Final Eight

[keviewiggle]

Looks like the final eight is settled with one round to go.
Only change is that Sydney & St Kilda could change places.
Final 4 won't change
Final eight won't change.

 

[Jafa]

Whilst unlikely - there is still a small chance that Geelong and Hawthorn could trade places.

 

[TheLastEmperor]

Whilst unlikely - there is still a small chance that Geelong and Hawthorn could trade places.

Not unlikely at all. The Cats have the Pies and Hawks have Gold Coast. If the Cats lose by say a couple of goals and the Hawks win by 10 goals (both likely scenarios) then they will trade places.

 

[tandino]

So even if Essendon got smashed like guitars tomorrow, the top 8 is sealed and the games (as distinct from the locations) are sealed as well for the first week of the finals?

 

[Zagg]

Either way a Cats-Hawks final at the G is a certainty, so who finishes 2nd and 3rd doesn't mean anything.

Hopefully the finals is much more exciting that this year's regular season, which generally seems to be regarded as the worst in a long time.

 

[TheLastEmperor]

Either way a Cats-Hawks final at the G is a certainty, so who finishes 2nd and 3rd doesn't mean anything.

Hopefully the finals is much more exciting that this year's regular season, which generally seems to be regarded as the worst in a long time.

What will matter is the fact that the Cats would have lost a couple on the trot leading into the Hawks game and the Hawks will be chock full of confidence. The Hawks will smash the Cats first week - then we'll send them out in straight sets.

 

[Ed_Gein]

Looks like the final eight is settled with one round to go.
Only change is that Sydney & St Kilda could change places.
Final 4 won't change
Final eight won't change.

I think there is a possibility that Essendon can climb to 7th.

Essendon batter Port
Swans lose to Lions next week.

Depending on the margains on those 2 games Bombers could pinch 7th on %

 

[Roy boys]

Either way a Cats-Hawks final at the G is a certainty, so who finishes 2nd and 3rd doesn't mean anything.

Hopefully the finals is much more exciting that this year's regular season, which generally seems to be regarded as the worst in a long time.

Footy is in a great place atm. I fail to see how this is even close to the worst season in recent history.
All the top 4 sides play great entertaining footy which hasn't always been the case over the previous 6 or 7 years.

 

[blue harvest]

Hawks need to make up about 20 goals on the Cats to get 2nd (eg: Hawks win by 15, Cats lose by 5). Still possible but unlikely given Hawks will be just having a bit of a run. In theory if they get 2nd they should then get a longer break but not really possible due to the tricky week 1 scheduling and Cats playing round 24 on Friday night.

Bombers likewise need a 20 goal gain on Sydney to get 7th, still a possibility if they hammer Port.

 

[RickSanchez]

[YOUTUBE]cPfFX8Ph4-k[/YOUTUBE]

 

[red+black]

Looks like the final eight is settled with one round to go.
Only change is that Sydney & St Kilda could change places.
Final 4 won't change
Final eight won't change.

Final 4 will change. Geelong and Hawthorn will swap next week.

Still the same Qualifying Final of course. But it will mark the end for Geelong. Lose to Sydney. Lose to Collingwood. Lose to Hawthorn. Then an elimination final against Sydney (win) or St Kilda (possible loss).

Would be sad to see Geelong lose their last 4 after such a great year.

 

[Jade]

I think there is a possibility that Essendon can climb to 7th.

Essendon batter Port
Swans lose to Lions next week.

Depending on the margains on those 2 games Bombers could pinch 7th on %

God I hope not - I want Carlton.

 

[Air_Chester]

God I hope not - I want Carlton.

So do I... but we've got a better kill rate against the Saints over the last four. Of course, aside from two embarassing floggings, our last 10 against Carlton isn't too shabby.

 

[Call Me Cake]

[YOUTUBE]cPfFX8Ph4-k[/YOUTUBE]

Haha, I love you.

 

[docks]

Hawks need to make up about 20 goals on the Cats to get 2nd (eg: Hawks win by 15, Cats lose by 5). Still possible but unlikely given Hawks will be just having a bit of a run. In theory if they get 2nd they should then get a longer break but not really possible due to the tricky week 1 scheduling and Cats playing round 24 on Friday night.

