AFL Round 20

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$6.20

Ess, Syd, Adel SU
Stk +27.5 , hawks -48.5
TML: WCE vs Coll <170.5 , WBD vs STK <185.5, Ess vs Rich <163.5, Hawks vs Melb > 170.5

@161 (+40%)

Saints and hawks lines were the only ones with any value in them this week. I think the saints line should be +24.5, so much of the saints value is gone.

I think there may also be value in the west coast line and they may start favourites by game time.

 

[dez32]

Ess 1-39
Nth 40+
Carl -12.5
Geel 1-39
Syd 1-39
Adel - 10.5
Bull 40+

$5 Multi paying $860

Nth - 33.5
Haw 40+
Geel 1-39
Syd 1-39
Bull - 30.5

$50 Multi paying $1279

Ess 1-39
Syd 1-39
Geel 1-39

$50 Multi paying $504

 

[Jay-Z]

Ess 1-39
Syd 1-39
Geel 1-39

$50 Multi paying $504

I like this one. Might tail

 

[alex mcanulty]

I'm jumping on the st kilda line +27.5 with one unit. What's peoples thoughts on the collingwood game? I'm liking collingwood SU do people think they could go to 2.00 + odds or be the favorites?

 

[Big Fozza]

I'm jumping on the st kilda line +27.5 with one unit. What's peoples thoughts on the collingwood game? I'm liking collingwood SU do people think they could go to 2.00 + odds or be the favorites?

i'm a bit gun-shy on the pies/wce game. pies form has been so patchy over the last month. And which west coast will show up. the one that cost me tons of money last week or the one that can't kick more than 6 goals at home, against richmond after their club champion gets knocked out.

i got burnt so hard by the eagles in adelaide... so burnt

 

[I Lost My Keays]

I'm thinking Carlton (great form in recent weeks , GC have no Ablett and they are dodgy in Melbourne)

Hawthorn by 40+
St Kilda +27.5 ( I can see them winning they have been in decent form of late)
Geelong H2H (freo hasn't really been in the best of form of late and Geelong has regained motlop and Christensen)

 

[alex mcanulty]

Haha yeah both situations happened to me and I got burnt to. Might wait to game day to throw something on

 

[Keystone agony]

i'm a bit gun-shy on the pies/wce game. pies form has been so patchy over the last month. And which west coast will show up. the one that cost me tons of money last week or the one that can't kick more than 6 goals at home, against richmond after their club champion gets knocked out.

i got burnt so hard by the eagles in adelaide... so burnt

6 goals was in the pouring rain. You must admit.

Ive decided i dont like the eagles in the pouring rain (pending who they play) because they have no big bodied midfielders and get smsahed up inside. Plus that rely heavily on their talls performing to win games eg: Kennedy, NicNat, Cox, Darling, Mcgovern which takes away that asset. Mckenzie beats his key forward rain, hail or shine so it doesnt really matter down that end.

For this game. Hit the Under 170.5 hard IMO.

Edit: but yeh i lost 300 because of those eagles and crows last week. Wouldve won had the crows won.

 

[I Lost My Keays]

6 goals was in the pouring rain. You must admit.

Ive decided i dont like the eagles in the pouring rain (pending who they play) because they have no big bodied midfielders and get smsahed up inside. Plus that rely heavily on their talls performing to win games eg: Kennedy, NicNat, Cox, Darling, Mcgovern which takes away that asset. Mckenzie beats his key forward rain, hail or shine so it doesnt really matter down that end.

For this game. Hit the Under 170.5 hard IMO.

Edit: but yeh i lost 300 because of those eagles and crows last week. Wouldve won had the crows won.

i don't think it's going to rain

 

[Keystone agony]

i don't think it's going to rain

What im saying is why they lost to Richmond.

FWIW i like the eagles against the pies this week, but wont be betting on it. Its a 50/50 game. I was hopeing eagles would open at a big higher than 2. There 6 goal win over a top 8 side didnt help that.

