You are looking to the past not the future, if you think 0-2 is the reason to give up on the now.
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In fact, I reckon you've got to be 1-1. Teams who win both games are also in big trouble.Yep to contend in 2019 you definitely need to be at least 1-1....
In fact, I reckon you've got to be 1-1. Teams who win both games are also in big trouble.
Dwayne Russell made a comment midway through the second quarter in the Dons Saints game that “somehow he felt the bombers season was on the line” . It was the most ridiculous thing I’ve heard a commentator say midway through the second quarter of the second game. FFS there are 20 more games to go!!!
Melbourne look impressive though....No team 0-2 will win the flag in 2019
That’s all gunna change this year.The last 7 times the Swans have gone 0-2 they've made the finals.
44 teams started 0-2.
1 Earned finals off their own back. (Sydney 2014)
I had to word it that way because Carlton 2013 did make it based on Essendon being kicked out.
https://www.google.com.au/url?sa=i&...aw3oWnPUWRY1Rl0_S28m8iqc&ust=1554076547942332Surely there's someone on here with an excel spreadsheet open and a lot of time to kill at work? Would love to see a proper analysis of this done since, say, the top 8 began. How much does 0-2 fry your season? What about 0-4? Remember us in '96 going 1-4 then winning 11 in a row (not that we won or anything), or Sydney in '16, but how big anomalies are these?
It'd be interesting to see how many of these 44 teams were expected to make the finals. Melbourne 2011 or whatever most likely lost their first two, but does that really effect (affect? no idea) the stats in a meaningful way? You list 7 good examples of teams who fell dramatically after going 0-2, and that's cool, but it's also a much smaller/less meaningful sample size than 44 teams. If we're talking 1/8 suddenly it's a 12.5% chance which is a rather different story.
It's going to be a big next couple of games for us that's for sure. Need to see a response.Melbourne 0-2 play bombers who are 0-2
Then the week after Melbourne play Sydney who are 0-2 so one of Sydney and Melbourne at best will be 1-3 (potentially 0-4) at the end of round 4
Not quite OP's question, but based quick scan of seasons with 18 teams: on average, 6 of the 8 teams that are in the top 8 by the end of round 2 will make finals.
So at least a couple of BL/Port/WB/StK and probably Freo should continue to surprise.
Tigers, Hawks, Crows and Eagles still hunting for finals already means that Essendon and Melbourne are statistically up against it.
When does the ladder ‘set’
Wouldn’t be surprised if it’s after round 3
IF you're keen/bored, care to do one since the top 8's beginning?
Would be neat to do it from round 2/round 10/round 18 or something
That’s all gunna change this year.
We are rooted.
Nup. This year is the real deal. We are rooted.Same was said in 2017 and Sydney still found a way to make the finals.