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UPDATED 18/11
It’s back for 2017.
Little later this year than in 2016 largely due to having less time to dedicate to it but also I found that I was chopping and changing things with it all the time whether it was the draft order (during trade period), different bolters and sliders etc.
*Disclaimer – This is based off gut feel/ inside info/ needs based. Happy to justify selections.
I'm not an expert and don;t claim to be for that matter but I do enjoy giving my opinion and receiving any feedback whether positive or critical.
I do my best every year to keep up to date with it all, learn player traits, watch tapes and predict the draft as I see it. I give a lot of credit to draft experts and fellow posters both here and outside that I look upon for guidance.
I’ll look to include draft profiles and write ups of the first round than go with profiles from the second round.
Again any feedback/ questions I’m happy to accept and look forward to hearing the thoughts of others
PICK NUMBER 1: BRISBANE / LUKE DAVIES - UNIACKE (DANDENONG STINGRAYS/ VC)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 187 cm, 85 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 08/06/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: TOP 3
BEST POSITION: Inside midfield/ general forward
SIMILAR TO: Josh P. Kennedy
RATIONALE: Going to stick with my gut feel and taking the best pure midfielder in the draft for Brisbane, a Rockliff replacement over the x factor of Rayner.
Pick 1 talk comes down to 2 players for me - Davies Uniacke and Rayner.
Doesn't have the star traits that Rayner does but is a player that will lead well from the front best shown in the second half of the Elimination Final for Dandenong against Eastern. Dragged his team from nowhere at half time to a win for the ages. LDU is a bankable player for Brisbane who hopefully forges a career with the Lions.
Might just be me but I think there's flight risk attached to Rayner as well. I'm not just saying that because of the Vic Metro V Vic Country argument either, more based off an interview that was shown with Rayner a couple of weeks ago. Seemed certain that he'd end up back in Victoria.
IN THE MIX: Cam Rayner, Paddy Dow, Andrew Brayshaw.
PICK NUMBER 2: FREMANTLE / PADDY DOW (BENDIGO PIONEERS/ VC)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 185 cm, 78 kg.
DATE OF BIRTH: 16/10/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: Top 3
BEST POSITION: Balanced midfielder
SIMILAR TO: Adam Treloar
WHY: Sticking with my previous pick 2.
The grunt work of LDU will appeal and I think Luke would fit well into the WA lifestyle as well but I think Dow as a more balanced mid is more beneficial.
Again I wouldn't be surprised if it's LDU, however personally I wouldn't be drafting Rayner at 2 if he was available
A real balanced midfielder who has speed to break away from stoppages and the class to hit his targets on the outside.
Adds more class to the Dockers team that will miss Lachie Weller and has balance to his game that will entice Fremantle more so than the bullocking of work of Rayner in my opinion.
WHO ELSE: Luke Davies Uniacke, Cam Rayner, Darcy Fogarty, Andrew Brayshaw.
PICK 3: CARLTON / CAMERON RAYNER (WESTERN JETS/ VM)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 187 cm, 88 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 21/10/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: TOP 3
BEST POSITION: General forward
SIMILAR TO: Dustin Martin/ Christian Petracca
WHY: If Rayner is available I can't imagine Carlton needing much time with there pick.
Brings real star factor and excitement to the team that drafts him, powerful bodied already, a Dusty Martin stiff arm and explosive speed.
There's a knock over his endurance which is why he will be more of a half forward early in his senior career with the scope to become a permanent midfielder.
WHO ELSE: Luke Davies Uniacke, Paddy Dow, Andrew Brayshaw.
PICK 4: NORTH MELBOURNE / ANDREW BRAYSHAW (SANDRINGHAM DRAGONS/ VM)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 183 cm, 80 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 08/11/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: 1st ROUND
BEST POSITION: Inside midfielder
SIMILAR TO: Rory Sloane
WHY: There's often a back end of the season/ TAC finals bolter in the draft. Look no further than Taranto last year for example.
This year it looks to be Brayshaw who by all reports is firming for a top 5 pick next Friday, possibly because of the question marks over Cerra (limited exposure in under age year 2016) and Fogarty (limited exposure 2017).
There's obviously the family connection with the Brayshaw's and North but that alone won't seal the deal.
Impressive player who probably doesn't drop any further than Freo's pick 5 now. Natural footballer with a balanced game, but especially hard at the contest (Similar to Angus) and has great smarts. Dangerous off half forward and with North's regeneration should get a good look at AFL in 2018.
Great endurance and speed, brings team mates into the game and seems a great pick for North
WHO ELSE: Jaidyn Stepehnson, Adam Cerra, Darcy Fogarty.
PICK 5: FREMANTLE / DARCY FOGARTY (GLENELG/ SA)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 192 cm, 95 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 25/09/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: 1st ROUND
BEST POSITION: Tall utility
WHO ELSE: Andrew Brayshaw, Aaron Naughton, Jaidyn Stephenson, Adam Cerra.