Bombers likewise need a 20 goal gain on Sydney to get 7th, still a possibility if they hammer Port.

Hawks need to win by 60 if Pies win by 30, that's roughly the calculations to get Hawks 2nd.

 

[red+black]

Hawks need to make up about 20 goals on the Cats to get 2nd (eg: Hawks win by 15, Cats lose by 5). Still possible but unlikely given Hawks will be just having a bit of a run. In theory if they get 2nd they should then get a longer break but not really possible due to the tricky week 1 scheduling and Cats playing round 24 on Friday night.

Bombers likewise need a 20 goal gain on Sydney to get 7th, still a possibility if they hammer Port.

As docks said above, if you use the ladder predictor on afl.com.au, if Collingwood defeat Geelong by 30 and Hawthorn defeat Gold Coast by 60, Geelong and Hawthorn will swap places.

Today's Essendon v Port match is irrelevant to calculations. We need to make up 200 points on St Kilda and over 130 points on Sydney. St Kilda won't lose next week by 100, and Sydney won't lose next week by 30 or more.

 

[Scott Embery]

All dead rubbers except 'Carlton v St Kilda' and 'Sydney v Brisbane'

If Sydney and Carlton win, Sydney will have home final. Otherwise it will mean 4 Melbourne games. Will be interesting who gets Etihad!

If Geelong and Hawthorn change places they still play each other at the MCG.

 

[red+black]

If Sydney and Carlton win, Sydney will have home final. Otherwise it will mean 4 Melbourne games. Will be interesting who gets Etihad!

Not really. St Kilda v Sydney would be at Etihad.

 

[juzz_e]

Home Final at the G against the Bombers sounds juicy.

 

[vonn]

No, it wouldn't R+B. Sydney are ahead on % and on equal points. The game would be at ANZ.
Edit: Just checked ladder and Sydney are below STK, but I'm expecting a convincing win against Brisbane while I dunno if STK can push Carlton. It should come down to Carl V STK.

 

[red+black]

Home Final at the G against the Bombers sounds juicy.

I wish we were a realistic chance to win. All I want is that there is still some hope left for us at 3/4 time so that I can enjoy most of the game. I hope you can somehow beat West Coast the week after.

 

[red+black]

No, it wouldn't R+B. Sydney are ahead on % and on equal points. The game would be at ANZ.

Yeah I know, but I was responding to Scott Embery where he said

If Sydney and Carlton win, Sydney will have home final. Otherwise it will mean 4 Melbourne games. Will be interesting who gets Etihad!

 

[WatWouldCyrilDo]

If Hawthorn finish 2nd could have implications for scheduling of the finals.

Wouldn't really be fair for 2nd to only have a 6 day break against 3rd with a 7 day break.

7/8 or even 8/9 day breaks would be more palatable.

 

[red+black]

If Hawthorn finish 2nd could have implications for scheduling of the finals.

Wouldn't really be fair for 2nd to only have a 6 day break against 3rd with a 7 day break.

7/8 or even 8/9 day breaks would be more palatable.

How about:

FRI (n): CARL (7) v ESS  (12)
SAT (d): COLL (8) v WCE  (7)
SAT (n): SYD  (7) v STK  (7)
SUN (d): HAW  (8) v GEEL (9)

I'm sure the AFL will want two night semi-finals, but if the 1st week schedule is as I've put it, I'd go with two Saturday semi-finals.

 

[davis_756]

All dead rubbers except 'Carlton v St Kilda' and 'Sydney v Brisbane'

If Sydney and Carlton win, Sydney will have home final. Otherwise it will mean 4 Melbourne games. Will be interesting who gets Etihad!

If Geelong and Hawthorn change places they still play each other at the MCG.

It will be more interesting if Sydney keep their home final.

Lets face it Carlton vs Essendon is a lock for the MCG, Geelong vs Hawthorn will be at the MCG, Sydney vs Saints will be interstate which leaves.....

Collingwood vs West Coast @ Eithad or another payout for the afl

Maybe they will hedge their bets and hope Sydney get through to week 2 so they can put Hawks/Geel vs Sydney at Eithad week 2.