AFL Round 21

[Lensen]

1 unit GC @ $3.20 (Sports Alive) - overs against a poor Lions side who just don't know how to win. GC will have set themselves for this game
2 units Rich @ $2.64 (Betfair/Centrebet) - I reckon they'll win, there were some good signs against a very good Eagles in Perth and I don't rate the Swans at all
0.5 units Adel @ $12.24 (Betfair) - overs at home against a Geelong side who hasn't had anything resembling a contest for a couple of weeks

 

[hayes]

I know Richmond suck but I'm not convinced about Sydney at the MCG. Might hit that up.

 

[Acecordy]

You mouth off like that but dont provide reasons. No good.

saints play dome best in the afl pies dont, they havent beat saints there since 2003 saints in form pies will be resting players nothing to play for last 8 weeks saints have best stats in the afl

 

[Magpie_Magic]

saints play dome best in the afl pies dont, they havent beat saints there since 2003 saints in form pies will be resting players nothing to play for last 8 weeks saints have best stats in the afl

Haven't done that bad at the dome this year so far.

The ground doesn't matter anymore. It doesn't give them an advantage. We're a better side than them and when they beat us in round 3 in 2010 we are hardly playing like we were now.

That being said, I like the way their playing right now and could be a good team to throw an upset bet on ($5.50 for a side winning six games ina row is appealing) but I don't think they'll beat Collingwood so I wouldn't be doing it myself.

I think Collingwood >39.5.

 

[hayes]

You beat us in I think it was round 3 in '08 at the dome if I remember correctly.

St Kilda have started well this year even against good teams so I decided to hit up the St Kilda/Collingwood/Collingwood/Collingwood for the quarter by quarter.

 

[Dr Awkward]

It ıs now the stage of the year where we wıll start to see some 'random' results I belıeve and takıng outsıders may pay off.

I lıke Freo to beat Carlton or cover the lıne.

 

[GoodesStuff]

2 units rich @ $2.64 (betfair/centrebet) - i reckon they'll win, there were some good signs against a very good eagles in perth and i don't rate the swans at all

$3.64*

 

[Sunny_]

Gold Coast seems decent value if Ablett it back, but how will Brown being out affect them?

Suns beat Lions in round 7 without Brown. Was still on suspension.

 

[thetwooth]

Ive made some money on short price favourites in the last 2-3 weeks, just got to pick your spots.

Jeez im glad I decided not to post them here though if thats the response it gets.

Anywho, will most likely be getting on Stevie Johnson for most goals again this week as its done me well the last couple of times out and away from Skilled Pods shouldnt be as much of a threat. Just got to wait for Betfair to get the market up and running and funded (yea i need another bookmaker i know, getting onto sportsbet soon)

Well said. Don't be intelligent again on here because you will only make enemies.

 

[Lensen]

$3.64*

no i took massive unders

you are correct, of course

 

[5 Bucks]

Campbell Brown? He's no loss at all.

 

[KardiniaPark]

Well said. Don't be intelligent again on here because you will only make enemies.

I thought tooth was soho and got banned a few weeks back?

Anyway Lenny is off the scent again this week, Adelaide is a ridiculous bet. Gold coast is hardly value at $3ish and to back Richmond against anyone is suicide. Hope the most goals are kind again buddy!

 

[abs_of_STEELE]

You beat us in I think it was round 3 in '08 at the dome if I remember correctly.

Yep, I remember this game (mainly due to Leon's nice goal on the boundary). I think it was round 10 though or somewhere mid-season. Tight game and the Pies got up by about two goals.

FWIW I think the Pies will win easily enough (30-50 points). But I'm aware of bias in punting so I won't bother saying anything else.

 

[Cizzler]

Collingwood - 37.5 is money for Jam!

Yes Sydney line is also gold provided the weather holds up.

 

[robbo127]

The more I look at the probable line ups the more I think St Kilda will struggle with the tight congested situations, remember that there is no Hayes to do the really tough stuff under the packs!

 

[Sunny_]

Ablett should be playing for those who are interesting in putting coin on the Suns.

Got through the main session today with his hammy feeling good.

 

[Main Man]

Port Adelaide + 124.5 @ $1.10. Is that generous or am I underestimating how terrible they really are? I'd be more comfortable taking that than Hawks - 35 at a similar price, given that our higest winning margin ever against Port is something like 39 points.

I see Hawthorn winning by 60 - 90.

Thoughts?

 

[KardiniaPark]

Ablett should be playing for those who are interesting in putting coin on the Suns.

Got through the main session today with his hammy feeling good.

It's hardly a surprise as there was nothing wrong besides a peaheart last week.

MM- That is a ridiculously large start but they are no good things to cover it. Hawthorn over 39.5 would be a far better option @ $1.12 I would have thought.

I think 60 - 90 sounds about right.

 

[Donkson]

Well said. Don't be intelligent again on here because you will only make enemies.

Someone stating that short price favourites win often doesn't require intelligence.

 

[Squall]

hey guys im looking for any suggestions for my scenario

using $20 looking to win around the $110 to pay a bill that im really not wanting to

looking at so far possibly essendon under 40 multi with swans under 40

I don't usually bet so any ideas would be great

 

[Donkson]

don't.

 

[The_Doctor]

Geez your a massive kill joy Donkson. Every where i look it appears you are being as blunt and negative as possible. Better up your game twarby

Im guessing the guy has already considered the option the bet could lose and he will be out the 20 and still have to pay the bill so he came here for advice on a bet.

 

[The_Doctor]

By the way i do like both of those bets you suggested squall

 

[midnight_toker]

hey guys im looking for any suggestions for my scenario

using $20 looking to win around the $110 to pay a bill that im really not wanting to

looking at so far possibly essendon under 40 multi with swans under 40

I don't usually bet so any ideas would be great

Be careful of any match this time of year with a team coming off the bye. Footscray might come out very fresh and loving Etihad.

Check out the multi bet thread closer to the weekend as people start to post their own bets.

 

[DESTRUCTOR]

GC line = mega value?

The team that kept the Bulldogs to a 22 point win, the Saints to 20 points, the Pies to 54 points and have beaten Brisbane in the same match earlier this year.