PICK 6: COLLINGWOOD / ADAM CERRA (EASTERN RANGES/ VM)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 186 cm, 80 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 07/10/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: Top 10
BEST POSITION: Inside midfielder
SIMILAR TO: Scott Pendlebury
WHY: Cerra is a little bit of an unknown because of missing all of season 2016 with a knee meniscus injury but dominates games through the midfield with his ball use.
A calm and composed midfielder who makes good decisions and is a smooth mover across the ground and through traffic but doesn’t have that breakaway speed that might be wanted.
Genuine line ball still but either way that it falls I can't see either of these guys lasting past the Saints pick 7/ 8 combo.
WHO ELSE: Darcy Fogarty, Nick Coffield, Aaron Naughton.
PICK 7: ST. KILDA / JAIDYN STEPHENSON (EASTERN RANGES/ VM)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 189 cm, 76 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 15/01/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: Top 10
BEST POSITION: General forward
SIMILAR TO: Nathan Fyfe circa 2009 draft
WHY: The Saints have actively chased players to add to the midfield and in Stephenson they get a midfielder whose x factor gives him a real outside point of difference.
Given his slight body he will need to spend some good time in the weights room but already has a great endurance base to start from. A players like Stephenson off HF would also allow players like Billings and Gresham to spend increased midfield time.
His consistency within games will need work but that will improve with a bigger body as well.
WHO ELSE: Adam Cerra, Andrew Brayshaw, Nick Coffield, Aidan Bonar.
PICK 8: ST. KILDA / HUNTER CLARK (DANDENONG STINGRAYS/ VC)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 186 cm, 80 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 26/03/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: 1st ROUND
BEST POSITION: Inside midfielder/ Medium defender
SIMILAR TO: Sam Powell Pepper
WHY: Has transitioned from a rebounding defender to contested ball winning midfielder in his draft season making him an attractive first round prospect for a number of clubs.
After gaining outside class in Stephenson at pick 7 the Saints pick again and will need to decided on what comes up next. Do they go for a inside mid like Constable, the general defender in Coffield, the bull in Bonar or even the tall defender in Naughton?
I've gone for the local lad Hunter Clark who has impressed as a mid in 2017 after plying his juniors trade as more of a defender. With increased midfield time his production improved significantly over 2017 and showed he has the traits to match it inside.
Like Powell Pepper he can transition into senior footy relatively easy and there could be good opportunites with a good pre-season behind him.
Compliments his stoppage and clearance work with evasiveness, break away speed and is able to use the ball well on both sides.
WHO ELSE: Nick Coffield, Aidan Bonar, Aaron Naughton.
PICK 9: WESTERN BULLDOGS / NICHOLAS COFFIELD (NORTHERN KNIGHTS/ VM)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 190 cm, 83 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 23/10/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: 1st ROUND
BEST POSITION: General defender
SIMILAR TO: Nick Vlastuin (leadership qualities)
WHY: In Coffield the Bulldogs can cover the loss of Murphy, Matt Boyd and in the future Morris.
I've had him as high as Colingwood's pick 6 for some time now but decided against settling on that. Has the size, versatility and closing speed to play as a third tall or on smaller types also a bit like Morris.
The Bulldogs requirement for increased ball use out of the back half and connecting to the midfield is pressing having lost the experienced Murphy and Boyd. Coffield brings great leadership qualities to a team as well having captained Metro to the Under 18 Champions in 2017.
WHO ELSE: Hunter Clark, Ed Richards, Charlie Constable, Jarrod Brander.
PICK 10: CARLTON / CHARLIE CONSTABLE (SANDRIGHAM DRAGONS/ VM)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 191 cm, 86 kg.
DATE OF BIRTH: 18/05/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: 1st ROUND
BEST POSITION: Inside midfielder
SIMILAR TO: Patrick Cripps
WHY: Rayner and Constable in the top 10 would gladden a Blues fans heart.
Prototype for the modern day midfielder Constable's strength is at the stoppages which meets a need for the Blues as an extra powerful body.
Not blessed with breakaway speed but Charlie is a smooth mover over the ground, makes good decisions, has great awareness and is the kind of player and character you can rely on to get down and dirty in the contest regularly finishing juniors games with double figure clearances.
Can play off HB and HF as well and may get an opportunity as a depth general defender with Docherty likely gone for season 2018 (unless LARS.)
The kind of midfielder that I wouldn’t mind at all if he was available at selection 13, yes his speed is an issue but he seems like a player you can bank on and rely upon to carve out a good AFL career
WHO ELSE: Hunter Clark, Aidan Bonar, Nick Coffield, Lochie O’Brien.
It’s back for 2017.
