I thought with the 2011 draft now complete it may be an opportunity to take stock, examine our current list - where we are strong, what type of players may need to target in the coming years and what a future team may look a little like.
Firstly lets look at our current list and sort it into positions and identify players that are potentially within the last 4 years of playing. I will use 4 years as it allows us to be certain in eliminating quite a few players (i.e Scarlett, Chapman) but also starts to bring into view the players taken from the 2001 draft which represent such an important group for the success we have enjoyed over the past 5 years. Using 4 years also gives the club a reasonable period to draft and develop players to replace these greats of the club.
List: (inspired by Emma Quayle's article a week or so ago)
Tall Backs:
Scarlett*
Lonergan*
Taylor
Gillies
Hamling
Bathie (r)
Small/Medium Backs:
Enright*
J.Hunt*
Wojcinski*
Mackie
T.Hunt
Smedts
Bews
Cowan
Midfielders:
Bartel*
Corey*
Kelly*
Selwood
Christensen
Duncan
Guthrie
Varcoe
Hogan
Horlin-Smith
Murdoch
Schroder
Simpkin (r)
Stringer (r)
Tall Forwards:
Podsiadly*
Hawkins
Brown
Kersten
Walker (r)
Small/Medium Forwards:
S.Johnson*
Chapman*
Stokes*
Byrnes*
Motlop
Burbury (r)
Menzel
McCarthy
Motlop
Ruckmen:
D.Simpson
Vardy
West
Stephensen*
As you can see Wells has been quite clever in not only (hopefully) bringing new talent into the club but has a definite program in identifying the areas of the list that are going to suffer from retirements over the next 4 years. His emphasis on mids in last years draft was no doubt inspired in part at least by the impending retirements of Ling (now gone), Corey, Kelly and Bartel. The last 2 still have a fair bit of footy left in them, and may well go on for longer, but their retirements still has to be planned for now.
If we were to assume that all our draftees would "make it" and that all of our astrixed players will have retired in 4 years (I know this won't happen but go with me here!) then a potential team, not taking any future draftees into account at this stage may look like:
B: Bews, Gillies, Hamling
HB: Mackie, Taylor, Smedts
C: Duncan, Guthrie, Murdoch
HF: Menzel, Hawkins, Varcoe
F: Motlop, Kersten, Brown
Foll: Vardy, Selwood, Christensen
Int: West, T.Hunt, Cowan, Horlin-Smith
Emerg: D.Simpson, Shroder, McCarthy
So 14 players from our current list were not considered. Rookies weren't either.
From the above team by 2015 only really Taylor and Mackie will be in the second half of their careers.
What does all this mean?
That our list is in great shape. Out forwardline in particular looks as if it will be potentially potent for years with a lot of young firepower.
We have some challenges though. We have a lot of players currently 28 and over and a lot of players 23 and under. There is not much in between. We are basing our future on a lot of draftees that were taken well outside the top 10 of the draft and that have either played very little or no senior footy as yet. Will this eventually take it's toll or will Wells, yet again, have drafted some late gems?
That we probably will need to be looking for KPD's and another ruckman or even 2 in the near future. These appear to still be the 2 areas of greatest need. Gillies, although named above, has at this stage not shown he is up to AFL level as a KPD. The club though showed faith in him by refusing to trade him this year to Hawthorn.
Inside midfielders will also be a priority. From the team above really only Selwood and Christensen have demonstrated a quality inside game. Losing Corey, Ling and Kelly will be huge. We need to still continue to restock with quality inside mids.
Next years draft has been labelled already one for the ages. We will probably lose Scarlett, Chapman, Corey and Wojcinski. I would imagine that Hogan has one more year to prove himself. I don't think we will lose anyone of quality to GWS. So we may well be taking another 5 players next year.
I'm calling it early - we will take 1 ruckman, another KPDer and 3 midfielders!!
Firstly lets look at our current list and sort it into positions and identify players that are potentially within the last 4 years of playing. I will use 4 years as it allows us to be certain in eliminating quite a few players (i.e Scarlett, Chapman) but also starts to bring into view the players taken from the 2001 draft which represent such an important group for the success we have enjoyed over the past 5 years. Using 4 years also gives the club a reasonable period to draft and develop players to replace these greats of the club.
List: (inspired by Emma Quayle's article a week or so ago)
Tall Backs:
Scarlett*
Lonergan*
Taylor
Gillies
Hamling
Bathie (r)
Small/Medium Backs:
Enright*
J.Hunt*
Wojcinski*
Mackie
T.Hunt
Smedts
Bews
Cowan
Midfielders:
Bartel*
Corey*
Kelly*
Selwood
Christensen
Duncan
Guthrie
Varcoe
Hogan
Horlin-Smith
Murdoch
Schroder
Simpkin (r)
Stringer (r)
Tall Forwards:
Podsiadly*
Hawkins
Brown
Kersten
Walker (r)
Small/Medium Forwards:
S.Johnson*
Chapman*
Stokes*
Byrnes*
Motlop
Burbury (r)
Menzel
McCarthy
Motlop
Ruckmen:
D.Simpson
Vardy
West
Stephensen*
As you can see Wells has been quite clever in not only (hopefully) bringing new talent into the club but has a definite program in identifying the areas of the list that are going to suffer from retirements over the next 4 years. His emphasis on mids in last years draft was no doubt inspired in part at least by the impending retirements of Ling (now gone), Corey, Kelly and Bartel. The last 2 still have a fair bit of footy left in them, and may well go on for longer, but their retirements still has to be planned for now.
If we were to assume that all our draftees would "make it" and that all of our astrixed players will have retired in 4 years (I know this won't happen but go with me here!) then a potential team, not taking any future draftees into account at this stage may look like:
B: Bews, Gillies, Hamling
HB: Mackie, Taylor, Smedts
C: Duncan, Guthrie, Murdoch
HF: Menzel, Hawkins, Varcoe
F: Motlop, Kersten, Brown
Foll: Vardy, Selwood, Christensen
Int: West, T.Hunt, Cowan, Horlin-Smith
Emerg: D.Simpson, Shroder, McCarthy
So 14 players from our current list were not considered. Rookies weren't either.
From the above team by 2015 only really Taylor and Mackie will be in the second half of their careers.
What does all this mean?
That our list is in great shape. Out forwardline in particular looks as if it will be potentially potent for years with a lot of young firepower.
We have some challenges though. We have a lot of players currently 28 and over and a lot of players 23 and under. There is not much in between. We are basing our future on a lot of draftees that were taken well outside the top 10 of the draft and that have either played very little or no senior footy as yet. Will this eventually take it's toll or will Wells, yet again, have drafted some late gems?
That we probably will need to be looking for KPD's and another ruckman or even 2 in the near future. These appear to still be the 2 areas of greatest need. Gillies, although named above, has at this stage not shown he is up to AFL level as a KPD. The club though showed faith in him by refusing to trade him this year to Hawthorn.
Inside midfielders will also be a priority. From the team above really only Selwood and Christensen have demonstrated a quality inside game. Losing Corey, Ling and Kelly will be huge. We need to still continue to restock with quality inside mids.
Next years draft has been labelled already one for the ages. We will probably lose Scarlett, Chapman, Corey and Wojcinski. I would imagine that Hogan has one more year to prove himself. I don't think we will lose anyone of quality to GWS. So we may well be taking another 5 players next year.
I'm calling it early - we will take 1 ruckman, another KPDer and 3 midfielders!!







