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Long Range Cups Bets

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Normally have taken plenty by this time but have limited myself to just a few at this stage.

Have been keen on El Segundo for the Cox Plate so all revolve around him.
Maybe Better - Caulfield Cup $454.50 now $147.90
Polar Bear - Caulfield Cup $454.50 now $75.40
Tawqueet - Melbourne Cup $37.70, only took this today.

Went to take the last one on Saturday at the TAB about 20 mins before El Segundo won & they had suspended betting. WHY??
They $hit me at times the TAB.
 

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Bobby Beecroft said:
Went to take the last one on Saturday at the TAB about 20 mins before El Segundo won & they had suspended betting. WHY??
They $hit me at times the TAB.

They suspend all future race betting on saturday from about 12 for some reason. Probally so people cant load up on horses at decent odds after they have a good run
 
Melbourne Cup - If Yeats comes it will win.

Cox Plate - Racing to Win or El Segundo

Caufield Cup - Not sure yet.

jlc
 
SiNNa_11 said:
They suspend all future race betting on saturday from about 12 for some reason. Probally so people cant load up on horses at decent odds after they have a good run

I can understand why they would suspend during/after a race but hours before hand is ridiculous.
 
Its all good to have a dip at long range betting, but gee its bloody tough. Accumulate is something that has jumped out at me and with a few of its poor performances over smaller distances hopefully its odds will blow out...
 
Magic Instinct and Cefalu can both pick up a nice race in the coming weeks. Cefalu will be a big chance in the Saab Quality and Magic will run well in everything he races in, either the Geelong Cup of MV Cup then hopefully the Melb Cup.
 

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eastaugh36 said:
Here's mine.

These were placed 2 weeks ago. Many have firmed in since then and a few have drifted. I've got all horses into each other for the double and where listed, I have individual win bets. I have listed the amount I have on for the win. For each double I have $2 on. It came to $200 in total. To the right is the current odds on offer as of today.

CAULFIELD CUP
Marju Snip $10 @ $34 - $51 - A drifter, - I saw on a racing site that the trainer is tossing up whether to limit her to the good mare mile races or to press on for the cup. Pending her next run I think. Here's hoping it's Caulfield Cup bound.

Pinsemtoit $10 @ $101 – Wasn't a first acceptor. :(

Pompeii Ruler $40 @ $17 - $11 - A firmer. :) Once again, a decision needs to be made with him. Caulfield Cup or Cox plate. Fingers crossed.

Purde $10 @ $51 - $26 - Massive firmer. :) Looks the perfect Caulfield Cup type.

Serenade Rose $0 @ $8 - $15 - Drifter. No individual bet on her but she is crucial for my doubles. I think her next run will tell more. Forget her latest in the wet. Odds as of 16/10 - $9

MELBOURNE CUP
Sphenophyta $10 @ $51 - $21 - Massive firmer. :) - Will Lee limit him to the Caulfield this prep? Hope not. Odds as of 16/10 - $9

Pop Rock $20 @ $34 - $26 - Firmer. :) - Seems very likely to come and that form around Eye Popper excites me. Odds as of 16/10 - $26

Young Mick $0 @ $41 - $51 - Drifter. - Bottom line is that if he comes he will start shorter than the $41 I got him for. Only have him in the doubles anyway. Is a first acceptor. I reckon he'll come.

Men At Work $10 @ $101 - $81 - Firmer. - Missed the run on the weekend but it can't have been too bad the way he has shortened. May be one of those who runs in that distance race on the Saturday(formerly The Dalgety?) to try and get a cup start. Odds as of 16/10 - $201

Railings $30 @ $15 - $11 - Firmer. :) - You know what you will get with this bloke. Odds as of 16/10 - $10

Interesting to have another look 6 weeks on. The bolded ones above are the horses still in the running for me. My Caulfield Cup ones have fallen away so it's all on Serenade Rose now for my doubles. Melb Cup individual bets look ok. Sphenophyta,Pop Rock and Railings all firming right into contention over the past month!
 
sethlad said:
Love these threads,great to look back on.Ill declare my hand & say my only early bets are: C Cup:Sphenophyta @ $31, M Cup Sphenophta @ $67 both @ Centrebet.