Little later this year than in 2016 largely due to having less time to dedicate to it but also I found that I was chopping and changing things with it all the time whether it was the draft order (during trade period), different bolters and sliders etc.
*Disclaimer – This is based off gut feel/ inside info/ needs based. Happy to justify selections.
I'm not an expert and don;t claim to be for that matter but I do enjoy giving my opinion and receiving any feedback whether positive or critical.
I do my best every year to keep up to date with it all, learn player traits, watch tapes and predict the draft as I see it. I give a lot of credit to draft experts and fellow posters both here and outside that I look upon for guidance.
I’ll look to include draft profiles and write ups of the first round than go with profiles from the second round.
Again any feedback/ questions I’m happy to accept and look forward to hearing the thoughts of others
PICK NUMBER 1: BRISBANE / LUKE DAVIES - UNIACKE (DANDENONG STINGRAYS/ VC)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 187 cm, 85 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 08/06/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: TOP 3
BEST POSITION: Inside midfield/ general forward
SIMILAR TO: Josh P. Kennedy
RATIONALE: Going to stick with my gut feel and taking the best pure midfielder in the draft for Brisbane, a Rockliff replacement over the x factor of Rayner.
Pick 1 talk comes down to 2 players for me - Davies Uniacke and Rayner.
Doesn't have the star traits that Rayner does but is a player that will lead well from the front best shown in the second half of the Elimination Final for Dandenong against Eastern. Dragged his team from nowhere at half time to a win for the ages. LDU is a bankable player for Brisbane who hopefully forges a career with the Lions.
Might just be me but I think there's flight risk attached to Rayner as well. I'm not just saying that because of the Vic Metro V Vic Country argument either, more based off an interview that was shown with Rayner a couple of weeks ago. Seemed certain that he'd end up back in Victoria.
IN THE MIX: Cam Rayner, Paddy Dow, Andrew Brayshaw.
PICK NUMBER 2: FREMANTLE / PADDY DOW (BENDIGO PIONEERS/ VC)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 185 cm, 78 kg.
DATE OF BIRTH: 16/10/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: Top 3
BEST POSITION: Balanced midfielder
SIMILAR TO: Adam Treloar
WHY: Sticking with my previous pick 2.
The grunt work of LDU will appeal and I think Luke would fit well into the WA lifestyle as well but I think Dow as a more balanced mid is more beneficial.
Again I wouldn't be surprised if it's LDU, however personally I wouldn't be drafting Rayner at 2 if he was available
A real balanced midfielder who has speed to break away from stoppages and the class to hit his targets on the outside.
Adds more class to the Dockers team that will miss Lachie Weller and has balance to his game that will entice Fremantle more so than the bullocking of work of Rayner in my opinion.
WHO ELSE: Luke Davies Uniacke, Cam Rayner, Darcy Fogarty, Andrew Brayshaw.
PICK 3: CARLTON / CAMERON RAYNER (WESTERN JETS/ VM)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 187 cm, 88 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 21/10/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: TOP 3
BEST POSITION: General forward
SIMILAR TO: Dustin Martin/ Christian Petracca
WHY: If Rayner is available I can't imagine Carlton needing much time with there pick.
Brings real star factor and excitement to the team that drafts him, powerful bodied already, a Dusty Martin stiff arm and explosive speed.
There's a knock over his endurance which is why he will be more of a half forward early in his senior career with the scope to become a permanent midfielder.
WHO ELSE: Luke Davies Uniacke, Paddy Dow, Andrew Brayshaw.
PICK 4: NORTH MELBOURNE / ANDREW BRAYSHAW (SANDRINGHAM DRAGONS/ VM)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 183 cm, 80 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 08/11/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: 1st ROUND
BEST POSITION: Inside midfielder
SIMILAR TO: Rory Sloane
WHY: There's often a back end of the season/ TAC finals bolter in the draft. Look no further than Taranto last year for example.
This year it looks to be Brayshaw who by all reports is firming for a top 5 pick next Friday, possibly because of the question marks over Cerra (limited exposure in under age year 2016) and Fogarty (limited exposure 2017).
There's obviously the family connection with the Brayshaw's and North but that alone won't seal the deal.
Impressive player who probably doesn't drop any further than Freo's pick 5 now. Natural footballer with a balanced game, but especially hard at the contest (Similar to Angus) and has great smarts. Dangerous off half forward and with North's regeneration should get a good look at AFL in 2018.
Great endurance and speed, brings team mates into the game and seems a great pick for North
WHO ELSE: Jaidyn Stepehnson, Adam Cerra, Darcy Fogarty.
PICK 5: FREMANTLE / DARCY FOGARTY (GLENELG/ SA)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 192 cm, 95 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 25/09/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: 1st ROUND
BEST POSITION: Tall utility
WHO ELSE: Andrew Brayshaw, Aaron Naughton, Jaidyn Stephenson, Adam Cerra.
