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Saw this on You Tube last night. Don't know why it popped up on my RHS. I was watching cricket and construction videos.
The great physicist / astronomer/ astrophysicist Carl Sagan in 1985 explains to a US Congress committee what the greenhouse effect is, the benefits of having a greenhouse effect on Earth keeping the planet warm enough, rather than at 30 degrees centigrade lower than it would be without earth's greenhouse effect , the downside of the greenhouse effect if humans keep burning fossil fuels and getting the delict balance wrong.
He said by mid 21st century the earth will be warmer by several degrees warmer if things don't change, he predicted the big 3 would burn more fossil fuels USA, Soviets/Russia and China, that China had to be part of discussions and solution not just USA and Soviets, but with the benefit of hindsight, he probably under predicted their growth rate especially of China
He said we should study past climate on the earth, back before the ice age and climate of other planets to get some calibration of what might happen.
He talked about Venus, how it has clouds and an atmosphere that reflects sunlight like the earth does, but because its atmosphere is almost entirely carbon dioxide, its CO2 levels are 90 times higher than earth and how they have average temperatures of 470 degrees. My calculation based on earth's 1985 and 2025 CO2 readings, is its now about 73 times.
Its a great pity he died in late 1996 from blood cancer / leukaemia aged only 62. He was a great communicator of science and I have no doubt if he had lived another 25 years or more, he would have straightened out a lot of the bullshit peddled by politicians, business lobbies and media manipulators about the science of Climate Change.
As a youth in the early 80's his Cosmos doco series and accompanying book had a profound affect on my thinking. There is also something about his voice / delivery that was almost hypnotic and drew you in to what he is saying. Plus I used to love how he used to say billions and trillions of years or particles. He put an emphasis on second half of billions and trillions that stretched them out.
Below is the video of his 16 minute or so opening statement to the committee. There is another video of that committee hearing that has stuff before Carl makes his statement then takes about 12 minutes of Q&A and other experts talking about climate change and the greenhouse effect back in 1985. All up its 2 hours 24 minutes long.
This was a MSNBC story in 2021 marking the 25th anniversary of his death. The second half of the 4 minute video Brian Williams reads from one of the many book Carl wrote, this one written in 1995 predicting the future - not about climate change, but how the US will change - the last sentence newsreader Brian Williams reads out is;
"The dumbing down of America is most evident in the slow decay of substantive content in the enormously influential media, the 30 second sound bite (now down to 10 seconds or less), lowest common denominator programming, credulous presentations, on pseudoscience and superstition, but especially a kind of celebration of ignorance."
billions and billions - Carl says it wasn't him who said it.
Well it is trueIf that's true, then that's horrifying.
I'm not a climate change scientist but several things worth considering... 1) the implication that climate change isn't occurring goes against enormous amounts of independent scientific data and the entire scientific consensus, 2) this is reported in the New York Post, 3) the paper it refers to (or doesn't refer to but I tracked down) is published in the J Marine Sci Eng. It has an impact factor less than 3 (IFs are rough measures of a journals worth based on a metric of citations over the past couple of years). Less than 3 is very low and it's well know the majority of low ranking journals are considered "predatory" meaning that hundreds of journals exist to take your money to publish without a proper peer review process. This doesn't mean a paper is necessarily fraudulent, just that's it's unlikely to have withstood anything other than minimal review by other scientists.Interesting reading on sea levels:
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Blockbuster sea level study may turn climate change orthodoxy on its head
“It is crazy that it had not been done,” one of the study’s authors claimed.trib.al
1) the implication that climate change isn't occurring goes against enormous amounts of independent scientific data and the entire scientific consensus
2) this is reported in the New York Post
3) the paper it refers to (or doesn't refer to but I tracked down) is published in the J Marine Sci Eng. It has an impact factor less than 3
Ad hominem.
Ad hominem [2]
Neither of us I assume are oceanographers so it's impossible for either of us to evaluate the workThe article doesn’t deny climate change.
Ad hominem.
Ad hominem [2]
Why did you post this particular article on this particular study? What about it is interesting to you? What do you think about the validity of the study?Interesting reading on sea levels:
![]()
Blockbuster sea level study may turn climate change orthodoxy on its head
“It is crazy that it had not been done,” one of the study’s authors claimed.trib.al
Why did you post this particular article on this particular study? What about it is interesting to you? What do you think about the validity of the study?