No damage done here
sethlad said:
[B]Caulfield Cup:The AJC Derby form over the last 4-5 yrs(not usually the winner) has been gold.
If that stands up,the horses to consider are:Headturner,Testifiable,Spinney & Sepia.Headturner,well he's fave so Ill pass,will be better odds on the day.[/B]

2 out of 4 left here,Spinney another unlucky omission & Headturner has eased in the market.



Serenade Rose,way under the odds for mine.Every year we get the VRC Oaks form struggling to be competitive,was ok last week but jury's out.

Better last run but too short for mine



Railings had his birthday last year,beat Eye Popper who took the Veandercross route & Mummify who broke down 100m out & was still just beaten.Has paid at the weights.Not for me.

Hasnt done anything to change my opinion here




Then we come to Sphenophyta.This looks untapped to me but still learning.
Threw away a race at the Qld carnival but went massive at WFA last week when definitely on wrong part of the track.Happy with him.

Has since won a Gp 1,the one to beat



Melbourne Cup:Anyone who's read anything Ive written on here knows my Melb Cup theories,if you arent competitive at WFA,you cant win.

Railings,see above & not a WFA horse

Sphenophyta,if he backs up that last WFA effort, Id like him to run 2nd at Caulfield & miss the penalty

Headturner,definitely but $7 with 8 wks to go,please.

Eremein is unlikely to go there,Serenade Rose see above,O Smoking Joe looked like a 2 miler last week,Zipping almost convinced me last week.
lloyd's horses seem to struggle late in the Spring though.

No changes to any of this


Of the internationals,Yeats looks certain to be here & he has handled his fellow UK horses easily.They will all need every bit of the weight turnaround.Of Godolphin's theres been money for Imperial Stride so its obviously coming,its form is terrific & they are gunna win one soon.
That just leaves the Japanese,Pop Rock is "apparently" a better horse than Eye Popper & has form around super horse Deep Impact who will run fave in the Arc.That is definitely good enough.


Ditto,all in it up to their ears

seth
 
Ricketts said:
I put 4 bets on the Caulfield Cup on Friday September 1:

Zipping @ $21 - Is now $8.

Molotov @ $41 - Is now $17.

Testafiable @ $35 - Is now $31.

De Beers @ $35 - Not listed any more, does this mean he didn't accept? Can it still get in if it somehow magically rediscovers its form and pays up later?

Let him in!
 
i agree, zipping should be in the field the other horse taking his spot has only won once in its career its a bloody dud!
 
Ok have made up my mind on Caufield Cup - Our Smoking Joe will win

Cox Plate - Racing to Win or Lad of the Manor. Will be exceptional value and loves the valley.

jlc
 
Ricketts said:
Let him in!

No way! I was burnt last year by those bastards not elevating Confectioner into the field , I had massive doubles bets and a single bet going with him. I'm glad to see they are at least consistent, no doubt he would be a massive threat to my one remaining leg this year, Serenade Rose.
 

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eastaugh36 said:
No way! I was burnt last year by those bastards not elevating Confectioner into the field , I had massive doubles bets and a single bet going with him.

Did you catch his run Derby Day?
It wouldn't have mattered if he got in, just doesn't stay.
Saved yourself some unneccessary stress.
 
Bobby Beecroft said:
Did you catch his run Derby Day?
It wouldn't have mattered if he got in, just doesn't stay.
Saved yourself some unneccessary stress.

Hayes seemed to think he would have given it a shake and he would have been in the first 3 in the market.
BTW, does anyone know what happened to the horse? Injured?
 
I have a good feeling with Pop Rock and heard good things about him training well. With Ollie on board I think he is the relative roughie for this spring. I going put the minor fortune I accumulated from the weekend onto Pop Rock. I am one of those cup time punters but have done well with the WA 'connections' since the days of Doremius ..... so here goes.

500 for CC
500 for CC/MC double.
 
Pop Rock had a poor start but flew home well. I am glad I changed my mind on the CC/MC double (I found out that TAB and all bookies give a significantly reduced odds if you pick the same horse for both races) .. so put $500 for MC win at $26 last Tuesday. Tawqeet looks pretty but Pop Rock should give the cup a shake with longer straights at Flemington. Ollie is down on form big time though.
 
go fullta said:
not far off the mark what so ever!!!

Sorry fullta , I usually rate your psoting but get off yourself.

Pop Rock whilst a good run came 4th in the Caulfield Cup so you were wrong, The other 2 races are yet too be run. Dont fire off too early hey mate!!!
 

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