PICK 6: COLLINGWOOD / ADAM CERRA (EASTERN RANGES/ VM)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 186 cm, 80 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 07/10/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: Top 10
BEST POSITION: Inside midfielder
SIMILAR TO: Scott Pendlebury
WHY: Cerra is a little bit of an unknown because of missing all of season 2016 with a knee meniscus injury but dominates games through the midfield with his ball use.
A calm and composed midfielder who makes good decisions and is a smooth mover across the ground and through traffic but doesn’t have that breakaway speed that might be wanted.
Genuine line ball still but either way that it falls I can't see either of these guys lasting past the Saints pick 7/ 8 combo.
WHO ELSE: Darcy Fogarty, Nick Coffield, Aaron Naughton.
PICK 7: ST. KILDA / JAIDYN STEPHENSON (EASTERN RANGES/ VM)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 189 cm, 76 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 15/01/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: Top 10
BEST POSITION: General forward
SIMILAR TO: Nathan Fyfe circa 2009 draft
WHY: The Saints have actively chased players to add to the midfield and in Stephenson they get a midfielder whose x factor gives him a real outside point of difference.
Given his slight body he will need to spend some good time in the weights room but already has a great endurance base to start from. A players like Stephenson off HF would also allow players like Billings and Gresham to spend increased midfield time.
His consistency within games will need work but that will improve with a bigger body as well.
WHO ELSE: Adam Cerra, Andrew Brayshaw, Nick Coffield, Aidan Bonar.
PICK 8: ST. KILDA / HUNTER CLARK (DANDENONG STINGRAYS/ VC)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 186 cm, 80 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 26/03/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: 1st ROUND
BEST POSITION: Inside midfielder/ Medium defender
SIMILAR TO: Sam Powell Pepper
WHY: Has transitioned from a rebounding defender to contested ball winning midfielder in his draft season making him an attractive first round prospect for a number of clubs.
After gaining outside class in Stephenson at pick 7 the Saints pick again and will need to decided on what comes up next. Do they go for a inside mid like Constable, the general defender in Coffield, the bull in Bonar or even the tall defender in Naughton?
I've gone for the local lad Hunter Clark who has impressed as a mid in 2017 after plying his juniors trade as more of a defender. With increased midfield time his production improved significantly over 2017 and showed he has the traits to match it inside.
Like Powell Pepper he can transition into senior footy relatively easy and there could be good opportunites with a good pre-season behind him.
Compliments his stoppage and clearance work with evasiveness, break away speed and is able to use the ball well on both sides.
WHO ELSE: Nick Coffield, Aidan Bonar, Aaron Naughton.
PICK 9: WESTERN BULLDOGS / NICHOLAS COFFIELD (NORTHERN KNIGHTS/ VM)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 190 cm, 83 kg
DATE OF BIRTH: 23/10/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: 1st ROUND
BEST POSITION: General defender
SIMILAR TO: Nick Vlastuin (leadership qualities)
WHY: In Coffield the Bulldogs can cover the loss of Murphy, Matt Boyd and in the future Morris.
I've had him as high as Colingwood's pick 6 for some time now but decided against settling on that. Has the size, versatility and closing speed to play as a third tall or on smaller types also a bit like Morris.
The Bulldogs requirement for increased ball use out of the back half and connecting to the midfield is pressing having lost the experienced Murphy and Boyd. Coffield brings great leadership qualities to a team as well having captained Metro to the Under 18 Champions in 2017.
WHO ELSE: Hunter Clark, Ed Richards, Charlie Constable, Jarrod Brander.
PICK 10: CARLTON / CHARLIE CONSTABLE (SANDRIGHAM DRAGONS/ VM)
HEIGHT, WEIGHT: 191 cm, 86 kg.
DATE OF BIRTH: 18/05/1999
PROJECTED DRAFT RANGE: 1st ROUND
BEST POSITION: Inside midfielder
SIMILAR TO: Patrick Cripps
WHY: Rayner and Constable in the top 10 would gladden a Blues fans heart.
Prototype for the modern day midfielder Constable's strength is at the stoppages which meets a need for the Blues as an extra powerful body.
Not blessed with breakaway speed but Charlie is a smooth mover over the ground, makes good decisions, has great awareness and is the kind of player and character you can rely on to get down and dirty in the contest regularly finishing juniors games with double figure clearances.
Can play off HB and HF as well and may get an opportunity as a depth general defender with Docherty likely gone for season 2018 (unless LARS.)
The kind of midfielder that I wouldn’t mind at all if he was available at selection 13, yes his speed is an issue but he seems like a player you can bank on and rely upon to carve out a good AFL career
WHO ELSE: Hunter Clark, Aidan Bonar, Nick Coffield, Lochie O’Brien.
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