Ascot - Railway Stakes

[bbco49]

Current market:

ALWAYS A DEVIL 6.50 2.37
SCENIC SHOT 7.00 2.50
BELLE BIZARRE 8.00 2.75
HARTLEYS DREAM 8.00 2.75
NICONERO 8.00 2.75
POLAR BEAR 9.00 3.00
CONFECTIONER 10.00 3.25
VAIN CRUSADER 10.00 3.25
IDYLLIC PRINCE 13.00 4.00
WILD TARGET 16.00 4.75
KIM INVADER 41.00 11.00
MR SANDGROPER 41.00 11.00
RIPPED 41.00 11.00
BLINDED 51.00 13.50
BANNER STORM (2E) 61.00 16.00
DAKAS GEM 61.00 16.00
LOCAL LEGEND 61.00 16.00
RE ENFORCING (1E) 81.00 21.00
CAPE NORTH (3E) 101.00 26.00
MR DIAGNOSIS (4E) 151.00 38.50

Likin Hartley's Dream atm, always runs best when fresh and coming off a spell, which it showed two weeks ago when running second to Belle Bizarre by a nose. Also like Niconero, not too convinced by Confectioner and Polar Bear has taken longer to adapt to the conditions over here.

What are other people's thoughts and tips?

 

[Lockyer24]

8's for Niconero looks to good to be true, but I may be underestimating the local's

Ill be having a bit on

 

[bbco49]

latest odds after today's barrier draw (barrier in brackets):

6.50 Always A Devil (8)
7.00 Scenic Shot (4)
8.00 Hartleys Dream (16), Niconero (13), Bell Bizarre (9)
9.00 Polar Bear (17)
10.00 Confectioner (1), Vain Crusader (19)
13.00 Idyllic Prince (3)
16.00 Wild Target (15)
41.00 Mr Sandgroper (12), Ripped (5), Kim Invader (18)
51.00 Blinded (10)
61.00 Dakas Gem (20), Local Legend (11), Banner Storm (2em 14)
81.00 Re Enforcing (1em 6)
101.00 Cape North (3em 7)
151.00 Mr Diagnosis (4em 2)

 

[bbco49]

Following the barrier draw I think I'll be on Scenic Shot, Belle Bizarre and Niconero

 

[Tim56]

Confectioner on his best would be every chance. Why they persist in riding him back, I have no idea. It is blindingly obvious he goes best when ridden forward/midfield, such as the Craiglee last year, when he sat in the box seat and never looked like losing. From barrier 1 you'd think they would have to go forward.

However, the two to beat for mine are Hartley's Dream (outstanding run first up and exceptional second up record) and Niconero (classy horse but the handicapper has got to him).

 

[YOTC]

Scenic Shot for me.

 

[sethlad]

Anyone remember the last time S.Arnold rode 54.5?

seth

 

[Lockyer24]

Made a profit today at Sandown so chucked a pineapple on Niconero at 9's at TAB Sportsbet.

Great betting race; just like the Ballarat Cup was last week.

 

[bbco49]

Anyone remember the last time S.Arnold rode 54.5?

seth

From AAP:

Heavyweight jockey Steven Arnold faces a tough week as he prepares for his lightest ride in three years on Polar Bear in next Saturday's Group One Railway Stakes at Ascot.
Arnold, 32, could have ridden at 55kg at Sandown on Saturday and needs to take another half kilo off his 180cm frame to ensure he is not overweight on the David Hayes-trained galloper who has 54.5kg in the Perth feature.
"It is not going to be easy but I'm really fit and I can do it," Arnold said.
Arnold said he rode Pentastic at 53.5kg when he finished fourth to Makybe Diva in the 2003 Melbourne Cup but can't remember another time in the last three years when he rode under 55kg

 

[SaintsSupporter]

Hartley's Dream over Belle Bizarre for me.

 

[HeLMie]

Anyone know how long and wide the straight is...

Is it a naturally bioased track Ala.. moonee Valley...

 

[SaintsSupporter]

Nope. Straight is roughly 300m but it seems longer than it actually is. One of the more even, fair tracks in Australia.

 

[thecarpetsnake]

Anyone remember the last time S.Arnold rode 54.5?

seth

even if he could only get to 55, having arnold on board would be worth the extra half a kilo

 

[Medhurst Magic]

Following the barrier draw I think I'll be on Scenic Shot, Belle Bizarre and Niconero

Hope u are right bud!

I backed Scenic Shot @ 14/1 in fixed odds & Belle Bizzare @ 16/1. Also got Ripped @ 41/1.

Scenis Shot is flying, will go close & will be even better suited in the Fruit N Veg over 1800m in a fortnight.

Stick with him & Oliver in the pigskin

 

[bbco49]

Tips for some of the other Ascot races on Saturday:

R1 #4 Guyno
R2 #1 Attadale
R4 #1 Anitco Mio
R5 #2 Reflective Star
R6 #2 Mr Diagnosis
R8 #1 Catechuchu

 

[Deej]

i like polar bear too

 

[d-mac3276]

Vain Crusader to good for em.

 

[HeLMie]

Polar Bear and Niconero to fight it out a good three lengths from the field....

 

[cefalu_instinct]

Scenic Shot to fight out the finish with the perfectly ridden Niconero!

 

[- PC -]

i like polar bear too

I will be on him as well

After getting the tip( from you?) on MC day I watched the race. He was well back and boxed in, but pushed his way through and won easy

Signs of a fighter

I am looking to go woth 1,3,7 and either 10 or 11

 

[- PC -]

Is it a naturally bioased track Ala.. moonee Valley...

Was a report in yesterdays? paper that the winners have come from 3 wide a lot. Whether that suits outside runners or not I dont know

 

[Ricketts]

I like the Bear's weight. 54.5 looks good. Barrier 17 looks yuck though.

 

[HeLMie]

Do we really underestimate Perth racing, first three were from interstate....

 

[- PC -]

Can I have some names please

 

[SaintsSupporter]

Belle Bizarre is a Perth horse, so don't know what you're talking about there. But look at last year's Fruit n' Veg, Railway and Perth cup. No interstate horses filled a place in those.