Eagles 1-39 and TML unders are the best bets i see for that game.

 

[I Lost My Keays]

What im saying is why they lost to Richmond.

FWIW i like the eagles against the pies this week, but wont be betting on it. Its a 50/50 game. I was hopeing eagles would open at a big higher than 2. There 6 goal win over a top 8 side didnt help that.

Eagles 1-39 and TML unders are the best bets i see for that game.

Yeah I am going to stay away from the game. However Collingwood is dodgy interstate

 

[Willzzz]

Wish i took the 30.5 at the start. Not sure i like it enough at 27.5 right now. Although i sort of still do.

Yeh, don't like taking lines that have moved out beforehand but +27.5 was just there begging to be taken
(Mind you, I'm 100% sure Bet365 wanted it that way).

Have gone a bit bigger than I would have like so will almost certainly be adding 0.5U on the Doggies before the bounce.

 

[Keystone agony]

Yeh, don't like taking lines that have moved out beforehand but +27.5 was just there begging to be taken
(Mind you, I'm 100% sure Bet365 wanted it that way).

Have gone a bit bigger than I would have like so will almost certainly be adding 0.5U on the Doggies before the bounce.

Yeh, dogs have been very good at etihad this year compared to other grounds.

 

[Sketi]

Carlton 1.50 vs Gold Coast 2.50 (11.5 Line)

I think they have the line about right. Maybe Gold Coast offer value but another id keep clear of. Carlton are starting to get going Judd, Gibbs, Murphy through the middle and Carazzo/Curnow performing tagging roles well. Hard one to predict. GC maybe offer slight value think the line should be 8

Agree with pretty much all the OP except this, I like the Blues to cover.

Blues have played a class beyond their ladder position lately, pushing really good teams and beating up on lesser ones (ie Saints at this venue, also beat North there).

Gold Coast have been a rabble lately and home win against the Saints doesn't convince they have turned their form around enough to perform well on the road, Blues will be seething and I reckon will cover with ease.

 

[Sketi]

I also like people's thoughts of Essendon 1-39, Tigers to be competitive but ultimately fall short.

 

[I Lost My Keays]

Have they released player markets on Sportsbet? Because I want to put eddie betts to kick 3 or more goals

 

[Keystone agony]

Have they released player markets on Sportsbet? Because I want to put eddie betts to kick 3 or more goals

Doesnt happen until the day of the game really or after team announcements thursday arvo

 

[TheKanga]

Dunstan out for Saints

 

[Robo87]

Anyone like this weeks Sportsbet promo deal? - the First Goalkicker on the Rich v Ess game?
could go J.Riewoldt $7.50, Carlisle $9.00, or Goddard/Chapman 15.00?

 

[alex mcanulty]

Anyone like this weeks Sportsbet promo deal? - the First Goalkicker on the Rich v Ess game?
could go J.Riewoldt $7.50, Carlisle $9.00, or Goddard/Chapman 15.00?

What's the promo chief my phones not loading up sportsbet
Cheers

 

[x_les_x]

Anybody feeling gold coast at the line?

 

[Robo87]

What's the promo chief my phones not loading up sportsbet
Cheers

• Place a first goalscorer bet on the Richmond v Essendon match
• If your first goalscorer selection kicks the first goal of the 2nd, 3rd or 4th quarter, we'll refund your bet! (max $100 refund, applies to your first bet on the first goalscorer market)*

 

[Willzzz]

AFL Rd 20: Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows

MAX PLAY:
2.5U – Adelaide Crows -11.5 @ $1.90 (Tattsbet)
2U – Adelaide Crows SU @ $1.57 (Pinnacle Sports)
0.5U – HT/FT: Adelaide Crows/Adelaide Crows @ $1.90 (Tattsbet)

 

[Keystone agony]

5U Hawks/Syd/Adel SU @2.32

 

[I Lost My Keays]

Is Dunstan out true?