starter Keystone agony
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Its a great promo considering that 5/9 game lines they also produced are within that 20. I think they feel most people will try get on the underdogs and end up losing.
Spitter9
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first bet on market mate
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alex mcanulty
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Ill be throwing a sneaky bet on the lions this week. All this talk about the lions vs the eagles to me feels like a up set is on the cards maybe. Will wait to the weekend to see if the odds go up
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I live in Hobart and we have some very cold and wet weather on the way, With the North Melb - St Kilda game on Saturday the forecast is 4min-10 max with rain Friday and Saturday.
Line betting St.Kilda + 59.5 pts @ $1.90 looks value for multis.
Line betting St.Kilda + 59.5 pts @ $1.90 looks value for multis.
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Thought i would do the research since i was interested as well
+ is infront
- is behind
R1 Carlton (-6)
R2 Adelaide (+30)
R3 North (+10)
R4 Brisbane (+88)
R5 West Coast (+1)
R6 Geelong (+40)
R7 GWS (+39)
R8 Fremantle (-3)
R9 Hawthorn (+9)
R10 Melbourne (+4)
R11 St Kilda (+53)
R12 Sydney (-15)
R13 Bulldogs (+43)
R14 Adelaide (-10)
R15 Essendon (-16)
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Thanks for that. Not so keen on the bet now, wouldn't have covered the -3.5 spread in 3 out of the past 4 games.
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No worries
I didn't watch the derby nor the game vs. Essendon, but it seems inaccuracy in front of goal is costing them.
If they can fix that they should really pull away from Richmond at 3qtr time.
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wow
happy punter
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58-52 +21.62
Crows +5.5 over Hawks @ 1.93 (2 units)
Crows over Hawks @ 2.15 (1 unit)
Crows +5.5 over Hawks @ 1.93 (2 units)
Crows over Hawks @ 2.15 (1 unit)
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Thoughts on Dion Prestia for most disposals for Gold Coast this weekend @ 3.00 (sportsbet)? No Ablett and Prestia is in the top 10 disposals winners in the comp.
Will be tagged.
Few DT plays for tomorrow and another that caught my eye before all the markets come out.
4 units Lewis Under 110.5 DT @ $1.87 (TAB)
Will find his line is 101.5 elsewhere which I think i much more accurate. Averaging 102 but has actually cleared this in 8/15 but 3 of those were 111 or 112 and when Mitchell was missing. Prior to this year his best year was just 92 so he has certainly exceeded expectations so far and with Mitchell back to take some midfield time and I expect a tough game against the Crows this is too high. Last year he went under 111.5 in 20/23 games.
2 units Sloane Over 100.5 DT @ $1.87 (Luxbet)
Averaging 105 and covered in 10/15 this year. Line is 104.5 elsewhere so this is 4-5 points too low at 100.
2 units Mumford over Sandilands DT @ $1.85 (Sportsbet)
Sandi has averaged 89 in his last 13 with only 4 scores over 90. Mumford has been much better when he has played and is averaging 99 from his 10 games.
YTD: 137-1-66 +104.25
4 units Lewis Under 110.5 DT @ $1.87 (TAB)
Will find his line is 101.5 elsewhere which I think i much more accurate. Averaging 102 but has actually cleared this in 8/15 but 3 of those were 111 or 112 and when Mitchell was missing. Prior to this year his best year was just 92 so he has certainly exceeded expectations so far and with Mitchell back to take some midfield time and I expect a tough game against the Crows this is too high. Last year he went under 111.5 in 20/23 games.
2 units Sloane Over 100.5 DT @ $1.87 (Luxbet)
Averaging 105 and covered in 10/15 this year. Line is 104.5 elsewhere so this is 4-5 points too low at 100.
2 units Mumford over Sandilands DT @ $1.85 (Sportsbet)
Sandi has averaged 89 in his last 13 with only 4 scores over 90. Mumford has been much better when he has played and is averaging 99 from his 10 games.
YTD: 137-1-66 +104.25
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1U Ebert over Wines DT @1.80
1U Priddis over 105.5 DT @1.87 (TAB)
Can find his line at 108.5 elsewhere. So couple points too short. AVG 116.5 in his last 7 games and has gone above that line 5/7 times in that time. Av 108 for the year. Is playing Brisbane the team leaking the 2nd most points this year especially to midfielders.
1U Priddis over 110.5 SC @1.87 (Sportsbet) - Lost by 2.5
Avg 111. Cleared 8/15 games this year. 6 from his last 8 games and read above. Brisbane leak and Eagles i will be tipping for the win.
2U J.Lewis Under 110.5 DT @1.87 (TAB)
Also got on. Just way way too high for him. He has gone over about 50% which stopped me going bigger. The reason i hit this was because S.Mitchell in means less points for him really and less midfield time. Adelaide arent leaking many points either the 4th hardest to score against IIRC.
1U Shuey more disposals than Zorko @1.72 (TAB)
Shuey avg 22.3 disposals. Dayne Zorko avg 3 less at 19.2. I think with no Rockliff/Redden ect Zorko will get more midfield time. However Brisbane leaking disposals to midfielders and not tagging will benefit Shuey to a mid to high 20 disposal count.
2.5U Betts >2.5 Goals @4.00 (Sportsbet)
3.25 Units Betts >2.5 goals @2.87 (Bet365)
12.5U Betts <2.5 Goals @1.52 (Luxbet)
0.5U Martin over Cotchin DT @1.87 (Betstar)
Basically feel Cotchin will get the hard Kornes tag
1U P.Hanley over 95.5 DT points @1.87 (Luxbet)
Eagles 3rd easiest team to score against and dont tag through the midfield. Hanley will be the lone midfielder getting the pill for the lions and he has been dominating lately.
2U J.Green <1.5 Goals @1.72 (Lux) - RIGHT AT THE END OF THE GAME
Only cleared 5/13 times this year and i feel he will be one player to play more midfield without Rocky/Redden ect. Also a low scoreing affair and Eagles are usually good at shutting down the small forwards.
0.5U Boak over 96.5 DT @1.87 (Lux)
Usually goes above this without a tag and wont get one against the tigers at a high scoring ground in the etihad stadium. We saw how well Rocky and Hanley went last week against the tigers. Boak is low because of last weeks tag.
2U Ryder over Chapman DT @1.88 (Sportsbet)
Ryder without Bellchambers has gone 98, 102 and 74 in the wet. Also earlier in the year without Bellchambers he went 90,111,74 and 113. Chapman has scored 56 and 54 in his last 2 games and is slowing dramatically and went 64/77 the 2 weeks before that. Collingwood have an average ruck lineup and Ryder should go well.
2U Liberatore over Prestia DT @1.80 (Sportsbet)
For me Prestia is a very good chance for the Wallis tag. GC dont tag which helps Liberatore who with Griffen has shown to be a 110+ scorer. Prestia only gone 2x80 last 2 weeks anyway if he doesnt get the tag.
1U Sidebottom over Zacka @1.85
1U Sidebottom over Heppell DT @1.85 (Sportsbet)
I expect Heppell or Zacka to get the Macaffer tag. At least this is a H2H if Heppell doesnt. Sidebottom usually tears the bombers a new one but might even get the Hocking tag.
1U A.Swallow over Cunnington DT @1.70
Cunnington has been poor the last 4 weeks since the return of Swallow. Swallow has slowly built up to a 100+ scoring again on return from injury.
0.5U Griffen over Dahlhaus DT @1.75 - VOIDED
Griffen is the superior DT scorer. Returned well last week and GC dont tag which saw him get 115 earlier in the season against them.
1U Mcglynn <99.5 DT @1.87
Has only covered 4/12 games this year and Carlton are a hard team to score against. In past seasons hes avg low 70's.
2U Greenwood over B.Harvey DT @1.75 (Sportsbet)
Think Harvey cops a saints tag.
7U Barlow over Ward DT @1.85 (Bet365)
Ward should cop the Crowley tag and Barlow seemed to go to another scoreing level without Hill in the side meaning more Wing/Midfield time.
2U L.Parker more disposals than Walker @1.80 (TAB)
Parker avg 25 compared to Walkers 22.7 for the year. Parker seems to be getting more and more midfield time especially with Hanneberry out in the last few weeks. Having 21, 30 and 33 in his time out in the last 3 weeks. I also expect Sydney to win and Carlton to not get as much ball against the swans and Walker usually likes the wide open spaces for his run and easy outside ball.
1U Priddis over 105.5 DT @1.87 (TAB)
Can find his line at 108.5 elsewhere. So couple points too short. AVG 116.5 in his last 7 games and has gone above that line 5/7 times in that time. Av 108 for the year. Is playing Brisbane the team leaking the 2nd most points this year especially to midfielders.
1U Priddis over 110.5 SC @1.87 (Sportsbet) - Lost by 2.5
Avg 111. Cleared 8/15 games this year. 6 from his last 8 games and read above. Brisbane leak and Eagles i will be tipping for the win.
2U J.Lewis Under 110.5 DT @1.87 (TAB)
Also got on. Just way way too high for him. He has gone over about 50% which stopped me going bigger. The reason i hit this was because S.Mitchell in means less points for him really and less midfield time. Adelaide arent leaking many points either the 4th hardest to score against IIRC.
1U Shuey more disposals than Zorko @1.72 (TAB)
Shuey avg 22.3 disposals. Dayne Zorko avg 3 less at 19.2. I think with no Rockliff/Redden ect Zorko will get more midfield time. However Brisbane leaking disposals to midfielders and not tagging will benefit Shuey to a mid to high 20 disposal count.
2.5U Betts >2.5 Goals @4.00 (Sportsbet)
3.25 Units Betts >2.5 goals @2.87 (Bet365)
12.5U Betts <2.5 Goals @1.52 (Luxbet)
0.5U Martin over Cotchin DT @1.87 (Betstar)
Basically feel Cotchin will get the hard Kornes tag
1U P.Hanley over 95.5 DT points @1.87 (Luxbet)
Eagles 3rd easiest team to score against and dont tag through the midfield. Hanley will be the lone midfielder getting the pill for the lions and he has been dominating lately.
2U J.Green <1.5 Goals @1.72 (Lux) - RIGHT AT THE END OF THE GAME
Only cleared 5/13 times this year and i feel he will be one player to play more midfield without Rocky/Redden ect. Also a low scoreing affair and Eagles are usually good at shutting down the small forwards.
0.5U Boak over 96.5 DT @1.87 (Lux)
Usually goes above this without a tag and wont get one against the tigers at a high scoring ground in the etihad stadium. We saw how well Rocky and Hanley went last week against the tigers. Boak is low because of last weeks tag.
2U Ryder over Chapman DT @1.88 (Sportsbet)
Ryder without Bellchambers has gone 98, 102 and 74 in the wet. Also earlier in the year without Bellchambers he went 90,111,74 and 113. Chapman has scored 56 and 54 in his last 2 games and is slowing dramatically and went 64/77 the 2 weeks before that. Collingwood have an average ruck lineup and Ryder should go well.
2U Liberatore over Prestia DT @1.80 (Sportsbet)
For me Prestia is a very good chance for the Wallis tag. GC dont tag which helps Liberatore who with Griffen has shown to be a 110+ scorer. Prestia only gone 2x80 last 2 weeks anyway if he doesnt get the tag.
1U Sidebottom over Zacka @1.85
1U Sidebottom over Heppell DT @1.85 (Sportsbet)
I expect Heppell or Zacka to get the Macaffer tag. At least this is a H2H if Heppell doesnt. Sidebottom usually tears the bombers a new one but might even get the Hocking tag.
1U A.Swallow over Cunnington DT @1.70
Cunnington has been poor the last 4 weeks since the return of Swallow. Swallow has slowly built up to a 100+ scoring again on return from injury.
0.5U Griffen over Dahlhaus DT @1.75 - VOIDED
Griffen is the superior DT scorer. Returned well last week and GC dont tag which saw him get 115 earlier in the season against them.
1U Mcglynn <99.5 DT @1.87
Has only covered 4/12 games this year and Carlton are a hard team to score against. In past seasons hes avg low 70's.
2U Greenwood over B.Harvey DT @1.75 (Sportsbet)
Think Harvey cops a saints tag.
7U Barlow over Ward DT @1.85 (Bet365)
Ward should cop the Crowley tag and Barlow seemed to go to another scoreing level without Hill in the side meaning more Wing/Midfield time.
2U L.Parker more disposals than Walker @1.80 (TAB)
Parker avg 25 compared to Walkers 22.7 for the year. Parker seems to be getting more and more midfield time especially with Hanneberry out in the last few weeks. Having 21, 30 and 33 in his time out in the last 3 weeks. I also expect Sydney to win and Carlton to not get as much ball against the swans and Walker usually likes the wide open spaces for his run and easy outside ball.
Last edited:
jefffff34
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Breust most goals @ $13.00
Lewis most possessions @ $4.50
Birchall most possessions @ $6.00
Sloane under 104 DT points @ $1.85
Lewis most possessions @ $4.50
Birchall most possessions @ $6.00
Sloane under 104 DT points @ $1.85
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Whos Bruest most goals with?
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jefffff34
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Ladbrokes.
Island Bomber
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H2H multi, Sportsbet 25% bonus for 7 legs.
Hawks
Cats
Eagles
Swans
Power
Dockers
Kangaroos
$100 @ 5.06 + 25% if successful.
Hawks
Cats
Eagles
Swans
Power
Dockers
Kangaroos
$100 @ 5.06 + 25% if successful.
Did you really get $4 for this???
tibor
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And this is why you don't put your bets on Monday. Now into 172.5. Considering laying another unit on the over. Hawks have no trouble scoring in the wet, as seen by the suns game in launceston. I was there, weather was rubbish.
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